Swatch Group Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SWGAY Stock | USD 11.07 0.06 0.54% |
This reference page presents Simple Moving Average forecast data for Swatch Group AG. The model output shown here is derived from Swatch Group's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Swatch Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 11.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.37.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Swatch Group AG price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Swatch Group. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future This Simple Moving Average forecast data for Swatch Group AG is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Swatch Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 11.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.09 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.37 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Swatch Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Swatch Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Swatch Group's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Swatch Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Swatch Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.847 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0127 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2062 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.018 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Swatch Group
For every potential investor in Swatch, whether a beginner or expert, Swatch Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Swatch Group Related Equities
The following equities are related to Swatch Group within the Luxury Goods space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Swatch Group against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Swatch Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Swatch Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Swatch Group shares will generate the highest return on.
Swatch Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Swatch Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Swatch Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Variance | 5.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Swatch Group
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Swatch Group AG can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
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Swatch Group Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Swatch Group AG matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 B |
More Resources for Swatch Pink Sheet Analysis
Other Information on Investing in Swatch Pink Sheet
Swatch Group financial ratios help frame valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Swatch across measures in a consistent way.