First Mid Illinois Stock Price Patterns
| FMBH Stock | USD 39.88 0.01 0.03% |
Momentum
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.238 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.096 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.4171 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.8014 | Wall Street Target Price 48 |
This section frames First Mid Illinois response to recent headlines in a peer context. Sentiment context here is built from First Mid's options activity and short interest data.
Explore Dividend Yield or Price To Sales Ratio for further details.
First Mid Implied Volatility | 0.98 |
Implied volatility for First Mid provides a market-based measure of expected variability. This context can be compared with historical volatility and price movement.
This section maps attention patterns around First Mid and relates them to recent price behavior.
First Mid after-hype prediction price | $ 39.87 |
The hype panel supports comparisons with forecasting models, technical signals, analyst consensus, and earnings.
Rule 16 Overview for current First contract
Based on Rule 16, the market-implied daily move for 2026-04-17 options is about 0.0613%. At a recent price around $ 39.88, the implied daily move is approximately $ 0.02, which is informational only.
Use First Mid Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify projections for First Mid. The models provide a structured reference point.Mean reversion is the tendency of First Mid's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Investors who identify when First Mid's is significantly above or below its mean may find compelling entry or exit opportunities.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This probability density chart for First Mid shows how predicted future prices are distributed across a range of outcomes. Wider distributions reflect higher uncertainty, while narrow distributions indicate greater consensus about First Mid's likely price range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Historical news analysis for First Mid provides statistically derived price boundaries for the session following a significant headline. First Mid's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.21 and 41.53, respectively. These boundaries are derived from First Mid's past price reactions to comparable news events, not forward-looking forecasts.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of First Mid Illinois across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. The objective is to separate event-driven enthusiasm from a more stable price path once the market absorbs the catalyst.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Mid is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Mid backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Mid, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.68 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 10 Events | 5 Events | In 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.88 | 39.87 | 0.00 |
|
Hype Timeline
First Mid Illinois is currently traded for 39.88. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Mid is about 908.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.87. About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.09. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Mid Illinois has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.27. The company had its last dividend issued on the 12th of February 2026. The firm completed a 3:2 stock split on 2nd of July 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 10 days. Use First Mid Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify projections for First Mid. The models provide a structured reference point.Related Hype Analysis
Monitoring how First Mid's competitors respond to market-moving news provides a leading indicator for how First Mid itself may react to similar events. Peer hype analysis captures this cross-asset sentiment signal.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SBSI | Southside Bancshares | -1.04 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.73 | -2.11 | 9.35 | |
| UVSP | Univest Pennsylvania | -0.32 | 8 per month | 1.52 | 0.01 | 3.18 | -2.11 | 9.94 | |
| TMP | Tompkins Financial | -1.04 | 2 per month | 1.69 | 0.05 | 2.72 | -3.00 | 10.52 | |
| AMAL | Amalgamated Bank | -1.04 | 2 per month | 1.36 | 0.17 | 3.73 | -2.13 | 11.09 | |
| BHRB | Burke Herbert Financial | 1.58 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 2.35 | -3.63 | 8.30 | |
| HAFC | Hanmi Financial | -0.10 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 3.27 | -2.05 | 18.20 | |
| DCOM | Dime Community Bancshares | -1.50 | 7 per month | 1.42 | 0.09 | 3.41 | -2.69 | 13.01 | |
| FSUN | FirstSun Capital Bancorp | 1.58 | 26 per month | 0.00 | 0.002 | 3.02 | -3.21 | 10.07 | |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares | -0.09 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.47 | -2.07 | 9.55 | |
| MOFG | MidWestOne Financial Group | 0.12 | 4 per month | 1.11 | 0.20 | 3.03 | -2.28 | 13.04 |
First Mid Additional Predictive Modules
Predictive models for First Mid combine technical indicators with statistical methods to estimate probable price trajectories. Ensemble techniques that blend multiple model outputs often produce more stable predictions than any single model.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sentiment Indicators & Methodology
Sentiment analysis for First Mid evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. More limited liquidity could contribute to wider spreads in certain market environments. First Mid has a market cap of 1.06 B, P/E of 14.51, ROE of 10.17%.
Data shown for First Mid Illinois is aggregated from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized across reporting formats. Analyst inputs may be included when coverage is available. Source publication cadence can introduce delays.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Vlad Skutelnik - Macroaxis ContributorCurrently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Popular Tools for First Stock analysis
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges |