Impinj Stock Forward View

PI Stock  USD 91.74  0.40  0.44%   
Based on the latest data, the short-cycle RSI for Impinj is 0, signaling extreme oversold conditions. Readings below 20 are commonly associated with potential stabilization zones.
Momentum
Sell Peaked
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Forecasting Impinj stock price is inherently uncertain, but structured approaches to analyzing market sentiment can improve the odds. This module tracks the noise around Impinj Inc to identify periods where price and perception diverge. Key fundamentals behind Impinj's forecast context:
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.147
 EPS Estimate Next Quarter
-0.20
 EPS Estimate Current Year
1.9266
 EPS Estimate Next Year
3.141
 Wall Street Target Price
172.75
The hype perspective for Impinj Inc maps headline activity to recent price response and peer coverage. Sentiment context for Impinj is drawn from options positioning and short interest patterns.

Short Interest Overview for Impinj

When Impinj's short interest rises materially month-over-month, it suggests that more market participants are betting against Impinj. Monitoring the trend is essential for long holders.
 200 Day MA
154.9507
 Short Percent
0.1897
 Short Ratio
3.45
 Shares Short Prior Month
2.8 M
 50 Day MA
143.3224

Impinj RSI Reading

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Impinj Inc on the next trading day is projected to be 70.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 535.21.

Headline Hype vs Price - Impinj Inc

Behavioral finance research confirms that investor sentiment drives Impinj's price in the short term. By quantifying that sentiment from news and social signals, investors can better time entries and exits in Impinj.
Impinj's investor sentiment is not always right, but it is always relevant. Understanding the current mood of the market toward Impinj helps investors assess whether current prices reflect greed, fear, or rational expectation.
Impinj Implied Volatility
    
  1.31  
For option buyers, high Impinj's implied volatility means paying more for the right to profit from price movements in Impinj. For sellers, elevated implied volatility creates opportunities to collect richer premiums.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Impinj Inc on the next trading day is projected to be 70.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 535.21.
Impinj after-hype prediction price
    
  $ 93.21  
Sentiment metrics here complement forecasting and technical views with analyst and earnings context.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Impinj can be used to cross-verify projections for Impinj. The view provides historical context for the projection set.

Rule 16 Overview for current Impinj contract - Volatility Context

Rule 16 applies implied volatility to estimate a daily move of roughly 0.0819% across the 2026-04-17 option cycle. With Impinj trading near $ 91.74, that translates to about $ 0.0751 per day in either direction.

Open Interest Snapshot: Impinj 2026-04-17 Options

Outstanding option contracts for Impinj are summarized through open interest, which highlights market participation.

Impinj Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Impinj price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Impinj using various technical indicators. When you analyze Impinj charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Impinj Cash Forecast

Projecting Impinj's cash position requires modeling complex interactions between revenue trends, working capital cycles, and capital expenditure patterns embedded in Impinj's historical financial statements.
 
Cash  
 First Reported
2011-03-31
 Previous Quarter
51.7 M
 Current Value
48.2 M
 Quarterly Volatility
42.8 M
Macro event markers
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Impinj is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Impinj Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of March 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Impinj Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 70.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.63 , mean absolute percentage error of 110.35 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 535.21 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Impinj Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Impinj's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Impinj  Impinj Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

This next-day forecast for Impinj Inc uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Market Value
91.74
70.01
Expected Value
75.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Impinj stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Impinj stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.652
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation8.6325
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0619
SAESum of the absolute errors535.2131
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Impinj Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Impinj. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.
The mean reversion principle applied to Impinj's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Investors exploit this by positioning against extremes in price relative to fundamental value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.5793.2198.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.57111.08116.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
80.58125.33170.08
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
157.20172.75191.75
Details
Peer comparison enriches Impinj analysis by revealing how the company ranks against competitors on key metrics. This relative perspective often changes investment conclusions drawn from standalone fundamental analysis.

