Intuit Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| INTU Stock | USD 552.22 27.30 5.20% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intuit Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 547.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 595.13. Intuit Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Intuit's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Current Year 23.207 | EPS Estimate Next Year 26.4479 | Wall Street Target Price 790.0991 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 3.0929 |
Using Intuit hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intuit Inc from the perspective of Intuit response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Intuit using Intuit's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Intuit using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Intuit's stock price.
Intuit Short Interest
An investor who is long Intuit may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Intuit and may potentially protect profits, hedge Intuit with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 681.8699 | Short Percent 0.0213 | Short Ratio 3.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.7 M | 50 Day MA 643.3428 |
Intuit Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Intuit's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Intuit. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Intuit can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Intuit Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Intuit Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
Intuit's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Intuit Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Intuit's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Intuit stock will not fluctuate a lot when Intuit's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intuit Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 547.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 595.13. Intuit after-hype prediction price | USD 550.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intuit to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Intuit contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Intuit Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Intuit trading at USD 552.22, that is roughly USD 0.15 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Intuit's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Intuit Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Intuit Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Intuit's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Intuit's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Intuit stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Intuit's open interest, investors have to compare it to Intuit's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Intuit is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Intuit. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Intuit Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Intuit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intuit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intuit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Intuit Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intuit Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 547.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.09, mean absolute percentage error of 167.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 595.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intuit Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intuit's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Intuit Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Intuit | Intuit Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Intuit Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Intuit's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intuit's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 545.75 and 549.79, respectively. We have considered Intuit's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intuit stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intuit stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -2.3236 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 10.0869 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0159 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 595.13 |
Predictive Modules for Intuit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intuit Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intuit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intuit After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intuit at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intuit or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intuit, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intuit Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intuit's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intuit's historical news coverage. Intuit's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 548.66 and 552.70, respectively. We have considered Intuit's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intuit is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intuit Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intuit Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intuit is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intuit backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intuit, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.02 | 1.54 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
552.22 | 550.68 | 0.28 |
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Intuit Hype Timeline
Intuit Inc is currently traded for 552.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Intuit is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 550.68. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 43.35%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Intuit is about 18363.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 552.22. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.41. Intuit Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.57. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 7th of July 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intuit to cross-verify your projections.Intuit Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intuit's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intuit's future price movements. Getting to know how Intuit's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intuit may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NOW | ServiceNow | (3.98) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.85 | (3.12) | 14.15 | |
| UBER | Uber Technologies | (1.43) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.60 | (3.82) | 10.23 | |
| APP | Applovin Corp | 13.52 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.14 | (6.46) | 15.84 | |
| AMAT | Applied Materials | (2.19) | 10 per month | 2.06 | 0.17 | 5.00 | (3.61) | 10.80 | |
| SHOP | Shopify | 5.40 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.06 | (5.93) | 12.99 | |
| APH | Amphenol | (0.02) | 25 per month | 1.93 | 0.1 | 4.38 | (3.43) | 12.03 | |
| ANET | Arista Networks | 3.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.40 | (4.56) | 12.76 | |
| QCOM | Qualcomm Incorporated | (0.02) | 25 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.48 | (3.93) | 15.88 | |
| LRCX | Lam Research Corp | (10.68) | 7 per month | 2.48 | 0.19 | 6.26 | (4.85) | 12.15 | |
| CRM | Salesforce | (3.49) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.59 | (3.10) | 12.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Intuit
For every potential investor in Intuit, whether a beginner or expert, Intuit's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intuit Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intuit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intuit's price trends.Intuit Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intuit stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intuit could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intuit by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Intuit Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intuit stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intuit shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intuit stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intuit Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Intuit Risk Indicators
The analysis of Intuit's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intuit's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intuit stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.5 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Intuit
The number of cover stories for Intuit depends on current market conditions and Intuit's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intuit is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intuit's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Intuit Short Properties
Intuit's future price predictability will typically decrease when Intuit's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intuit Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intuit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intuit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 283 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 B |
Additional Tools for Intuit Stock Analysis
When running Intuit's price analysis, check to measure Intuit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intuit is operating at the current time. Most of Intuit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intuit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intuit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intuit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.