Super Micro Computer Stock Analysis

SMCI Stock  USD 30.77  0.00  0.00%   
Market data shows Super Micro stock at $30.77 as of March 16th, with daily price action between $30.22 and $31.23. Below is an adjusted historical price chart for Super Micro Computer covering the period since March 29, 2007, with global recession periods overlaid for macro context.
 200 Day MA
41.1072
 50 Day MA
31.1774
 Beta
1.487
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
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Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Super Micro Computer appears overvalued based on a Real Value estimate of $26.07 and a Target Price of $41.31. The primary objective of stock analysis is intrinsic value estimation. This frames what Super Micro Computer could be worth beyond short-term market pricing. This stock framework combines fundamental analysis with technical analysis. Each method adds a different lens on value and price action.
Super Micro Computer holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.435. Short and Long Term Debt is projected to change by approximately 40.69% year over year. Year-ago financials show Super Micro with Short and Long Term Debt of 86.32 Million. As of 03/16/2026, Debt To Equity is forecasted to advance to 0.92 this year, although Net Debt is expected to rise to under -427.2 M. Rising leverage can increase Super Micro's financial risk sensitivity. Interest payments can affect earnings and coverage ratios over time.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

According to the latest estimates, Operating Cash Flow Per Share is growing with a magnitude of about 5.03%. Super Micro filed Operating Cash Flow Per Share of 3.21 for the preceding year. As of 03/16/2026, Capex To Depreciation is forecasted to advance to 3.15 this year, whereas Market Cap is moving lower toward under 262.2 M.
 Price Book
2.6408
 Enterprise Value Ebitda
15.9454
 Price Sales
0.6581
 Shares Float
499.6 M
 Wall Street Target Price
41.3125
Latest disclosures for Super Micro Computer show a decline of $36.1 million in Net Income, $1.0 billion in Net Income, and $772.8 million in Net Income Applicable To Common Shares.
For additional insight, see Gross Profit and Total Revenue.

Stock Analysis Notes

About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Super Micro was at this time reported as 11.67. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. Super Micro Computer had not issued any dividends in recent years. The company completed a 10:1 stock split on 1st of October 2024. Latest disclosures for Super Micro Computer show $14.0 billion in Total Assets, a Return On Tangible Assets of 5.9%, and $2.11 in Asset Turnover.

Gross Profit

2.93 Billion
The current value of Gross Profit is estimated at 2.93 Billion, reflecting a growing pattern. In the prior fiscal year, Gross Profit was reported at 2.79 Billion.

Investor Insights and Alerts

Super Micro Computer had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Super Micro Computer Stock Price Down 2.8 percent Should You Sell

Largest EPS Surprises

On Super Micro, EPS surprise size and direction can reshape short-term return distribution. Consensus estimates aggregate analyst revisions and guidance updates. For this stock, read EPS surprises with profitability quality and forward revisions.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2008-01-30
2007-12-310.180.20.0211 
2007-08-07
2007-06-300.120.140.0216 
2013-04-23
2013-03-310.20.230.0315 
View All Earnings Estimates

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

ESG scores for Super Micro Computer give investors a structured way to track environmental, social, and governance factors that may influence operating resilience and capital allocation over time. For long-horizon investors, ESG trends can add context around durability, stewardship, and the probability of avoidable operational setbacks.

Top Institutional Investors Holding Super Stock

Institutions hold about 56.33% of shares while insiders own roughly 13.85%. Annual revenue is about 21.97 Billion. How Super Micro Computer institutional base reacts to earnings revisions or sector shifts can move the price in the short term. Shares outstanding are near 600.5 M. Whether the institutional base is growing or shrinking quarter over quarter matters more than the current snapshot.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2025-09-30
4.8 M
Norges Bank2025-12-31
4.7 M
Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa2025-12-31
4.5 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-12-31
4.1 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-12-31
M
Legal & General Group Plc2025-12-31
M
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board2025-12-31
3.7 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2025-09-30
3.3 M
Clear Street Group Inc2025-09-30
3.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-12-31
68 M
Blackrock Inc2025-09-30
40.6 M
At 18.46 Billion, Super Micro Computer sits in mid-cap territory where institutional context matters most alongside valuation and volatility readings. The business currently sits in the Technology sector and the Computer Hardware industry. Shares outstanding are near 600.5 M. Comparing institutional flows with insider activity and short interest builds a fuller picture for a mid-cap like Super Micro Computer.

Market Capitalization

Super Micro Computer carries a large-cap market capitalization of 18.46 B when compared with technology hardware, storage & peripherals companies. The broader capitalization picture also reflects enterprise value near 19.28 B, a workforce of about 6,238 people, and about 600.48 M shares outstanding.

Profitability

A solid profitability review of Super Micro Computer links sales quality, cost discipline, and financing structure to the company's ability to produce repeatable economic returns through different market conditions. The important distinction is whether current profitability is structural, cyclical, or temporarily boosted by one-off items that may not repeat in the next reporting window.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 3.0 %, which may indicate that the company has good control over its costs. This is typical for the industry. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 4.0 %, which signifies that for every $100 of sales, the company has a net operating income of $4.0.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07 0.06
Return On Capital Employed 0.12 0.19
Return On Assets 0.07 0.06
Return On Equity 0.19 0.17

Management Efficiency

The company has return on total asset (ROA) of 3.42 % which means that for every $100 of assets, it generated a profit of $3.42. This is typical for the industry. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 13.19 %, which means that it generated $13.19 on every $100 invested by stockholders.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 9.55 10.03
Tangible Book Value Per Share 9.55 10.03
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 24.82 16.53
Price Book Value Ratio 5.31 4.04
Enterprise Value Multiple 24.82 16.53
Price Fair Value 5.31 4.04
Enterprise Value356.1 M249.2 M
The management picture for Super Micro Computer becomes more useful when investors compare executive decisions with financial outcomes rather than with presentation language alone. Used correctly, management analysis helps investors determine whether recent results reflect skill, favorable timing, or a mix of both.
 Operating Margin
0.0374
 Long Term Debt Total
145.1 M
 Three Month Return
-1.98
 Short Long Term Debt Total
5.8 B
 Ten Year Return
870.03155

Technical Drivers

As of the 16th of March 2026, the last recorded price for Super Micro is 30.77 per share. Primary technical drivers reflect Coefficient Of Variation of -3,133, risk adjusted performance of -0.02, and Variance of 16.9. Quantitative analysis incorporates volatility metrics and price behavior to assess directional bias. Metrics are compared to industry averages to assess relative positioning.

Super Micro Computer Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
This analysis covers thirty-eight data points across the selected time horizon. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Super Micro middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Super Micro Computer. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Insider Trading Activities

Insider trading disclosures for Super Micro Computer offer a structured way to watch how people closest to the business are behaving while expectations change across the market. It trades on NASDAQ in US. The business currently sits in the Technology sector and the Computer Hardware industry.

Outstanding Bonds

Corporate bonds issued by Super Micro Computer matter because they shape interest expense, maturity risk, and the flexibility management has during tighter credit conditions. Used together with earnings and cash-flow analysis, the bond stack can reveal whether leverage is a manageable tool or a developing constraint.

Predictive Daily Indicators

For active positions in Super Micro Computer, intraday indicators can reveal when the market is confirming a move and when the move is losing sponsorship. Used carefully, they can improve execution quality without encouraging investors to overtrade every minor fluctuation.

Corporate Filings

12th of March 2026
Other Reports
ViewVerify
3rd of March 2026
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
19th of February 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of February 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
10th of February 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
6th of February 2026
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
3rd of February 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of February 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Forecast Models

A forecasting framework for Super Micro Computer usually starts with historical data because market prices often carry information about trend, momentum, and regime shifts before fundamentals fully update. The practical edge is usually not the forecast itself, but the ability to recognize when the data is becoming less predictable.

Debt to Cash Allocation

The debt-to-cash mix for Super Micro helps explain how management balances flexibility and funding cost through a business cycle.
Super Micro Computer currently holds $4.78 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.44, which is broadly in line with comparable companies. Super Micro Computer has a current ratio of 1.87, which is within standard range for the sector. Note, when we think about Super Micro's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Total Assets Over Time

Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Super Micro uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.
Super Micro Debt Ratio
    
  32.0   
It feels like under 68% of Super Micro's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Super Micro's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Super Micro, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Corporate Bonds Issued

Bond maturity for Super Micro is a core risk dimension. Longer duration can offer higher yield, but price sensitivity and credit uncertainty also increase.

Super Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

5.77 Billion
Year-over-year analysis suggests Short and Long Term Debt Total is positioned to increase significantly. Year-ago financials show Super Micro with Short and Long Term Debt Total of 5.5 Billion.

Stock Analysis Methodology

The diagnostic framework for Super Micro evaluates financial stability, profitability trends, and market-derived risk indicators. Super Micro trades at P/E of 55.89, P/B of 2.64, P/S of 0.66. Profitability metrics show ROE of 13.19%, net margin of 3.11%, operating margin of 3.74%. Balance sheet indicators include debt-to-equity of 0.44 and current ratio of 1.91. Financial distress probability is estimated at 4%, indicating low near-term solvency risk. RSI at 48 is in neutral territory. A beta of 2.5375 indicates amplified sensitivity to market swings. Sharpe ratio of 0.0086 reflects the risk-adjusted return profile. Super Micro has a market cap of 18.46 B, P/E of 55.89, ROE of 13.19%.

For Super Micro Computer, this section uses periodic company reporting and market reference feeds with Macroaxis normalization rules applied to keep cross-asset comparisons consistent. Professional analyst research is incorporated when available for this name. Intraday timing differences may exist.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on February 22nd, 2026

Current Super Analyst Rating Consensus

Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
41.31Buy18Odds
Analyst recommendations for Super Micro Computer are summarized across multiple research providers. The summary includes average consensus context. Analyst ratings for Super Micro Computer aggregate the views of institutional research teams who conduct deep fundamental analysis, build financial models, and speak directly with Super's management. Consensus upgrades or downgrades often have meaningful short-term impact on the stock price.
Super Analyst Advice Details

Super Stock Analysis Indicators

Diagnostics snapshot includes 19 indicators such as Begin Period Cash Flow, Long Term Debt, Common Stock Shares Outstanding.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.7 B
Long Term Debt4.7 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding628.4 M
Total Stockholder Equity6.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-183.2 M
Tax Provision156.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.192
Property Plant And Equipment Net798.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.2 B
Cash5.2 B
Accounts Payable1.3 B
Net Debt-391.1 M
50 Day M A31.1774
Total Current Liabilities2.3 B
Other Operating Expenses20.7 B
Non Current Assets Total1.7 B
Forward Price Earnings11.5207
Non Currrent Assets Other198.8 M
Stock Based Compensation314.5 M

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