After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Probability distributions applied to Impinj price forecasting provide a more honest representation of uncertainty than single point estimates. The shape of Impinj's distribution - whether it is symmetric, skewed, or fat-tailed - carries important information for risk.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

News-driven price analysis for Impinj quantifies the historical relationship between headline events and Impinj's short-term price response. Impinj's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.57 and 98.85, respectively. The strength of this signal depends on the consistency of Impinj's past reactions to comparable news categories.
Current Value
91.74
93.21
After-hype Price
98.85
Upside
The after-hype framework applied to Impinj Inc assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.

Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Impinj is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Impinj backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Impinj, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.67 
5.64
  1.47 
  1.62 
11 Events
7 Events
In 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
91.74
93.21
1.60 
257.53  
Notes

Hype Timeline

As of March 14, 2026 Impinj Inc is listed for 91.74. The company has historical hype elasticity of 1.47, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.62. Impinj is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 93.21 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.6%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.67%. The volatility of related hype on Impinj is about 233.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 93.36. The company generated yearly revenue of 361.07 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was -10.85 M with gross profit of 189.68 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 11 days.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Impinj can be used to cross-verify projections for Impinj. The view provides historical context for the projection set.

Related Hype Analysis

When a direct competitor of Impinj experiences a significant news event, the market often re-rates Impinj's shares in sympathy or in contrast, depending on whether the news affects the sector broadly or competitively.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VSATViaSat Inc 14.13 8 per month 4.26 0.10 9.38 -6.48 26.09
ALGMAllegro Microsystems-1.71 9 per month 2.95 0.05 7.36 -5.11 18.26
BDCBelden Inc-1.14 10 per month 0.00 -0.02 3.29 -4.55 12.51
VNTVontier Corp 0.05 8 per month 1.81 0.04 3.42 -3.11 8.90
BMIBadger Meter-1.36 9 per month 0.00 -0.09 2.78 -3.45 15.45
INGMIngram Micro Holding 1.53 9 per month 3.77 0.02 4.02 -4.77 30.64
SSentinelOne 0.23 9 per month 0.00  0.01 4.21 -4.63 12.46
ESEESCO Technologies 10.95 2 per month 1.32 0.25 3.09 -2.55 9.94
CWANClearwater Analytics Holdings-0.01 10 per month 0.79 0.10 1.38 -1.36 9.67
FROGJfrog 1.46 10 per month 0.00 -0.11 6.39 -7.95 31.73

Other Forecasting Options for Impinj

Regardless of investment experience, understanding Impinj's price movement is essential for anyone considering a position in Impinj. Price charts for Impinj Stock are often filled with noise that can lead to poor investment choices if not properly filtered.

Impinj Related Equities

The following equities are related to Impinj within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Impinj against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Impinj Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for Impinj give investors insight into the stock's responsiveness to broader market forces. Tracking these indicators helps investors make informed timing decisions and identify periods where trading Impinj is likely to be most rewarding.

Impinj Risk Indicators

A thorough review of Impinj's risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price and managing investment exposure. This analysis helps investors determine the appropriate level of risk to accept when holding Impinj's.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Impinj

Coverage intensity for Impinj Inc matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.

Impinj Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to Impinj Inc matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments175.3 M

More Resources for Impinj Stock Analysis

Historical Fundamental Analysis of Impinj can be used to cross-verify projections for Impinj. The view provides historical context for the projection set.
Analysis related to Impinj should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.147
 Earnings Share
-0.37
 Revenue Per Share
12.331
 Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.014
 Return On Assets
-0.0009
Impinj Inc's market price can diverge from book value, the accounting figure shown on Impinj's balance sheet. Impinj's market capitalization is 2.77 B. With a P/B ratio of 13.25, the market values Impinj well above its book equity. Enterprise value stands at 2.9 B. Intrinsic value reflects what Impinj's fundamentals imply about worth, which may differ from both the trading price and the book figure. Analytical frameworks help reconcile those views.
It is useful to distinguish Impinj's value from its trading price, which are computed with different methods. For Impinj, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 13.25, a profit margin of -3.0%, ROE of -6.04%, and revenue of 361.07 M. The quoted price is simply the exchange level where supply meets demand.