Semtech Stock Performance
| SMTC Stock | USD 73.60 -4.75 -6.06% |
The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.5, which alludes to generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. As returns on the market increase, returns on Semtech tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Semtech is likely to outperform the market. Semtech right now owns a risk of 3.77%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days, Semtech generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. Current market capitalization is about 6.81 Billion. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Semtech is not utilizing all of its potential. The newest price tumult may contribute to shorter-term losses for shareholders. Learn More
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 128.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -11.9 M |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 7,530 in Semtech on December 22, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 170.00 from holding Semtech or given up 2.26% of portfolio value over 90 days. Semtech is currently generating a 0.0333% daily expected return and carries 3.7663% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Semtech, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
Price forecasting for Semtech Stock often builds on the principle of mean reversion, where prices tend to converge toward historical averages. While this pattern is broadly applicable across stocks, persistent mispricings in some instruments highlight the role of additional risk factors in pricing dynamics.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 73.60 | 90 days | 73.60 | about 92.25 |
Based on probability analysis of this stock, the likelihood of Semtech moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.25 (This stock probability distribution maps the expected range of Semtech Stock prices over 90 days).
Semtech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Semtech
No single forecasting method can reliably predict the stock market, but the practice of applying multiple models to instruments like Semtech remains a core element of investment analysis. Comparing results supports building a more complete picture and prepare for a range of potential outcomes.The degree to which Semtech's exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information. In highly covered equities, the mean reversion window tends to be shorter.
Primary Risk Indicators
Over the past 10-20 years, the stock market has seen violent swings that have tested investor resolve. Semtech has been part of this volatility. Those holding Semtech should consider a hedging strategy that accounts for Semtech's changing volatility and market elasticity to limit downside losses.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.026 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Stocks like Semtech can experience rapid changes in technical and fundamental conditions. Setting up alerts for Semtech ensures investors receive timely notifications about significant developments that may affect their positions.| Semtech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported previous year's revenue of 1.05 B. Net Loss for the year was -161.9 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 551.4 M. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Price Density Drivers
Price density analysis for Semtech focuses on the forces that drive short-term price movements. The indicators below highlight key market dynamics including the balance between long and short positioning, volume patterns, and volatility trends.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 88.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 195.2 M |
Semtech Fundamentals Growth
Semtech's revenue trajectory, earnings quality, and financial leverage are the key fundamentals that drive Semtech Stock market valuation. Investors who track these metrics gain a clearer view of the forces shaping Semtech Stock price behavior.
| Return On Equity | -0.074 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0585 | |||
| Profit Margin | -0.04 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 7.11 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 92.54 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 32.54 X | |||
| Price To Book | 12.39 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 6.49 X | |||
| Revenue | 1.05 B | |||
| EBITDA | 174.4 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 376.07 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 5.92 X | |||
| Total Debt | 491.2 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.24 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 5.94 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 57.99 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | -0.46 X | |||
| Total Asset | 1.41 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | -395.69 M | |||
| Current Asset | 341.22 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 103.89 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Semtech performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-return balance shapes allocation context across cycles. Semtech shows ROE of -7.4%, ROA of 5.85%.
Unless otherwise specified, data for Semtech is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.