First Mid Illinois Stock Technical Analysis
| FMBH Stock | USD 39.38 -0.78 -1.94% |
On the 9th of March, First Mid is quoted at 39.38 per share. Observed technical values include Downside Deviation of 1.59, coefficient of variation of 2122.29, and Mean Deviation of 1.25. The framework analyzes price history and volume dynamics to measure short- and intermediate-term momentum. Indicator readings are benchmarked against comparable companies.
First Mid Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Mid's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.First Mid Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 48.0 | Buy | 7 | Odds |
First Mid Illinois current and past analyst recommendations are summarized from multiple research sources. It also summarizes the average analyst consensus. Wall Street analysts covering First Mid Illinois typically update their price targets and ratings quarterly following earnings releases. These consensus estimates reflect the collective view of professional researchers who monitor First's financials, competitive positioning, and management.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.238 | Dividend Share 0.98 | Earnings Share 3.83 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 |
The market value of First Mid Illinois is measured differently than book value, which reflects First accounting equity. Intrinsic value is an estimate of what First Mid's fundamentals imply, and it may differ from market and book figures. External forces such as sentiment and macro conditions can shift prices away from fundamental signals. Analytical frameworks help compare those viewpoints.
Note that First Mid's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. Evaluation typically reviews profitability, growth, balance sheet strength, industry position, and market signals. The quoted price is simply the exchange level where supply meets demand.
First Mid 'What if' Analysis
Running a what-if backtest on First Mid Illinois gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. Used properly, this review helps investors decide whether First Mid's historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
| 12/09/2025 |
| 03/09/2026 |
If you invested 0.00 in First Mid on December 9, 2025 and closed the position today, you would earn 0.00 in net gains. This reflects a 0.0% return on investment in First Mid in total across 90 days.. First Mid is related to or competes with Southside Bancshares, Univest Pennsylvania, Tompkins Financial, Amalgamated Bank, Burke Herbert, Hanmi Financial, and Dime Community. This provides context for relative positioning. First Mid Bancshares, Inc., a financial holding company, provides community banking products and services to commercial,... More
First Mid Upside and Downside Indicators Snapshot
Upside and downside indicators for First Mid summarize momentum balance and potential range context for the stock. They provide a structured view of short-term momentum and range behavior.
| Downside Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0415 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.59 | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.3 |
First Mid Market Risk Indicators Snapshot
Market risk indicators summarize volatility and return dispersion for First Mid. The signals are informational and describe volatility patterns.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0421 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0716 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0719 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0451 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0571 |
Mean reversion is the tendency of First Mid's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Investors who identify when First Mid's is significantly above or below its mean may find compelling entry or exit opportunities.
First Mid Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0421 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0671 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2122.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0415 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0716 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0719 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0451 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0571 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.59 | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.36 | |||
| Skewness | 0.4524 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.73 |
First Mid Illinois Backtested Returns
First Mid reflects a low volatility profile within the chosen horizon. It exhibits a Sharpe Ratio of 0.0134, capturing return dispersion relative to standard deviation. Algorithmic screening detected thirty volatility-sensitive metrics. Please evaluate metrics such as mean deviation of 1.25, downside deviation of 1.59, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2122.29 to verify consistency between risk and return assumptions. First Mid has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm maintains a market beta of 1.25, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, First Mid will likely underperform. First Mid Illinois presently maintains a risk of 1.71%. Please verify First Mid expected short fall, accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price .
Auto-correlation | -0.58 |
Good reverse predictability
First Mid Illinois exhibits good reverse predictability. Autocorrelation measures the degree of predictability between First Mid time series from 9th of December 2025 to 23rd of January 2026 and from 23rd of January 2026 to 9th of March 2026. The stronger the relationship between the current interval and its lagged values, the more accurately future price behavior of First Mid Illinois may be projected. A serial correlation of -0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current First Mid price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements. Given that First Mid Illinois has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.58 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.22 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.54 |
First Mid technical stock analysis uses price and volume transformations to study behavior. Common inputs include moving averages, RSI, regressions, and price-return correlations.
First Mid Illinois Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Mid Illinois volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
First Mid Momentum and Trend Context
Technical analysis of First Mid evaluates price structure, momentum, and volatility clustering. Momentum divergence can indicate regime transitions. We assess how First Mid aligns with strategic allocation principles over extended horizons.
Methodology
Unless otherwise specified, financial data for First Mid Illinois is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. First (USA Stocks:FMBH) prices are typically delayed by approximately 20 minutes from primary exchanges for listed equities. Data may be delayed depending on reporting sources and market conventions Technical and fundamental diagnostic scores are rule-based values computed from historical price and fundamental inputs.
Assumptions
Underlying inputs rely on public filings and market reference sources, including disclosures from U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) via EDGAR. Values may reflect publication timing differences. All analytics are generated using standardized, rules-based models designed to promote consistency and comparability across instruments. Model assumptions, reference parameters, and selected computational inputs are available in the Model Inputs section. If you have questions about our data sources or methodology, please contact Macroaxis Support.Analyst Sources
First Mid Illinois may have analyst coverage included in Macroaxis-derived consensus inputs when available. Updates may occur throughout the day.
First Mid Technical Indicators
A technical review of First Mid Illinois can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0421 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0671 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2122.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0415 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0716 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0719 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0451 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0571 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.59 | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.36 | |||
| Skewness | 0.4524 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.73 |
First Mid March 9, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
A technical review of First Mid Illinois can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.03 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.60 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 39.63 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 39.54 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.63 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.31 |
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