Selective Insurance Group Stock Technical Analysis
| SIGI Stock | USD 82.10 0.73 0.88% |
As of the 23rd of January, Selective Insurance has the Semi Deviation of 1.53, risk adjusted performance of 0.0234, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3995.02. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Selective Insurance, as well as the relationship between them.
Selective Insurance Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Selective, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to SelectiveSelective | Build AI portfolio with Selective Stock |
Selective Insurance Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 83.71 | Buy | 7 | Odds |
Most Selective analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Selective stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Selective Insurance, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Selective conference calls.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Selective Insurance. If investors know Selective will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Selective Insurance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.259 | Dividend Share 1.52 | Earnings Share 6.49 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.093 |
The market value of Selective Insurance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Selective that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Selective Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Selective Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Selective Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Selective Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Selective Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Selective Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Selective Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Selective Insurance 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Selective Insurance's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Selective Insurance.
| 10/25/2025 |
| 01/23/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Selective Insurance on October 25, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Selective Insurance Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Selective Insurance over 90 days. Selective Insurance is related to or competes with Mercury General, Lemonade, White Mountains, Radian, RLI Corp, Axos Financial, and Stonex. Selective Insurance Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance products and services in the United ... More
Selective Insurance Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Selective Insurance's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Selective Insurance Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.95 |
Selective Insurance Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Selective Insurance's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Selective Insurance's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Selective Insurance historical prices to predict the future Selective Insurance's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0234 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0518 |
Selective Insurance January 23, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0234 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0618 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3995.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Variance | 2.11 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0518 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.95 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.08) | |||
| Skewness | (0.77) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.72 |
Selective Insurance Backtested Returns
Selective Insurance is very steady at the moment. Selective Insurance owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the firm had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Selective Insurance Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Selective Insurance's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0234, semi deviation of 1.53, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3995.02 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. Selective Insurance has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.51, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Selective Insurance's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Selective Insurance is expected to be smaller as well. Selective Insurance right now has a risk of 1.17%. Please validate Selective Insurance downside variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Selective Insurance will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.31 |
Below average predictability
Selective Insurance Group has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Selective Insurance time series from 25th of October 2025 to 9th of December 2025 and 9th of December 2025 to 23rd of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Selective Insurance price movement. The serial correlation of 0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current Selective Insurance price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.31 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.01 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.0 |
Selective Insurance technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Selective Insurance Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was thirty-six with a total number of output elements of twenty-five. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Selective Insurance volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Selective Insurance Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Selective Insurance Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Selective Insurance Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Selective Insurance price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Selective Insurance. By analyzing Selective Insurance's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Selective Insurance's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Selective Insurance specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0133 | 0.0165 | 0.019 | 0.0376 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.47 | 1.17 | 1.05 | 0.63 |
Selective Insurance January 23, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Selective help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Selective from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Selective charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0234 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0618 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3995.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Variance | 2.11 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0518 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.95 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.08) | |||
| Skewness | (0.77) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.72 |
Selective Insurance January 23, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Selective stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 82.10 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 82.10 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.37) |
Complementary Tools for Selective Stock analysis
When running Selective Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Selective Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Selective Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Selective Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Selective Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Selective Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Selective Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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