Shoe Carnival Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator

SCVL Stock  USD 17.50  0.62  3.67%   
Shoe Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Shoe Carnival's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Shoe Carnival's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Shoe Carnival fundamentals over time.
As of now the value of rsi of Shoe Carnival's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shoe Carnival's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Shoe Carnival and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Shoe Carnival's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shoe Carnival, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shoe Carnival's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.24)
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.8733
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.5633
Wall Street Target Price
19
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.53
Using Shoe Carnival hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shoe Carnival from the perspective of Shoe Carnival response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Shoe Carnival using Shoe Carnival's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Shoe using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Shoe Carnival's stock price.

Shoe Carnival Short Interest

An investor who is long Shoe Carnival may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Shoe Carnival and may potentially protect profits, hedge Shoe Carnival with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
19.8036
Short Percent
0.2722
Short Ratio
6.53
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
17.794

Shoe Carnival Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Shoe Carnival's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Shoe. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Shoe can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Shoe Carnival. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Shoe Carnival's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Shoe Carnival.

Shoe Carnival Implied Volatility

    
  0.75  
Shoe Carnival's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Shoe Carnival stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Shoe Carnival's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Shoe Carnival stock will not fluctuate a lot when Shoe Carnival's options are near their expiration.

Shoe Carnival after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shoe Carnival to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.At this time, Shoe Carnival's Inventory Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 9.06 this year, although the value of Payables Turnover will most likely fall to 12.24. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 28.8 M this year. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to rise to about 132.9 M this year.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Shoe Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Shoe Carnival's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Shoe Carnival's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Shoe Carnival stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Shoe Carnival's open interest, investors have to compare it to Shoe Carnival's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Shoe Carnival is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Shoe. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Shoe Carnival Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shoe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shoe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shoe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Shoe Carnival has current Price Action Indicator of 0.55. Price Action indicator evaluates an asset for a given trading period using the following formula: ((close - open) + (close - high) + (close - low)) / 2. This indicator is consistent with the interpretation of Japanese candlestick patterns.
Check Shoe Carnival VolatilityBacktest Shoe CarnivalInformation Ratio  

Shoe Carnival Trading Date Momentum

On January 02 2026 Shoe Carnival was traded for  17.50  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 17.64  and the lowest listed price was  16.88 . The trading volume for the day was 370.8 K. The trading history from January 2, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 3.54% .
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
Compare Shoe Carnival to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Shoe Carnival

For every potential investor in Shoe, whether a beginner or expert, Shoe Carnival's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shoe Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shoe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shoe Carnival's price trends.

Shoe Carnival Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shoe Carnival stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shoe Carnival could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shoe Carnival by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shoe Carnival Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shoe Carnival's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shoe Carnival's current price.

Shoe Carnival Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shoe Carnival stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shoe Carnival shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shoe Carnival stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shoe Carnival entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shoe Carnival Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shoe Carnival's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shoe Carnival's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shoe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Shoe Carnival is a strong investment it is important to analyze Shoe Carnival's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Shoe Carnival's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Shoe Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shoe Carnival to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shoe Carnival. If investors know Shoe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shoe Carnival listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.24)
Dividend Share
0.585
Earnings Share
2.1
Revenue Per Share
41.958
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Shoe Carnival is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shoe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shoe Carnival's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shoe Carnival's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shoe Carnival's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shoe Carnival's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shoe Carnival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shoe Carnival is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shoe Carnival's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.