Usio Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| USIO Stock | USD 1.21 -0.01 -0.82% |
Forecasting Usio stock price is inherently uncertain, but structured approaches to analyzing market sentiment can improve the odds. This module tracks the noise around Usio Inc to identify periods where price and perception diverge.
Based on the latest data, the relative strength indicator for Usio is 0, signaling extreme oversold conditions. Readings below 20 are commonly associated with potential stabilization zones.Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.63 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.01 | EPS Estimate Current Year -0.03 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.04 | Wall Street Target Price 5.125 |
The hype-based view summarizes Usio's price response to recent headlines and peer coverage. Options positioning and short interest provide sentiment context for Usio in this view.
Refer to Days Sales Outstanding and Ptb Ratio for expanded analysis.
Usio Implied Volatility | 1.87 |
For option buyers, high Usio's implied volatility means paying more for the right to profit from price movements in Usio. For sellers, elevated implied volatility creates opportunities to collect richer premiums.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Usio Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.12.Usio after-hype prediction price | $ 1.21 |
Hype analysis provides context that aligns with forecasting models, technical indicators, and earnings views.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Usio provides a cross-check on projections for Usio. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Usio Open Interest: 2026-06-18 Options
The open interest measure summarizes active contracts for Usio and can be paired with trend context.
Usio Additional Predictive Modules
Predictive models for Usio combine technical indicators with statistical methods to estimate probable price trajectories. Non-stationary data - where mean and variance shift over time - is the norm for Usio, making adaptive models preferable.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Usio Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0007 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.12 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Usio Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Usio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Usio | Usio Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Usio's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 0.01 on the downside to about 2.84 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Usio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Usio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.97 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0056 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0187 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.014 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.125 |
The mean reversion principle applied to Usio's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Investors exploit this by positioning against extremes in price relative to fundamental value.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Probability distributions applied to Usio price forecasting provide a more honest representation of uncertainty than single point estimates. The shape of Usio's distribution - whether it is symmetric, skewed, or fat-tailed - carries important information for risk.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
News-driven price analysis for Usio quantifies the historical relationship between headline events and Usio's short-term price response. Usio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 2.83, respectively. The strength of this signal depends on the consistency of Usio's past reactions to comparable news categories.
Current Value
The next after-hype price estimate for Usio Inc is modeled on a 3 months horizon and is intended to show how price could normalize after sentiment pressure fades. The objective is to separate event-driven enthusiasm from a more stable price path once the market absorbs the catalyst.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Usio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Usio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Usio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.63 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 8 Events | 6 Events | In 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.21 | 1.21 | 0.00 |
|
Hype Timeline
Usio Inc is at this time traded for 1.21. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Usio is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Usio is about 1552.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.24. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.81. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Usio Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Usio completed a 1:15 stock split on 23rd of July 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 8 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Usio provides a cross-check on projections for Usio. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
When a direct competitor of Usio experiences a significant news event, the market often re-rates Usio's shares in sympathy or in contrast, depending on whether the news affects the sector broadly or competitively.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BOSC | BOS Better Online | 0.22 | 6 per month | 2.18 | 0.07 | 4.72 | -3.48 | 9.43 | |
| MOGO | Mogo Inc | -0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.26 | 4.50 | -6.40 | 14.17 | |
| LPSN | LivePerson | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.23 | 5.57 | -6.54 | 16.14 | |
| SNAL | Snail Class A | -0.04 | 31 per month | 0.00 | -0.19 | 6.25 | -7.04 | 26.43 | |
| MOBX | Mobix Labs | 0.66 | 9 per month | 10.03 | 0.09 | 20.00 | -21.05 | 549.01 | |
| BLIV | BeLive Holdings Ordinary | -0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 7.81 | -8.60 | 26.83 | |
| INLX | Intellinetics | 0.22 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 2.58 | -4.00 | 11.14 | |
| VBIX | Viewbix Common Stock | -0.06 | 9 per month | 5.34 | 0.06 | 7.69 | -7.45 | 31.73 | |
| BMR | Beamr Imaging Ltd | -0.04 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 8.00 | -8.06 | 21.30 | |
| AXIL | AXIL Brands | 0.19 | 23 per month | 3.79 | 0.05 | 8.63 | -6.46 | 67.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for Usio
Regardless of investment experience, understanding Usio's price movement is essential for anyone considering a position in Usio. Price charts for Usio Stock are often filled with noise that can lead to poor investment choices if not properly filtered.Usio Related Equities
The following equities are related to Usio within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Usio against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Usio Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Usio give investors insight into the stock's responsiveness to broader market forces. Tracking these indicators helps investors make informed timing decisions and identify periods where trading Usio is likely to be most rewarding.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2506.71 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.14 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.23 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.04 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.01 |
Usio Risk Indicators
A thorough review of Usio's risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price and managing investment exposure. This analysis helps investors determine the appropriate level of risk to accept when holding Usio's.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.9 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Usio
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Usio Inc can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Usio Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Usio Inc can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.1 M |
More Resources for Usio Stock Analysis
A comprehensive view of Usio Inc starts with financial statements and ratio context. Financial ratios provide a structured lens for assessing Usio's profitability and growth trends. Below are reports that help frame Usio Inc Stock in context:Historical Fundamental Analysis of Usio provides a cross-check on projections for Usio. The view provides historical context for the projection set. Usio currently shows ROE of -2.06%, market cap of 33.32 Million. Usio analysis should be paired with portfolio risk and diversification tools before adjusting allocations. The supplemental views below help investors decide how Usio complements or overlaps with existing portfolio holdings. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.63 | Earnings Share -0.02 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.01 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Usio Inc includes distinguishing between market value and book value, where book value reflects Usio's accounting equity. Usio's market capitalization is 33.32 M. At P/B 1.81, Usio trades moderately above book value. Enterprise value stands at 29.51 M. Value and price for Usio are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.
The concept of value for Usio differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. For Usio, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 1.81, a profit margin of -0.46%, ROE of -2.06%, and revenue of 82.93 M. The quoted Usio price is the exchange level where supply meets demand.