Forbo Holding Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| FORN Stock | CHF 721.00 -8.00 -1.10% |
Forbo Holding's 4 Period Moving Average reference data is presented on this page, derived from the application of the forecasting model to historical closing prices. Projected values and accuracy measures are included for reference.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Forbo Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 727.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 18.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,081.The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Forbo Holding. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Forbo Holding AG and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions The 4 Period Moving Average reference information for Forbo Holding is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Forbo Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 727.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 18.63 , mean absolute percentage error of 623.19 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,081 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Forbo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Forbo Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Forbo Holding | Forbo Holding Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Forbo Holding AG uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 726.07 on the downside to about 729.43 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Forbo Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Forbo Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0317 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 6.1422 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 18.6336 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0218 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1080.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for Forbo Holding
For any investor considering Forbo, Forbo Holding's price movement is the central factor in determining investment viability. The noise present in Forbo Stock price charts can distort investment decisions if not properly addressed.Forbo Holding Related Equities
The following equities are related to Forbo Holding within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Forbo Holding against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Forbo Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Forbo Holding stock help investors evaluate the security's behavior relative to ongoing market conditions. These tools support better market timing and help identify entry and exit signals for Forbo Holding AG.
Forbo Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Forbo Holding's basic risk indicators is a key input for accurate price forecasting and sound investment decisions. Understanding the risk in Forbo Holding's investment allows investors to make informed choices about accepting or mitigating that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Variance | 2.84 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Forbo Holding
A coverage review of Forbo Holding AG helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Forbo Holding Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Forbo Holding AG can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.7 M |
Additional Tools for Forbo Stock Analysis
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| FinTech Suite Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Prophet Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon |