Shoe Carnival Stock Price Patterns
| SCVL Stock | USD 18.28 0.02 0.11% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.24 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.8833 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.53 | Wall Street Target Price 22 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.53 |
This view maps Shoe Carnival attention shifts to recent price behavior and peer activity. This view presents sentiment context from Shoe Carnival's options flow and short interest.
Shoe Carnival Short Interest Pattern
Short interest patterns for Shoe Carnival add a positioning layer to sentiment analysis. The data is presented as positioning context without directional guidance.
200 Day MA 19.8162 | Short Percent 0.2125 | Short Ratio 8.58 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.1 M | 50 Day MA 19.3956 |
Shoe Carnival Hype-to-Price View
Attention trends around Shoe Carnival are mapped to provide sentiment context. Headline intensity is shown to frame short-term volatility context.
The sentiment-to-price relationship for Shoe Carnival is summarized for context. The view helps organize attention cycles alongside price movement.
Shoe Carnival Implied Volatility | 0.83 |
Implied volatility for Shoe Carnival provides a market-based measure of expected variability. The indicator is a neutral reference for expected variability.
This module places attention patterns for Shoe Carnival alongside recent price behavior for context.
Shoe Carnival after-hype prediction price | $ 18.26 |
The hype panel supports comparisons with forecasting models, technical signals, analyst consensus, and earnings.
Rule 16 Summary for current Shoe contract - Risk Context
Rule 16 converts implied volatility into an estimated daily move of about 0.0519% for 2026-06-18 options. The figure is a neutral volatility reference; near $ 18.28, it implies about $ 0.01 per day.
Shoe Carnival Basic Forecasting Models provides a cross-check on projections for Shoe Carnival. The models provide a structured reference point.Valuation-driven investors use mean reversion to time Shoe Carnival's investments: buying when it trades materially below its historical average valuation multiples and selling when it reaches premium territory.
Shoe Carnival After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The price distribution chart for Shoe Carnival visualizes our statistical uncertainty about Shoe Carnival's future price. This uncertainty is inherent in all forecasting, and any model claiming to eliminate it for Shoe Carnival should be viewed with skepticism.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Shoe Carnival Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Our news impact model for Shoe Carnival estimates the statistical distribution of after-hype price outcomes based on Shoe Carnival's historical reactions to comparable events. Shoe Carnival's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.75 and 20.77, respectively. The model is descriptive rather than predictive and reflects what has historically happened - not what will.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Shoe Carnival assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Shoe Carnival Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shoe Carnival is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shoe Carnival backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shoe Carnival, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 2.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events | 7 Events | In 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.28 | 18.26 | 0.00 |
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Shoe Carnival Hype Timeline
Shoe Carnival is at this time traded for 18.28. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Shoe is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shoe Carnival is about 2065.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.28. About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.76. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Shoe Carnival has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of April 2026. The firm completed a 2:1 stock split on 20th of July 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 6 days. Shoe Carnival Basic Forecasting Models provides a cross-check on projections for Shoe Carnival. The models provide a structured reference point.Shoe Carnival Related Hype Analysis
The peer hype summary table for Shoe Carnival serves as a competitive intelligence tool, helping investors understand the news sensitivity landscape around Shoe Carnival's sector and identify the companies most likely to influence Shoe Carnival's near-term performance.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OXM | Oxford Industries | -2.21 | 9 per month | 4.70 | 0.01 | 6.99 | -4.76 | 23.81 | |
| SFIX | Stitch Fix | -0.32 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.1 | 6.80 | -7.67 | 21.30 | |
| LEGH | Legacy Housing Corp | 0.07 | 4 per month | 0.00 | -0.003 | 2.90 | -3.01 | 8.93 | |
| CAL | Caleres | 0.43 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 4.98 | -6.03 | 18.10 | |
| BALY | Ballys Corp | -0.42 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 5.51 | -6.26 | 16.79 | |
| HZO | MarineMax | -0.28 | 10 per month | 2.51 | 0.07 | 7.45 | -4.67 | 16.24 | |
| BLMN | Bloomin Brands | -0.23 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 6.06 | -6.64 | 22.39 | |
| CPS | Cooper Stnd | 0.81 | 9 per month | 3.06 | 0.04 | 5.06 | -4.76 | 43.06 | |
| MLR | Miller Industries | 0.71 | 7 per month | 1.32 | 0.15 | 2.70 | -2.31 | 10.42 | |
| GDEN | Golden Entertainment | 0.22 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 1.50 | -1.42 | 3.51 |
Shoe Carnival Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Shoe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shoe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shoe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Shoe Carnival Sentiment
Sentiment analysis for Shoe Carnival evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Information shocks can change volatility expectations abruptly. Shoe Carnival has a market cap of 523.96 M, P/E of 6.77, ROE of 8.78%. 
Ellen Johnson ยท Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Shoe Carnival is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Shoe Carnival may have analyst coverage included in Macroaxis-derived consensus inputs when available. Updates may occur throughout the day.
Shoe Stock is Curated By:
Ellen Johnson ยท Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardBuilding efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try Portfolio ProphetMore Resources for Shoe Stock Analysis
A structured review of Shoe Carnival often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Financial ratios provide context for profitability, efficiency, and growth trends. Key reports that frame Shoe Carnival Stock are listed below:Shoe Carnival Basic Forecasting Models provides a cross-check on projections for Shoe Carnival. The models provide a structured reference point. Get started with Shoe Stock investing by reading our How to Invest in Shoe Stock guide.Analysis related to Shoe Carnival should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.24 | Dividend Share 0.585 | Earnings Share 2.1 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.03 |
Investors evaluate Shoe Carnival using market value and book value, each describing different facets of the business. Shoe Carnival's market capitalization is 523.96 M. A P/B ratio of 0.76 suggests Shoe Carnival trades near or below book value. Enterprise value stands at 772.43 M. Intrinsic value is an analytical estimate of Shoe Carnival's underlying worth that can differ from price and book value. Valuation methods help interpret those gaps.
Value and price for Shoe Carnival are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. For Shoe Carnival, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 6.77, a P/B ratio of 0.76, a profit margin of 5.06%, and ROE of 8.78%. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.