Meritage Stock Technical Analysis
| MTH Stock | USD 70.19 0.68 0.98% |
As of the 3rd of February, Meritage secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0129, mean deviation of 1.69, and Downside Deviation of 1.99. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Meritage, as well as the relationship between them.
Meritage Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Meritage, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MeritageMeritage's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Meritage Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 83.25 | Buy | 12 | Odds |
Most Meritage analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Meritage stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Meritage, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Meritage conference calls.
Is there potential for Household Durables market expansion? Will Meritage introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Meritage. Expected growth trajectory for Meritage significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Meritage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Dividend Share 1.72 | Earnings Share 6.42 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
The market value of Meritage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Meritage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Meritage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Meritage's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Meritage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Meritage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Meritage's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Meritage represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Meritage's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Meritage 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Meritage's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Meritage.
| 11/05/2025 |
| 02/03/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Meritage on November 5, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Meritage or generate 0.0% return on investment in Meritage over 90 days. Meritage is related to or competes with KB Home, Cavco Industries, MI Homes, Skyline, Taylor Morn, Graphic Packaging, and Asbury Automotive. Meritage Homes Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs and builds single-family homes in the United States More
Meritage Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Meritage's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Meritage upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.79 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.46 |
Meritage Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Meritage's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Meritage's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Meritage historical prices to predict the future Meritage's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0129 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.006 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Meritage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Meritage February 3, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0129 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.016 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 12411.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.43 | |||
| Variance | 5.88 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.006 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.79 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.87) | |||
| Skewness | 1.42 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.85 |
Meritage Backtested Returns
Meritage is very steady at the moment. Meritage has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0539, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0539 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Meritage, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Meritage's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0129, mean deviation of 1.69, and Downside Deviation of 1.99 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. Meritage has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.59, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Meritage will likely underperform. Meritage right now secures a risk of 2.38%. Please verify Meritage skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to decide if Meritage will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | 0.83 |
Very good predictability
Meritage has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Meritage time series from 5th of November 2025 to 20th of December 2025 and 20th of December 2025 to 3rd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Meritage price movement. The serial correlation of 0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Meritage price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.83 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.8 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 18.13 |
Meritage technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Meritage Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Meritage across different markets.
About Meritage Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Meritage on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Meritage based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Meritage price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Meritage. By analyzing Meritage's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Meritage's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Meritage specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.026 | 0.0247 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.8 | 0.76 |
Meritage February 3, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Meritage help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Meritage from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Meritage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0129 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.016 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 12411.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.43 | |||
| Variance | 5.88 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.006 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.79 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.87) | |||
| Skewness | 1.42 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.85 |
Meritage February 3, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Meritage stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.01 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 69.85 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 69.96 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.68 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.68 |
Complementary Tools for Meritage Stock analysis
When running Meritage's price analysis, check to measure Meritage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Meritage is operating at the current time. Most of Meritage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Meritage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Meritage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Meritage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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