Selective Insurance Group Stock Performance
| SIGI Stock | USD 74.94 0.18 0.24% |
The company has a Beta (Market Sensitivity) of 0.5, which conveys generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. Returns on Selective Insurance tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative. At this point, Selective Insurance has a negative expected return of -0.18%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
For the recent 90-day horizon, Selective Insurance Group failed to convert risk into positive risk-adjusted performance. Used correctly, this score supports evaluation of raw price movement versus actual return efficiency. Despite latest unsteady performance, the stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the firm's traders. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.41 | Five Day Return 1.22 | Year To Date Return -10.49 | Ten Year Return 109.94 | All Time Return 16.9 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.022 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.62 | Dividend Date 2026-03-02 |
1 | Acquisition by Bacus Lisa R of 600 shares of Selective Insurance at 84.81 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/03/2026 |
2 | Disposition of 1595 shares by Michael Lanza of Selective Insurance at 90.1 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/06/2026 |
3 | Selective Insurance Group Flags 9-10 percent Casualty Severity, Targets 2026 Margin Gains at Bof A Conference | 02/11/2026 |
4 | Disposition of 1064 shares by Anthony Harnett of Selective Insurance at 87.325 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/17/2026 |
5 | Is It Time To Reassess Selective Insurance Group After Recent Sector Coverage | 02/18/2026 |
6 | Analysts Set Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Price Target at 83.00 | 02/23/2026 |
| Selective Insurance dividend paid on 2nd of March 2026 | 03/02/2026 |
7 | Should You Invest in the State Street SPDR SP Insurance ETF | 03/09/2026 |
8 | Acquisition by Eppers Joseph of 2711 shares of Selective Insurance subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/10/2026 |
9 | Acquisition by Aijala Ainar D Jr of 2624 shares of Selective Insurance subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/20/2026 |
10 | Why The Narrative Around Selective Insurance Group Is Shifting On Mixed Analyst Signals | 03/26/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 63 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.5 B |
Selective | Build portfolio with Selective Stock |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 8,413 in Selective Insurance Group on December 27, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 939.00 from holding Selective Insurance Group or given up 11.16% of portfolio value over 90 days. Selective Insurance Group does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 1.3341% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Selective, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
Mean reversion in Selective Stock pricing reflects the documented tendency for stocks to gravitate toward equilibrium. While this pattern holds broadly, certain stocks can remain mispriced for extended periods before correction.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 74.94 | 90 days | 74.94 | roughly 96.0 |
Using a normal distribution model, the likelihood of Selective Insurance moving above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 . Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (The curve shows where outcomes have been clustering for Selective Stock over the next 90 days). The curve width gives a practical read on how much uncertainty surrounds Selective Stock over this horizon.
Selective Insurance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Selective Insurance
Predicting the direction of Selective Insurance involves a range of quantitative and qualitative stock techniques. Each approach has strengths and limitations, making diversified forecasting strategies especially important for Selective Insurance.Mean reversion is the tendency of Selective Insurance's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Some analysts monitor this tendency by comparing Selective Insurance's price extremes to fundamental value.
Primary Risk Indicators
Over the past two decades, the stock market has experienced significant volatility affecting Selective Insurance. Selective Insurance has seen dramatic price moves that have reshaped risk profiles for its holders.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1417 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0789 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Staying informed about Selective Insurance through targeted alerts gives investors the edge they need to evaluate market conditions and assess potential outcomes. These notifications for Selective Insurance help investors make timely decisions in response to significant stock events.| Selective Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Selective Insurance Group currently holds $898.3 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.19, which may suggest Selective Insurance is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Selective Insurance has a current ratio of 0.32, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Selective Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 2nd of March 2026 Selective Insurance paid $ 0.43 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why The Narrative Around Selective Insurance Group Is Shifting On Mixed Analyst Signals |
Price Density Drivers
Price movements in Selective Insurance are influenced by the balance of buyer and seller positioning dynamics. Monitoring key indicators provides context for understanding when price movements are fundamental versus tactical.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Selective Insurance Fundamentals Growth
The market price of Selective Stock is shaped by investors' expectations for Selective Insurance's financial performance. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a role in Selective Stock pricing.
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0279 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 5.55 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 60.08 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 17.00 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.30 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.85 X | |||
| Revenue | 5.34 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 1.18 B | |||
| EBITDA | 671.59 M | |||
| Net Income | 466.41 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 289.62 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 4.80 X | |||
| Total Debt | 898.3 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.19 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 0.33 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 56.74 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.27 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 7.59 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 4.52 B | |||
| Total Asset | 15.16 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 3.5 B | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Benchmark comparison for Selective Insurance clarifies whether returns reflect stock-specific outcomes or market-wide trends. Outperformance relative to the benchmark may reflect exposure tilt, selection effect, or timing. Selective Insurance shows ROE of 13.86%, ROA of 2.79%.
Inputs for Selective Insurance Group come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.