Usio Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| USIO Stock | USD 1.29 0.04 3.20% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecast shown here for Usio is reference data produced from the equity's historical price series. Accuracy metrics including mean absolute deviation are provided alongside the projection.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Usio Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.13.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Usio observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Usio Inc observations. This Triple Exponential Smoothing reference page for Usio presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Usio Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.13 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Usio Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Usio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Usio | Usio Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Usio's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 0.01 on the downside to about 3.02 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Usio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Usio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0035 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0192 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0143 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.1307 |
Other Forecasting Options for Usio
Regardless of investment experience, understanding Usio's price movement is essential for anyone considering a position in Usio. Price charts for Usio Stock are often filled with noise that can lead to poor investment choices if not properly filtered.Usio Related Equities
The following equities are related to Usio within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Usio against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Usio Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Usio give investors insight into the stock's responsiveness to broader market forces. Tracking these indicators helps investors make informed timing decisions and identify periods where trading Usio is likely to be most rewarding.
Usio Risk Indicators
A thorough review of Usio's risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price and managing investment exposure. This analysis helps investors determine the appropriate level of risk to accept when holding Usio's.
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.88 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Usio
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Usio Inc can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Usio Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Usio Inc can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.1 M |