Ares Capital Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

ARCC Stock  USD 18.07  -0.42  -2.27%   
At present, the relative strength index (RSI) for Ares Capital stands at 36, indicating moderately negative momentum. For Ares Capital, this sub-50 reading points to a soft downward drift rather than an aggressive selloff.
Momentum
Sell Extended
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Predicting Ares Capital's future price is a multi-variable problem that combines fundamental signals, technical structure, and market sentiment. This module focuses specifically on the hype and news dimension of that forecast. Primary fundamentals referenced in Ares Capital's price forecast:
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
-0.25
 EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4875
 EPS Estimate Current Year
1.9421
 EPS Estimate Next Year
1.9271
 Wall Street Target Price
22.2692
This section relates Ares Capital headline activity to recent price behavior and peer context. Options positioning and short interest are used here to outline sentiment for Ares Capital.

Ares Capital Short Interest Summary

Ares Capital's short interest measures the total number of shares sold short but not yet covered. Rising short interest can signal growing bearish sentiment among institutional and retail investors.
 200 Day MA
20.9236
 Short Percent
0.041
 Short Ratio
3.44
 Shares Short Prior Month
22 M
 50 Day MA
19.7464

Ares RSI Snapshot

Ares Capital Hype vs Price Pattern

Public perception of Ares Capital - captured through news and social media signals - can drive Ares Capital's stock price away from intrinsic value for extended periods. Analyzing these biases provides an edge for contrarian investors.
When Ares Capital's market sentiment is overly bullish relative to its actual financial performance, the stock may be overvalued. Excessively negative sentiment can create buying opportunities for patient investors.
Ares Capital Implied Volatility
    
  1.51  
High implied volatility in Ares Capital's options signals that the market anticipates large price swings in Ares Capital stock. Conversely, low implied volatility indicates that investors expect relatively stable price action.
Ares Capital after-hype prediction price
    
  $ 18.07  
Hype signals are presented as complementary context to forecasting, technicals, analyst estimates, earnings, and momentum.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ares Capital to cross-verify projections for Ares Capital. The historical view provides additional context.
For more information on how to buy Ares Stock please use our How to Buy Ares Stock guide.

Rule 16 for the current Ares contract - Pricing Context

Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.0944% for the 2026-03-20 options. This estimate is a volatility reference; at $ 18.07, it implies a move of about $ 0.0171 per day.

Ares Options Open Interest - 2026-03-20

Open interest on Ares Capital summarizes how many option contracts remain open and helps frame liquidity and positioning.

Ares Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ares using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Ares Capital has current Accumulation Distribution of 373737.0. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Ares Capital is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Ares Capital to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Ares Capital trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Ares Capital VolatilityBacktest Ares CapitalInformation Ratio  

Ares Capital Trading Date Momentum

On March 12 2026 Ares Capital was traded for 18.07 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 18.55 and the lowest listed price was 18.06 . The trading volume for the day was 14.1 M. The trading history from March 12, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.44% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Ares Capital to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Ares Capital

Whether a novice or experienced investor, anyone considering Ares needs to understand the dynamics of Ares Capital's price movement. Price charts for Ares Stock contain a significant amount of noise that can distort investment decisions.

Ares Capital Related Equities

The following equities are related to Ares Capital within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Ares Capital against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ares Capital Market Strength Events

Analyzing market strength indicators for Ares Capital enables investors to understand how the stock performs relative to overall market momentum. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in Ares Capital.

Ares Capital Risk Indicators

Identifying and analyzing Ares Capital's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process helps investors quantify the risk associated with Ares Capital's and decide how to manage it.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Ares Capital

Coverage intensity for Ares Capital matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.

Ares Capital Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to Ares Capital matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding699 M
Cash And Short Term Investments924 M

More Resources for Ares Stock Analysis

A structured review of Ares Capital often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Financial ratios provide context for profitability, efficiency, and growth trends. Below are reports that help frame Ares Capital Stock in context:
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ares Capital to cross-verify projections for Ares Capital. The historical view provides additional context.
For more information on how to buy Ares Stock please use our How to Buy Ares Stock guide.
Analysis related to Ares Capital should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
-0.25
 Dividend Share
1.92
 Earnings Share
1.86
 Revenue Per Share
4.366
 Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.045
The market value of Ares Capital is measured differently than book value, which reflects Ares accounting equity. Ares Capital's market capitalization is 12.97 B. A P/B ratio of 0.93 suggests Ares Capital trades near or below book value. Enterprise value stands at 28.28 B. The intrinsic value concept focuses on underlying worth, which can diverge from market price and book value. Valuation work aligns these measures into a single context.
Note that Ares Capital's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Ares Capital, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 5.58, a P/B ratio of 0.93, a profit margin of 42.56%, and ROE of 9.39%. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.