Microsoft Stock Technical Analysis
| MSFT Stock | USD 388.88 -0.14 -0.04% |
Market data as of the 20th of March shows Microsoft priced at 388.88 per share. Measured indicators report Risk Adjusted Performance of -0.11, standard deviation of 1.92, and Mean Deviation of 1.25. The model examines historical data series to identify measurable trend characteristics. Technical levels are measured against peer distributions.
Microsoft Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Microsoft, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MicrosoftMicrosoft | Build portfolio with Microsoft Stock |
Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 594.62 | Strong Buy | 61 | Odds |
The recommendation profile for Microsoft reflects inputs from several research sources. The consensus average reflects the central tendency of analyst ratings for Microsoft. The recommendation profile is most useful when viewed alongside other fundamental measures. All figures are presented for informational review and are not prescriptive. Sell-side analysts covering Microsoft typically assign buy, hold, or sell ratings alongside a 12-month price target. These estimates for Microsoft are revised regularly based on earnings results, guidance updates, and changes in the competitive landscape.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.598 | Dividend Share 3.48 | Earnings Share 15.99 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.167 |
Microsoft's market capitalization and book value each provide useful but distinct information about the business. Microsoft's market capitalization is 2.91 T. At P/B 7.59, Microsoft trades at a significant premium to book value. Enterprise value stands at 2.88 T. The relationship between Microsoft's intrinsic value, market price, and book value adds depth to the analysis. Together, market value, book value, and intrinsic value form a multi-dimensional view.
Microsoft intrinsic value attempts to capture underlying worth, separate from current trading levels. For Microsoft, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 26.64, a P/B ratio of 7.59, a profit margin of 39.04%, and ROE of 34.39%. Microsoft's market price is the outcome of continuous interaction between buyers and sellers.
What if' Analysis
Backtesting a what-if scenario on Microsoft shows how the stock may have behaved if the position had been entered, held, or resized under different historical assumptions. This becomes more informative when investors use the backtest to challenge timing assumptions rather than to search for a perfect historical entry point.
| 12/20/2025 |
| 03/20/2026 |
A 0.00 entry into Microsoft on December 20, 2025 held to the present would earn 0.00 in cumulative return. The outcome is a 0.0% net return in Microsoft in total over the 90 day interval. Microsoft is often compared with Apple, Alphabet, NVIDIA, Oracle, SPS Commerce, Fortinet, and DigitalOcean Holdings based on sector and business overlap. Peer context can support comparative analysis. Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide More
Momentum Range Indicators for Microsoft Dashboard
Directional momentum for Microsoft is captured through indicators that track upside and downside price ranges. The data frames how the price has moved within recent directional ranges. The dataset is based on available price and volume observations.
| Information Ratio | -0.11 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.28 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.87 | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.19 |
Microsoft Market Risk Indicators Snapshot
These indicators track Microsoft's volatility and return range dynamics. The indicators highlight how volatility has behaved across recent periods.| Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.11 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | -0.26 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | -0.1 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | -0.62 |
Mean reversion in Microsoft's price occurs when temporary dislocations - caused by sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks - correct back toward the stock's historical fair value.
Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.11 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.61 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | -659.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Variance | 3.68 | |||
| Information Ratio | -0.11 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | -0.26 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | -0.1 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | -0.62 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.28 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.87 | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.19 | |||
| Skewness | -2.05 | |||
| Kurtosis | 9.41 |
Microsoft Backtested Returns
Microsoft currently shows a very low volatility profile across the evaluation window. It exhibits a Sharpe Ratio (Efficiency) of -0.17, indicating negative risk-adjusted returns over the last 3 months. Technical screening detected twenty-one indicators influencing risk dynamics. Please assess metrics such as risk-adjusted performance of -0.11, standard deviation of 1.92, and mean deviation of 1.25 to validate implied volatility levels. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.48, which alludes to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Returns on Microsoft tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative. At this point, Microsoft has a negative expected return of -0.34%. Please make sure to double-check Microsoft's relationship between the kurtosis and period momentum indicator, to decide if Microsoft's performance from the past will be repeated at some future date.
Auto-correlation | 0.15 |
Insignificant predictability
The autocorrelation profile for Microsoft registers insignificant predictability between the two measured intervals. When lagged price patterns show consistency, they can serve as a partial input for modeling Microsoft's near-term price behavior. A serial correlation of 0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current Microsoft price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.15 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 49.2 |
The framework analyzes Microsoft using price and volume data. The structure incorporates trend and momentum indicators. The dataset is based on observed market data across periods.
Technical Analysis
This analysis covers thirty-seven data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Microsoft volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators
Technical analysis of Microsoft evaluates price structure, momentum, and volatility clustering. Support and resistance levels frame risk boundaries for observed price regimes. Microsoft has a market cap of 2.91 T, P/E of 26.64, ROE of 34.39%.
This section for Microsoft is built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with harmonization applied to align reporting definitions. Where analyst coverage exists, consensus estimates are factored in. Values may update on different source schedules.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardMicrosoft Technical Indicators
Technical indicators tied to Microsoft help investors translate chart behavior into a more structured framework for entry, exit, and risk control. A disciplined technical workflow separates stronger setups from noisier price action.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.11 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.61 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | -659.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Variance | 3.68 | |||
| Information Ratio | -0.11 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | -0.26 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | -0.1 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | -0.62 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.28 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.87 | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.19 | |||
| Skewness | -2.05 | |||
| Kurtosis | 9.41 |
March 20, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Technical indicators tied to Microsoft help investors translate chart behavior into a more structured framework for entry, exit, and risk control. A disciplined technical workflow separates stronger setups from noisier price action.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 388.88 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 388.88 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.07 |
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