First United Stock Performance

FUNC Stock  USD 36.24  0.14  0.39%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.95, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. First United returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First United is expected to follow. At this point, First United has a negative expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to double-check First United's the relationship between the rate of daily change and price action indicator , to decide if First United performance from the past will be repeated at some future date.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, First United generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-0.88
 Five Day Return
0.34
 Year To Date Return
-3.13
 Ten Year Return
224.48
 All Time Return
271.07
 Forward Dividend Yield
0.0288
 Payout Ratio
0.2412
 Last Split Factor
105:100
 Forward Dividend Rate
1.04
 Dividend Date
2026-05-01
1
First United appoints Jason Rush as new CEO - TipRanks
01/16/2026
2
First United Corp Stock Price Down 3.18 percent on Jan 23 - GuruFocus
01/23/2026
 
First United dividend paid on 2nd of February 2026
02/02/2026
3
FIRST UNITED CORPORATION ANNOUNCES FOURTH QUARTER 2025 FINANCIAL RESULTS
02/04/2026
4
First United Moves to Buy Rationale Behind the Upgrade
02/09/2026
5
See photos from Ash Wednesday service in Salem - Statesman Journal
02/18/2026
6
Disposition of tradable shares by Tonya Sturm of First United at 35.42 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/25/2026
7
First United declares 0.26 dividend
03/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow49.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-38.4 M

First United Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest 3,925 in First United on December 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose -349.50 from holding First United or give up 8.9% of portfolio value over 90 days. First United is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.8115% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Given the investment horizon of 90 days First United is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.29 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.01 per unit of volatility.

First United Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
36.24 90 days 36.24
about 88.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First United to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.25 (This First United probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First United has a beta of 0.95. This usually indicates First United market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First United is expected to follow. Additionally First United has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First United Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First United

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First United. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Mean reversion opportunities in First United's arise when market prices disconnect from fundamental anchors such as earnings, book value, or historical price-to-earnings multiples.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.8635.6937.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.1840.4242.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.8437.6739.50
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.0444.0048.84
Details
Relative analysis of First United against direct competitors reveals whether First United's current valuation reflects a genuine competitive advantage or simply market-wide multiple expansion that applies to all sector peers.

First United Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First United is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First United's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First United, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First United within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0622
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
1.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.0353

First United Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First United for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First United can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First United generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 2nd of February 2026 First United paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: First United declares 0.26 dividend

First United Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First United's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First United's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments237 M

First United Fundamentals Growth

First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First United, and First United fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.

How Has First United Performed?

First United performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Cycle participation patterns help identify regime alignment. Cycle exposure remains aligned with broader market trends. We assess how First United aligns with strategic allocation principles over extended horizons.

Methodology

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for First United is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. First (USA Stocks:FUNC) prices are typically delayed by approximately 20 minutes from primary exchanges for listed equities. Data may be delayed depending on reporting sources and market conventions Return metrics, performance scores, and risk-adjusted figures shown here are computed from historical price series.

Assumptions

We use public filings and market reference sources with disclosures published by U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) via EDGAR as reference inputs. Data may be normalized and can be delayed. All analytics are generated using standardized, rules-based models designed to promote consistency and comparability across instruments. Model assumptions, reference parameters, and selected computational inputs are available in the Model Inputs section. If you have questions about our data sources or methodology, please contact Macroaxis Support.

Analyst Sources

First United may have analyst coverage included in Macroaxis-derived consensus inputs when available. Updates may occur throughout the day.

Things to note about First United performance evaluation

Automated alerts tied to First United help investors surface material conditions that may support or challenge the current thesis before they become expensive mistakes. In practice, the value comes from seeing which signals are new, which are persistent, and which are strong enough to justify action.
First United generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 2nd of February 2026 First United paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: First United declares 0.26 dividend
Evaluating First United's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First United's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing First United's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First United's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First United's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First United's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First United's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First United's stock. These opinions can provide insight into First United's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First United's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First United's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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