Applied Digital Valuation

APLD Stock  USD 27.48  -1.04  -3.65%   
Currently, Applied Digital appears to be undervalued. Applied Digital has a prevalent Real Value of $34.94 per share. The prevalent price of Applied Digital is $27.48. Our model estimates the value of Applied Digital from examining Applied Digital fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.079, profit margin of -0.47 %, and Current Valuation of 8.36 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Applied Digital's valuation include:
 Price Book
5.2846
 Enterprise Value
8.4 B
 Enterprise Value Ebitda
-7.43
 Price Sales
29.0192
 Forward PE
526.3158
Undervalued
Today
27.48
Please note that Applied Digital's price fluctuation is Low at this time. Calculation of the real value of Applied Digital is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Applied Digital's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Applied stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Applied Digital. Since Applied Digital is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Applied Stock. However, Applied Digital's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  27.48 Real  34.94 Target  45.27 Hype  26.91 Naive  27.27
Estimating the real value of Applied Digital requires analyzing Applied Digital's future cash flows, earnings power, and asset base. Various approaches such as discounted cash flow, price-to-earnings, and price-to-book models can provide different perspectives on Applied Digital's intrinsic worth.
34.94
Real Value
42.84
Upside
Evaluating the potential upside and downside for Applied Digital helps investors build a more complete risk picture. A purely fundamental view of Applied stock may understate important market and technical factors.
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.1025-0.1025-0.1025
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.0126.9134.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
19.3727.2735.16
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
41.2045.2750.25
Details
Valuing Applied Digital requires understanding both its financial fundamentals and how the market prices similar businesses. The gap between intrinsic and market value is where investment opportunities are found.
Cash is currently estimated at 137.56 Million, marking a shift of 4.76%. Applied Digital reported 131.01 Million in Cash for the previous period. As of earlier this week, Accounts Payable is projected to grow to approximately 298.9 M, although Change To Account Receivables is trending higher toward about -2.5 M.

Applied Digital Cash

137.56 Million

Applied Digital Total Value Analysis

From a capital-structure perspective, Applied Digital is being framed with enterprise value of 8.36 B, market capitalization of 7.66 B, debt obligations near 702.88 M, and cash resources of 40.83 M. That snapshot should be treated as one valuation lens rather than as final proof of fair value because the interpretation can shift quickly when financing assumptions change.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
8.36 B
7.66 B
702.88 M
40.83 M

Applied Digital Investor Information

About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.83. Applied Digital recorded a loss per share of 0.39. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm completed a 1:6 stock split on 13th of April 2022. Current financial indicators reflect structured asset utilization and capital deployment. Current profitability metrics are under pressure, reflecting a period of reduced earnings capacity. In technology businesses, recurring revenue quality, R&D investment discipline, and operating margin expansion are key durability indicators.

Applied Digital Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Applied Digital has an asset utilization ratio of 11.52 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.12 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Applied Digital is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Applied Digital Profitability Analysis

When reviewing Applied Digital's profitability measurements, Applied Digital may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the present time. Current readings indicate it has a very high chance of underperforming in April. Profitability indicators assess Applied Digital's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
 First Reported
2001-08-31
 Previous Quarter
-16.9 M
 Current Value
-17.5 M
 Quarterly Volatility
23.7 M
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit Margin is currently estimated at 0.1, marking a shift of 4.72%. Applied Digital reported 0.09 in Gross Profit Margin for the previous period.
Profitability analysis for Applied Digital works best when investors review the financial ratios and fundamental drivers that explain how efficiently the business converts revenue, assets, and operating inputs into earnings. These profitability indicators help investors judge how well Applied Digital uses its assets to create earnings power and long-term shareholder value.

Applied Digital Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Projected EPS for Applied Digital is -0.1025, with a low-high corridor of -0.1025 to -0.1025. The latest trailing EPS is -0.39, allowing a direct check of consensus level versus realized earnings base. EPS forecast analysis for Applied Digital is useful, but investors should remember that consensus numbers often reflect a normalized estimate rather than a full reconstruction of every accounting detail. Applied Digital is projected to generate -0.1025 in earnings per share on 31st of May 2026. Future earnings-per-share expectations are often a key input when investors test valuation assumptions and momentum into the next quarter.
Macro event markers
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Applied Digital Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The next forward EPS estimate for Applied Digital stands at -0.1025 per the current analyst consensus. This projection range extends from a floor of -0.1025 to a ceiling of -0.1025, reflecting the analytical uncertainty embedded in Applied Digital's forward model. The 12-month calculation period and exclusion of non-recurring items ensure a consistent earnings baseline.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
-0.1025
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.1025
-0.1025
Highest

Applied Digital Earnings Projection Consensus

The gap between Applied Digital's estimated intrinsic value and current market price is a high-level valuation diagnostic. Investors who find the estimate materially above the price may view this as a signal to investigate further. Those who find the price materially above the estimate should stress-test the earnings growth assumptions embedded in the current multiple.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of May 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1229.86%
0.0
-0.1025
-0.39

Applied Digital Ownership Allocation

Over half of Applied Digital's outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. This level of institutional participation often indicates steady inclusion in actively managed funds and index-tracking vehicles, driven by Applied Digital's size, liquidity, and analyst coverage. The 68% institutional stake in Applied Digital compares to 13% held by insiders and 18% by retail investors.

Applied Digital Profitability Analysis

The company reported previous year's revenue of 215.51 M. Net Loss for the year was -231.06 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 51.78 M.
Valuation analysis for Applied Digital should be treated as an ongoing process rather than a one-time answer, especially when investors are trying to understand how the market is pricing this stock. The practical goal is to understand how new information changes the valuation case, not to defend one static estimate after conditions move.

About Applied Digital Valuation

Applied Digital is a large-cap equity in Application Software, Information Technology Services, Information Technology categories. Capital structure affects intrinsic modeling assumptions. Applied Digital currently trades at P/B of 5.28, P/S of 29.02, enterprise value of 8.36 B.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Applied Digital is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Applied Digital may have analyst coverage included in Macroaxis-derived consensus inputs when available. Updates may occur throughout the day.

Applied Digital Growth Indicators

A growth thesis around Applied Digital should be tested carefully because strong valuation often reflects confidence that the business can keep compounding faster than peers. Used properly, growth analysis helps investors separate durable compounding from optimism that may already be fully priced in.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding201.2 M
Forward Price Earnings526.3158

Applied Digital Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation work on Applied Digital becomes more reliable when investors compare several lenses at once, including market value, enterprise value. revenue scale, and expected cash-flow durability. The better valuation questions are comparative: what is the market paying for each dollar of revenue, profit, and asset base, and is that premium justified?

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