Silicon Motion Stock Forecast - Relative Strength Index
| SIMO Stock | USD 112.93 2.34 2.03% |
Silicon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Silicon Motion's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Silicon Motion's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Silicon Motion fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Silicon Motion's share price is at 58. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Silicon Motion, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.875 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.259 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.5883 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.8718 | Wall Street Target Price 119.0909 |
Using Silicon Motion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Silicon Motion Technology from the perspective of Silicon Motion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Silicon Motion using Silicon Motion's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Silicon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Silicon Motion's stock price.
Silicon Motion Short Interest
An investor who is long Silicon Motion may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Silicon Motion and may potentially protect profits, hedge Silicon Motion with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 79.5651 | Short Percent 0.0201 | Short Ratio 2.49 | Shares Short Prior Month 491.3 K | 50 Day MA 95.2292 |
Silicon Relative Strength Index
Silicon Motion Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Silicon Motion's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Silicon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Silicon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Silicon Motion Technology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Silicon Motion's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Silicon Motion.
Silicon Motion Implied Volatility | 0.81 |
Silicon Motion's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Silicon Motion Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Silicon Motion's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Silicon Motion stock will not fluctuate a lot when Silicon Motion's options are near their expiration.
Silicon Motion after-hype prediction price | USD 115.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silicon Motion to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Silicon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Silicon Motion Technology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0506% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Silicon Motion trading at USD 112.93, that is roughly USD 0.0572 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Silicon Motion's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Silicon Motion Technology options at the current volatility level of 0.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Silicon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Silicon Motion's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Silicon Motion's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Silicon Motion stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Silicon Motion's open interest, investors have to compare it to Silicon Motion's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Silicon Motion is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Silicon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Silicon Motion Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Silicon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Silicon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Silicon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Relative Strength Index | Relative Strength Index | Trend |
| 58.77 | 58.77 |
| Check Silicon Motion Volatility | Backtest Silicon Motion | Information Ratio |
Silicon Motion Trading Date Momentum
| On January 26 2026 Silicon Motion Technology was traded for 112.93 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 116.50 and the lowest listed price was 111.00 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 26, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 2.07% . |
| Compare Silicon Motion to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Silicon Motion
For every potential investor in Silicon, whether a beginner or expert, Silicon Motion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Silicon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Silicon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Silicon Motion's price trends.Silicon Motion Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Silicon Motion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Silicon Motion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Silicon Motion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Silicon Motion Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Silicon Motion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Silicon Motion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Silicon Motion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Silicon Motion Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Silicon Motion Risk Indicators
The analysis of Silicon Motion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Silicon Motion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting silicon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.56 | |||
| Variance | 12.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Silicon Motion
The number of cover stories for Silicon Motion depends on current market conditions and Silicon Motion's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Silicon Motion is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Silicon Motion's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Silicon Motion Short Properties
Silicon Motion's future price predictability will typically decrease when Silicon Motion's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Silicon Motion Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Silicon Motion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silicon Motion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 276.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silicon Motion to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Silicon Motion. If investors know Silicon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Silicon Motion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.875 | Earnings Share 2.86 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.139 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Silicon Motion Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Silicon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Silicon Motion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Silicon Motion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Silicon Motion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Silicon Motion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Silicon Motion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silicon Motion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silicon Motion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.