Applied Digital Stock Price Patterns

APLD Stock  USD 27.51  -0.20  -0.72%   
At this point in time, RSI for Applied Digital stands at 38, indicating moderately negative momentum. Sellers have controlled the recent tape, but the lack of extreme readings suggests downside conviction remains measured.
Momentum
Sell Extended
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Predicting where Applied Digital's stock will trade is more achievable when sentiment data complements traditional analysis. This module isolates the sentiment-driven component of price to highlight potential mispricings.
This view connects Applied Digital headline attention with price response and peer context.
The hype panel for Applied Digital summarizes attention and headline activity to frame performance context.
Applied Digital after-hype prediction price
    
  $ 27.51  
The sentiment panel provides context that can be compared with forecasting models and technical indicators.
Use Applied Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify projections for Applied Digital. The model set adds a statistical reference.
Our How to Invest in Applied Digital guide provides practical guidance on trading Applied Stock.
The mean reversion effect in Applied Digital is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamental change. Identifying the root cause of Applied Digital's price dislocation is essential before acting.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.1522.5629.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.4427.8535.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.6927.6528.62
Details
Competitive positioning is a critical dimension of Applied Digital analysis. Understanding where Applied Digital stands relative to its peers on returns, growth, and valuation helps investors assess whether its advantage is sustainable.

After-Hype Price Density Analysis

The probability distribution for Applied Digital's predicted price encodes the full spectrum of outcomes, weighted by their estimated likelihood. Investors should compare this range against their personal risk tolerance before committing to Applied Digital positions.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

The news prediction model for Applied Digital analyzes the correlation between Applied Digital's historical headline events and same-day or next-day price movements. Applied Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.10 and 34.92, respectively. Predictive accuracy varies significantly across different news categories and market regimes for Applied Digital.
Current Value
27.51
27.51
After-hype Price
34.92
Upside
The next after-hype price estimate for Applied Digital is modeled on a 3 months horizon and is intended to show how price could normalize after sentiment pressure fades. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.

Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Applied Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Applied Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Applied Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.63 
7.41
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events
0 Events
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.51
27.51
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Hype Timeline

Applied Digital is presently traded for 27.51. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Applied is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.63%. %. The volatility of related hype on Applied Digital is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.51. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.83. Applied Digital recorded a loss per share of 0.39. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm completed a 1:6 stock split on 13th of April 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Use Applied Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify projections for Applied Digital. The model set adds a statistical reference.
Our How to Invest in Applied Digital guide provides practical guidance on trading Applied Stock.

Related Hype Analysis

Sector-wide news events often affect Applied Digital before the fundamental impact on Applied Digital's own business becomes clear. Peer hype analysis helps investors distinguish between sector-level sentiment shifts and Applied Digital-specific developments.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AURAurora Innovation 0.00 0 per month 3.58 0.04 4.72 -5.21 19.63
EPAMEPAM Systems 0.00 0 per month 0.00 -0.14 4.44 -7.11 22.71
JKHYJack Henry Associates 0.00 0 per month 0.00 -0.08 2.77 -2.34 9.53
DOXAmdocs 0.00 0 per month 0.00 -0.12 1.81 -2.64 10.32
AMKRAmkor Technology 0.00 0 per month 3.80 0.1 8.73 -6.61 20.29
APPFAppfolio 0.00 0 per month 0.00 -0.18 3.16 -5.17 11.47
TTANServiceTitan Class A 0.00 0 per month 0.00 -0.15 4.88 -6.41 17.68
OTEXOpen Text Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 -0.22 2.79 -4.20 16.88
TSEMTower Semiconductor 0.00 0 per month 3.50 0.11 6.43 -7.43 20.41
CFLTConfluent 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.33 0.49 -0.29 1.19

Applied Digital Additional Predictive Modules

Predictive models for Applied Digital combine technical indicators with statistical methods to estimate probable price trajectories. Predictive models for Applied work best when confirmed by real-time indicator readings.

Sentiment Indicators & Methodology

Sentiment analysis for Applied Digital evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Tone dispersion can increase uncertainty and volatility clustering. Applied Digital has a market cap of 7.56 B, ROE of -7.9%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Applied Digital is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 8th, 2026

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