Tiptree Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| TIPT Stock | USD 16.24 -0.02 -0.12% |
Tiptree's Simple Moving Average reference page covers the model's projected value and error measures from recent price data. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tiptree on the next trading day is expected to be 16.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.54.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Tiptree price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Tiptree. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future All Simple Moving Average forecast figures shown for Tiptree are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tiptree on the next trading day is expected to be 16.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.06 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.54 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tiptree Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tiptree's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tiptree | Tiptree Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Tiptree focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. At the moment, the model places downside around 14.77 and upside around 17.73 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tiptree stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tiptree stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.6686 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.047 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1955 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0115 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.535 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tiptree
Bollinger Bands applied to Tiptree Stock price data measure how far Tiptree has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Tiptree's price data.Tiptree Related Equities
The peer firms below within the Financials space can help frame Tiptree's pricing and running costs in context. Market cap and total value checks frame Tiptree's size within the competitive field. Persistent outperformance or underperformance by specific peers relative to Tiptree often signals structural advantages or weaknesses. Tracking Tiptree's results against these peers over time helps spot rising trends early.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tiptree Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Tiptree, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. These indicators add context to timing decisions around Tiptree positions.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.24 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.24 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.02 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.54 |
Tiptree Risk Indicators
Analyzing Tiptree's basic risk indicators provides investors with a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for tiptree stock. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Tiptree's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Variance | 2.1 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tiptree
Coverage intensity for Tiptree matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Tiptree Short Properties
A short-interest review of Tiptree provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.5 M |
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