Forbo Holding Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average
| FORN Stock | CHF 732.00 -5.00 -0.68% |
This page provides 8 Period Moving Average reference data for Forbo Holding AG, calculated from historical daily prices. The model output shown here is derived from Forbo Holding's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes. Projected values and accuracy measures are included for reference.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Forbo Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 717.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 29.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,583.The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Forbo Holding AG 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future. The 8 Period Moving Average reference information for Forbo Holding is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Forbo Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 717.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 29.31 , mean absolute percentage error of 1,385 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,583 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Forbo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Forbo Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Forbo Holding | Forbo Holding Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Forbo Holding AG uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The current forecast range spans downside near 715.81 and upside near 719.44.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Forbo Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Forbo Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.4788 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 12.3218 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 29.3125 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0355 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1582.875 |
Other Forecasting Options for Forbo Holding
The autocorrelation structure of Forbo Holding's daily returns reveals whether Forbo exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements helps distinguish persistent directional moves from temporary noise in Forbo Stock price data. Stochastic oscillator analysis compares Forbo Holding's closing price to its range over a given period.Forbo Holding Related Equities
These stocks within the Industrials space are often compared to Forbo Holding by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Peer review on balance sheet metrics shows how Forbo Holding's capital structure stacks up against similar firms. Peer pricing works best when the firms compared share similar business models and end markets. The data below allows side-by-side review across the most common financial metrics.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Forbo Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Forbo Holding stock help assess momentum and resilience across environments. These indicators support informed market timing decisions when analyzing Forbo Holding. For Forbo Holding AG, market strength indicators complement fundamental analysis with timing context.
Forbo Holding Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Forbo Holding is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Forbo Holding's investment and either accepting or mitigating it. Understanding the risk profile of Forbo Holding's allows investors to make more informed decisions about position sizing.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Variance | 3.11 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Forbo Holding
Coverage intensity for Forbo Holding AG matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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Forbo Holding Short Properties
A short-interest review of Forbo Holding AG provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.7 M |
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