Appfolio Stock Price Patterns
| APPF Stock | USD 158.57 -2.48 -1.54% |
Momentum
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.61 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4445 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.558 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.9579 | Wall Street Target Price 270.8333 |
News-driven attention for Appfolio is tracked against observed price changes. The dataset reflects current headline and market observations. Options positioning and short interest are used here to outline sentiment for Appfolio. The data reflects current market observations.
Short Interest Panel - Appfolio
Short interest data for Appfolio provides context on how positioning evolves. The dataset reflects available inputs without directional implication.
200 Day MA 234.9614 | Short Percent 0.0993 | Short Ratio 3.66 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 190.3751 |
Hype and Price Context: Appfolio
Attention intensity around Appfolio is tracked to provide a sentiment overlay. Sentiment trends are presented alongside price data for comparative review.
This view frames how attention trends relate to observed price behavior for Appfolio. All metrics are derived from available inputs and shown for reference.
Appfolio Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
The implied volatility reading for Appfolio reflects how much price movement the market anticipates. The reading is provided as context for near-term price variability.
Hype and attention metrics for Appfolio are presented as informational context. News-driven sentiment is tracked to provide context for short-term price patterns.
Appfolio after-hype prediction price | $ 159.38 |
Hype signals are presented as complementary context to forecasting, technicals, and analyst estimates. Together, these signals provide a multi-dimensional perspective on the stock.
Rule 16 Overview for current Appfolio contract
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, implied volatility for 2026-05-15 options suggests a daily move of about 0.0394%. At a recent price around $ 158.57, the implied move is approximately $ 0.06 per day.
Appfolio | Build portfolio with Appfolio Stock |
Experienced investors tracking Appfolio's watch for mean reversion setups where price has deviated from its long-run average. Sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks are common catalysts for these temporary dislocations in Appfolio.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This chart illustrates the range of possible Appfolio price outcomes given current conditions and historical patterns. The shape of Appfolio's distribution - whether symmetric, skewed, or fat-tailed - carries important information for risk assessment.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
News-driven price analysis for Appfolio quantifies the historical link between headline events and Appfolio's short-term response. Appfolio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 156.70 and 162.06, respectively. These are statistical reference points, not precise predictions for Appfolio.
Current Value
The next after-hype price estimate for Appfolio is modeled on a 3 months horizon and is intended to show how price could normalize after sentiment pressure fades. Appfolio is Very Low at this time.
Price Outlook Analysis
Price runs in a Company like Appfolio can go against the basics, driven by forces beyond earnings. When news about Appfolio picks up, it can start a cycle where attention feeds more price action. When hype drives Appfolio up, the resulting high price may offer a short-sale chance once momentum fades. Staying disciplined with Appfolio during momentum surges helps avoid buying at peaks that will not hold.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.61 | 2.68 | 1.69 | 0.34 | 9 Events | 7 Events | In 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
158.57 | 159.38 | 1.03 |
|
Hype Timeline
Appfolio is presently traded for 158.57. The company has historical hype elasticity of -1.69, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.34. Appfolio is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 159.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 96.75%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.03%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.61%. The volatility of related hype on Appfolio is about 479.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 158.23. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 9 days. Appfolio's projection data can be cross-verified against Appfolio Basic Forecasting Models. Model-derived estimates add a structured perspective to the projection discussion.Related Hype Analysis
When a direct competitor of Appfolio experiences a significant news event, the market often re-rates Appfolio's shares. Sector-wide trends often appear in Appfolio's peer data before they are fully reflected in Appfolio's own price.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OTEX | Open Text Corp | -1.69 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.20 | 3.03 | -4.56 | 16.88 | |
| IDCC | InterDigital | -3.33 | 14 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 5.09 | -6.62 | 17.57 | |
| PEGA | Pegasystems | -0.97 | 14 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 5.03 | -7.45 | 16.88 | |
| PAYC | Paycom Software | -2.92 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.17 | 4.29 | -4.98 | 9.61 | |
| NICE | Nice Ltd ADR | -2.27 | 9 per month | 2.34 | 0.04 | 4.33 | -2.84 | 16.08 | |
| GTM | ZoomInfo Technologies | -0.20 | 11 per month | 0.00 | -0.21 | 4.57 | -6.96 | 17.95 | |
| MANH | Manhattan Associates | 11.42 | 16 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 3.35 | -4.77 | 14.73 | |
| TTAN | ServiceTitan Class A | -4.85 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.16 | 4.88 | -6.41 | 17.68 | |
| ESTC | Elastic NV | 0.36 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.14 | 3.79 | -7.71 | 21.62 | |
| DSGX | Descartes Systems Group | -1.14 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 3.49 | -5.13 | 11.20 |
Appfolio Additional Predictive Modules
Predictive techniques for Appfolio leverage pattern repetition in price and volume data to generate forward-looking scenarios. Non-stationary data - where mean and variance shift over time - is the norm for Appfolio, making adaptive models preferable.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sentiment Indicators & Methodology
Sentiment analysis for Appfolio evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Media clustering can elevate variability and short-term dispersion. Appfolio has a market cap of 6.01 B, P/E of 26.83, ROE of 26.54%.
This section for Appfolio is built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with reporting definitions aligned before display. Sell-side coverage, where present, supplements the data shown. Values may update on different source schedules.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardCurrently Active Assets on Macroaxis
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