Abercrombie Fitch Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 92.64 95.46 98.28 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 89.76 92.57 95.39 Details

12 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 104.31 114.62 127.23 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 2.15 2.22 2.23 Details

Abercrombie Fitch After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Abercrombie Fitch Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Abercrombie Fitch Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.28	2.80	0.17	0.44	4 Events / Month	4 Events / Month	In about 4 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
95.37	95.54	0.18	451.61   Notes

Abercrombie Fitch Hype Timeline

On the 6th of September Abercrombie Fitch is traded for 95.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.44. Abercrombie is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 95.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Abercrombie Fitch is about 177.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 94.93. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.95 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 574.02 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.2 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Abercrombie Fitch Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Abercrombie Stock please use our How to Invest in Abercrombie Fitch guide.

Abercrombie Fitch Related Hype Analysis

Abercrombie Fitch Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Abercrombie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abercrombie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abercrombie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Abercrombie Fitch stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Abercrombie Fitch, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Abercrombie Fitch based on analysis of Abercrombie Fitch hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Abercrombie Fitch depends on current market conditions and Abercrombie Fitch's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abercrombie Fitch is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abercrombie Fitch's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Abercrombie Fitch's future price predictability will typically decrease when Abercrombie Fitch's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Abercrombie Fitch often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Abercrombie Fitch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abercrombie Fitch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Abercrombie Fitch's price analysis, check to measure Abercrombie Fitch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Abercrombie Fitch is operating at the current time. Most of Abercrombie Fitch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Abercrombie Fitch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Abercrombie Fitch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Abercrombie Fitch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.