Applied Digital Valuation

APLD Stock  USD 25.93  -0.77  -2.88%   
Applied Digital is trading at $25.93, while our valuation model places fair value closer to $24.62 per share. On that basis, the stock appears overvalued. For Applied Digital, the model's primary valuation inputs include current valuation of $7.94B and a profit margin of -47%, with an added check on probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
25.93
Please note that Applied Digital's price fluctuation is Stable at this time. The current real value estimate for Applied Digital is based on a 3 months time horizon. Increasing the horizon tends to sharpen the value estimate and improve the signal quality behind the methodology.
The fair value of the Applied stock reflects what a typical buyer may pay for full or partial control of Applied Digital. As Applied Digital trades in the market, its quoted value is determined by buyers and sellers rather than by the model alone. Any gap between market price and intrinsic value may matter if trading activity eventually pushes price closer to underlying value.
Historical Market  25.93 Real  24.62 Hype  25.93 Naive  25.58
The intrinsic value of Applied Digital is the estimate of Applied Digital's true worth based on financial fundamentals. Alternative valuation methods like price-to-earnings or price-to-book can also approximate Applied Digital's fair value. The intrinsic value gives investors a target price range anchored in business fundamentals. Financial performance, growth prospects, and competitive position together determine Applied Digital's intrinsic value.
24.62
Real Value
31.61
Upside
Measuring the upside and downside potential of Applied Digital gives a realistic sense of possible returns. Forecasting how Applied stock performs depends on integrating fundamentals and market-based signals. Understanding the full range of upside and downside possibilities supports better investment decisions. In addition to Applied Digital's fundamentals, the valuation considers technical factors and macro trends.
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.6028.0031.40
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.9425.9332.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
18.5925.5832.58
Details

Valuation Framework, Methodology & Assumptions

Applied Digital is a mid-cap equity. Capital structure affects intrinsic modeling assumptions. Applied Digital currently trades at P/B of 5.0, P/S of 27.46, enterprise value of 7.94 B.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Applied Digital is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Valuation outputs are model-derived and depend on published assumptions and reference inputs.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 13th, 2026

Growth Indicators

Growth-focused analysis of Applied Digital matters because high expectations can support outsized upside but also sharper repricing when execution slips. The practical risk is that high expectations leave less room for disappointment when results or guidance soften.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding201.2 M
Forward Price Earnings526.3158

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