Impinj Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

PI Stock  USD 147.80  13.76  8.52%   
Impinj Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Impinj's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Impinj's share price is approaching 39 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Impinj, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 39

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Impinj's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Impinj Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Impinj hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Impinj Inc from the perspective of Impinj response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Impinj Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 149.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 313.66.

Impinj after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 147.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Impinj to cross-verify your projections.

Impinj Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Impinj price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Impinj using various technical indicators. When you analyze Impinj charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Impinj - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Impinj prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Impinj price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Impinj Inc.

Impinj Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Impinj Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 149.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.32, mean absolute percentage error of 50.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 313.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Impinj Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Impinj's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Impinj Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Impinj  Impinj Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Impinj Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Impinj's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Impinj's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 145.83 and 153.92, respectively. We have considered Impinj's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
147.80
145.83
Downside
149.88
Expected Value
153.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Impinj stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Impinj stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2556
MADMean absolute deviation5.3163
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0316
SAESum of the absolute errors313.6643
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Impinj observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Impinj Inc observations.

Predictive Modules for Impinj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impinj Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
143.75147.80151.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
139.97144.02148.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
142.06175.99209.91
Details

Impinj After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Impinj at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Impinj or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Impinj, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Impinj Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Impinj's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Impinj's historical news coverage. Impinj's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 143.75 and 151.85, respectively. We have considered Impinj's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
147.80
143.75
Downside
147.80
After-hype Price
151.85
Upside
Impinj is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Impinj Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Impinj Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Impinj is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Impinj backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Impinj, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.43 
4.05
  0.11 
  0.06 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
147.80
147.80
0.00 
1,620  
Notes

Impinj Hype Timeline

As of January 29, 2026 Impinj Inc is listed for 147.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Impinj is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.43%. %. The volatility of related hype on Impinj is about 2773.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 147.74. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.44. Impinj Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 10:1 split on the 6th of July 2007. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Impinj to cross-verify your projections.

Impinj Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Impinj's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Impinj's future price movements. Getting to know how Impinj's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Impinj may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Impinj

For every potential investor in Impinj, whether a beginner or expert, Impinj's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Impinj Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Impinj. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Impinj's price trends.

Impinj Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Impinj stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Impinj could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Impinj by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Impinj Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Impinj stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Impinj shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Impinj stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Impinj Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Impinj Risk Indicators

The analysis of Impinj's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Impinj's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting impinj stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Impinj

The number of cover stories for Impinj depends on current market conditions and Impinj's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Impinj is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Impinj's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Impinj Short Properties

Impinj's future price predictability will typically decrease when Impinj's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Impinj Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Impinj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Impinj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments164.7 M
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Impinj to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is there potential for Stock market expansion? Will Impinj introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Impinj. Anticipated expansion of Impinj directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Impinj listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Impinj Inc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Impinj's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Impinj's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Impinj's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Impinj's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Impinj should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Impinj's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.