Semtech Stock Technical Analysis
| SMTC Stock | USD 79.49 1.68 2.07% |
As of the 27th of January, Semtech has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0791, coefficient of variation of 1030.34, and Semi Deviation of 3.0. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Semtech, as well as the relationship between them.
Semtech Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Semtech, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to SemtechSemtech's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Semtech Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 83.43 | Strong Buy | 14 | Odds |
Most Semtech analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Semtech stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Semtech, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Semtech conference calls.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Semtech. If investors know Semtech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Semtech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Earnings Share 0.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.127 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Semtech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Semtech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Semtech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Semtech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Semtech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Semtech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Semtech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Semtech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Semtech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Semtech 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Semtech's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Semtech.
| 10/29/2025 |
| 01/27/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Semtech on October 29, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Semtech or generate 0.0% return on investment in Semtech over 90 days. Semtech is related to or competes with Camtek, Onto Innovation, Cirrus Logic, Allegro Microsystems, FormFactor, ESCO Technologies, and Universal Display. Semtech Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products and adva... More
Semtech Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Semtech's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Semtech upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.15 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0734 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.27 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.16) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.78 |
Semtech Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Semtech's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Semtech's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Semtech historical prices to predict the future Semtech's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0791 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1749 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0795 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1556 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Semtech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Semtech January 27, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0791 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1656 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.15 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1030.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.42 | |||
| Variance | 11.68 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0734 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1749 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0795 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1556 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.27 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.16) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.97) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1344 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.3414 |
Semtech Backtested Returns
Semtech appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Semtech owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.081, which indicates the firm had a 0.081 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Semtech, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Semtech's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0791, semi deviation of 3.0, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1030.34 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Semtech holds a performance score of 6. The entity has a beta of 2.07, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Semtech will likely underperform. Please check Semtech's treynor ratio, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Semtech's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.58 |
Modest predictability
Semtech has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Semtech time series from 29th of October 2025 to 13th of December 2025 and 13th of December 2025 to 27th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Semtech price movement. The serial correlation of 0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Semtech price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.58 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.39 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 10.1 |
Semtech technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Semtech Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Semtech volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Semtech Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Semtech on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Semtech based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Semtech price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Semtech. By analyzing Semtech's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Semtech's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Semtech specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 12.71 | 7.64 | 8.79 | 9.16 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 92.44 | 131.88 | 118.7 | 90.27 |
Semtech January 27, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Semtech help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Semtech from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Semtech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0791 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1656 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.15 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1030.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.42 | |||
| Variance | 11.68 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0734 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1749 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0795 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1556 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.27 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.16) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.97) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1344 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.3414 |
Semtech January 27, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Semtech stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 63,580 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.44) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 80.58 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 80.21 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.93) |
Complementary Tools for Semtech Stock analysis
When running Semtech's price analysis, check to measure Semtech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Semtech is operating at the current time. Most of Semtech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Semtech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Semtech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Semtech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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