Applied Materials Stock Price Patterns

AMAT Stock  USD 364.60  0.00  0.00%   
As of today, the short-cycle RSI for Applied Materials stands at 50, indicating neutral momentum. Values near 50 generally reflect equilibrium between upward and downward pressure.
Momentum
 Impartial
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Analytical models applied to Applied Materials' future price may yield meaningful insight. This module focuses specifically on the hype and news dimension of Applied Materials price forecasting. Key fundamental signals behind Applied Materials' price prediction:
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.752
 EPS Estimate Current Year
11.0507
 EPS Estimate Next Year
13.8421
 Wall Street Target Price
410.625
 EPS Estimate Current Quarter
2.2069
This view for Applied Materials relates headline activity to price movement. All attention metrics are drawn from publicly observed sources. This section reviews Applied Materials' options positioning and short interest as sentiment context. All values reflect publicly observed market inputs.

Short Interest Coverage - Applied Materials

Tracking short interest for Applied Materials adds a positioning dimension to the analytical view. The short interest series adds a positioning layer to the broader analytical picture.
 200 Day MA
240.8065
 Short Percent
0.017
 Short Ratio
1.55
 Shares Short Prior Month
14.7 M
 50 Day MA
338.6362

Applied Materials Hype-to-Price View

Public attention patterns around Applied Materials are presented as a structured sentiment view. The data captures price, volume, and timing inputs from exchange activity.
The relationship between public attention and price for Applied Materials is presented for reference. The presentation frames attention data as one dimension of a broader analytical picture.
Applied Materials Implied Volatility
    
  0.77  
This view presents Applied Materials' implied volatility as a measure of expected price variability. This measure helps frame how much price uncertainty is currently embedded in options pricing.
This sentiment view summarizes headline intensity and market attention around Applied Materials. All figures are drawn from observed headline and market activity.
Applied Materials after-hype prediction price
    
  $ 356.76  
This sentiment layer is designed to be read with forecasting, technical, and analyst context. The framework also incorporates earnings data and momentum signals.

Rule 16 Summary for current Applied contract

Under Rule 16, the annualized implied volatility for 2026-06-18 options translates to a daily move of about 0.0481%. The figure represents expected variability based on options data.
Applied Materials Basic Forecasting Models provides a cross-check on projections for Applied Materials.
For information on how to trade Applied Stock refer to our How to Invest in Applied Materials guide.
Experienced market participants anticipate that Applied Materials' price will even out over time. Periods when Applied Materials' deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
321.56389.68392.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
364.76367.94371.13
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
373.67410.62455.79
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.632.662.86
Details
Analyzing Applied Materials in isolation is insufficient for informed investment decisions. This peer-relative view often uncovers mispricing that single-company analysis would miss.

After-Hype Price Density Analysis

This probability distribution graph for Applied Materials illustrates the range of outcomes the prediction model assigns. The spread of Applied Materials' distribution is a direct measure of the uncertainty inherent in any forward-looking price model.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Historical news analysis for Applied Materials provides statistically derived price boundaries for the session following a headline. Applied Materials' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 353.57 and 359.95, respectively. This approach captures the empirical distribution of Applied Materials' short-term price reactions.
Current Value
364.60
353.57
Downside
356.76
After-hype Price
359.95
Upside
This after-hype projection for Applied Materials uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. Used correctly, the estimate adds context around potential normalization rather than promising a specific realized outcome.

Price Outlook Analysis

Big price swings in a Company such as Applied Materials are not always tied to earnings or company news. When news about Applied Materials picks up, it can start a cycle where attention feeds more price action. Momentum-driven price action in Applied Materials can last longer than expected but needs real data to hold up.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.56 
3.19
  0.53 
  3.38 
8 Events
6 Events
In 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
364.60
356.76
0.15 
339.36  
Notes

Hype Timeline

Applied Materials is presently traded for 364.60. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 3.38. Applied is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 356.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on Applied Materials is about 52.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 367.98. About 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.7. Applied Materials recorded earnings per share (EPS) of 9.75. The company had its last dividend issued on the 21st of May 2026. The firm completed a 2:1 stock split on 17th of April 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 8 days.
Applied Materials Basic Forecasting Models provides a cross-check on projections for Applied Materials.
For information on how to trade Applied Stock refer to our How to Invest in Applied Materials guide.

Related Hype Analysis

Monitoring how Applied Materials' competitors respond to market-moving news provides a leading indicator for Applied Materials. Tracking peer hype helps anticipate Applied Materials's likely short-term price behavior based on sector news flow.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LRCXLam Research Corp 1.45 8 per month 3.13 0.18 6.99 -5.93 17.49
QCOMQualcomm Incorporated-1.68 8 per month 0.00 -0.20 1.78 -3.35 11.94
KLACKLA Corporation 40.81 9 per month 3.82 0.13 6.12 -5.21 22.94
TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated-0.69 8 per month 1.52 0.09 2.61 -2.96 14.28
ARMArm Holdings plc-0.05 9 per month 2.23 0.08 5.14 -4.15 16.74
INTCIntel-0.25 7 per month 4.02 0.09 7.33 -5.69 28.75
INTUIntuit Inc 6.99 8 per month 0.00 -0.13 3.70 -5.52 15.22
MUMicron Technology 12.38 8 per month 3.00 0.24 9.94 -4.81 20.06
NOWServiceNow 1.32 7 per month 0.00 -0.13 3.54 -5.54 13.48
SONYSony Group Corp-0.01 8 per month 0.00 -0.18 2.10 -3.06 10.40

Applied Materials Additional Predictive Modules

Predictive techniques for Applied Materials leverage pattern repetition in price and volume data to generate forward-looking scenarios. Backtested accuracy does not guarantee forward performance - market structure and volatility regimes evolve.

Sentiment Indicators & Methodology

Sentiment analysis for Applied Materials evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Market-sensitive characteristics may increase exposure to broader economic cycles. Applied Materials has a market cap of 283.37 B, P/E of 14.73, ROE of 38.86%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Applied Materials is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Analyst projections are included when active coverage applies. Updates may occur throughout the day.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 22nd, 2026

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