Applied Digital Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

APLD Stock  USD 27.05  -0.43  -1.56%   
At this point in time, the strength momentum metric for Applied Digital is 0, signaling extreme oversold conditions. Historically, RSI levels this depressed have preceded relief bounces, though the magnitude and duration vary widely.
Momentum
Sell Peaked
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Predicting where Applied Digital's stock will trade is more achievable when sentiment data complements traditional analysis. This module isolates the sentiment-driven component of price to highlight potential mispricings. Fundamental inputs for Applied Digital's price forecast:
 EPS Estimate Current Year
-0.41
 EPS Estimate Next Year
-0.90
 Wall Street Target Price
45.2727
 EPS Estimate Current Quarter
-0.21
 Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.501
This section provides headline-driven context for Applied Digital alongside peer activity. The sentiment layer reflects Applied Digital's options activity and short interest context.

Applied Digital Short Interest View

A sudden spike in Applied Digital's short interest may indicate that institutional investors have identified specific risks - such as earnings disappointments or regulatory events - not yet priced into the market.
 200 Day MA
22.9864
 Short Percent
0.3074
 Short Ratio
3.04
 Shares Short Prior Month
80.3 M
 50 Day MA
32.3535

Applied RSI Context

Applied Digital Hype-Price Relationship

Sentiment data for Applied Digital synthesizes media coverage, analyst tone, and social engagement into a single signal. When Applied Digital's sentiment diverges sharply from price, a mean-reversion trade may be developing.
For Applied Digital, sentiment analysis reveals whether the prevailing narrative matches business reality. A persistent divergence often resolves in the direction of fundamentals once sentiment normalizes.
Applied Digital Implied Volatility
    
  1.34  
When Applied Digital's implied volatility is unusually high relative to its historical average, options premiums are inflated. Sophisticated investors may choose to sell options in this environment to collect elevated premium income.
Applied Digital after-hype prediction price
    
  $ 26.93  
The sentiment panel provides context that can be compared with forecasting models and technical indicators.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Applied Digital can be used to cross-verify projections for Applied Digital. The historical series provides projection context.
Our How to Invest in Applied Digital guide provides practical guidance on trading Applied Stock.

Rule 16 Overview for current Applied contract - Risk Context

Rule 16 applies implied volatility to estimate a daily move of roughly 0.0838% across the 2026-06-18 option cycle. The figure is a neutral volatility reference; near $ 27.05, it implies about $ 0.0227 per day.

Open Interest Context: Applied 2026-06-18 Options

Open interest represents the number of active Applied Digital option contracts and offers a participation signal.

Applied Digital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Applied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Applied Digital has current Accumulation Distribution of 1.6 M. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Applied Digital is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Applied Digital to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Applied Digital trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Applied Digital VolatilityBacktest Applied DigitalInformation Ratio  

Applied Digital Trading Date Momentum

On March 13 2026 Applied Digital was traded for 27.05 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 29.25 and the lowest listed price was 26.80 . The trading volume for the day was 18.6 M. The trading history from March 13, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 3.88% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Applied Digital to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Applied Digital

For both new and experienced investors in Applied, the ability to analyze Applied Digital's price movement is a fundamental investment skill. Price chart noise in Applied Stock can create false signals and mislead investment decisions.

Applied Digital Related Equities

The following equities are related to Applied Digital within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Applied Digital against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Applied Digital Market Strength Events

Tracking market strength indicators for Applied Digital helps investors understand the momentum dynamics of the stock in real time. These signals support informed decisions about when to enter or exit positions in Applied Digital for maximum return potential.

Applied Digital Risk Indicators

Properly assessing Applied Digital's risk indicators is a prerequisite for building reliable price forecasts. Identifying and quantifying the risks associated with Applied Digital's allows investors to make better-informed decisions about accepting or hedging their exposure.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Applied Digital

Coverage intensity for Applied Digital matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.

Applied Digital Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to Applied Digital matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding201.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments113.9 M

More Resources for Applied Stock Analysis

A comprehensive view of Applied Digital starts with financial statements and ratio context. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for Applied Digital Stock. Key reports that frame Applied Digital Stock are listed below:
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Applied Digital can be used to cross-verify projections for Applied Digital. The historical series provides projection context.
Our How to Invest in Applied Digital guide provides practical guidance on trading Applied Stock.
Analysis related to Applied Digital should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
 Earnings Share
-0.39
 Revenue Per Share
1.078
 Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.501
 Return On Assets
-0.01
 Return On Equity
-0.08
Understanding Applied Digital includes distinguishing between market value and book value, where book value reflects Applied's accounting equity. Applied Digital's market capitalization is 7.68 B. With a P/B ratio of 5.3, the market values Applied Digital well above its book equity. Enterprise value stands at 8.38 B. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
It is useful to distinguish Applied Digital's value from its trading price, which are computed with different methods. For Applied Digital, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 5.3, a profit margin of -47.35%, ROE of -7.9%, and revenue of 215.51 M. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.