Arcadis NV Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| ARCAD Stock | EUR 28.80 -0.18 -0.62% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.22 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.1528 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.6574 | Wall Street Target Price 42.2143 | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.03 |
This view connects Arcadis NV headline attention with price response and peer context.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Arcadis NV on the next trading day is expected to be 28.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.39.Arcadis NV after-hype prediction price | € 28.35 |
This module presents attention signals alongside forecasting, technical analysis, analyst consensus, and earnings.
Arcadis |
Arcadis NV Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting Arcadis NV's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Forward estimates should be treated as probability-weighted scenarios rather than point predictions.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Arcadis NV on the next trading day is expected to be 28.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.87 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.39 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Arcadis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Arcadis NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Arcadis NV | Arcadis NV Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Arcadis NV uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The current forecast range spans downside near 26.04 and upside near 31.21.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Arcadis NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Arcadis NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1201 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6846 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0203 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 40.3937 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arcadis NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Arcadis NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Arcadis NV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Arcadis NV's historical news coverage.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for Arcadis NV uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. Used correctly, the estimate adds context around potential normalization rather than promising a specific realized outcome.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Arcadis NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arcadis NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Arcadis NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 2.59 | 0.45 | 0.16 | 2 Events | 2 Events | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.80 | 28.35 | 1.56 |
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Hype Timeline
Arcadis NV is presently traded for 28.80on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.45, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Arcadis is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.35. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 182.39%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.56%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Arcadis NV is about 530.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.96. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Arcadis NV was presently reported as 12.03. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.94. Arcadis NV had its last dividend issued on the 22nd of May 2026. The company completed a 61.23:60.23 stock split on 3rd of May 2021. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Arcadis NV can be used to cross-verify projections for Arcadis NV. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Arcadis NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Arcadis NV's future price movements. Getting to know how Arcadis NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BAMNB | Koninklijke BAM Groep | -0.19 | 2 per month | 0.00 | -0.0047 | 3.97 | -3.28 | 9.07 | |
| AALB | Aalberts Industries NV | -0.70 | 3 per month | 1.54 | 0.1 | 4.04 | -2.50 | 12.78 | |
| HEIJM | Koninklijke Heijmans NV | 7.45 | 1 per month | 1.79 | 0.12 | 4.65 | -3.99 | 20.29 | |
| LIGHT | Signify NV | 0.68 | 3 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 3.24 | -2.85 | 20.73 | |
| THEON | Theon International Plc | -1.40 | 3 per month | 2.81 | 0.05 | 5.83 | -5.14 | 17.04 | |
| INPST | Inpost SA | 0.13 | 3 per month | 0.95 | 0.18 | 2.72 | -1.75 | 34.38 | |
| FERGR | Ferrari Group PLC | -0.07 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 3.86 | -4.28 | 11.14 | |
| BRNL | Brunel International NV | -0.08 | 3 per month | 0.00 | -0.10 | 2.26 | -2.92 | 9.93 | |
| HYDRA | Hydratec Industries NV | 1.00 | 3 per month | 0.82 | 0.18 | 3.00 | -1.83 | 9.76 | |
| RAND | Randstad NV | -1.94 | 3 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 3.09 | -3.50 | 16.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for Arcadis NV
For every potential investor in Arcadis, whether a beginner or expert, Arcadis NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Arcadis NV Related Equities
The following equities are related to Arcadis NV within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Arcadis NV against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Arcadis NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Arcadis NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Arcadis NV shares will generate the highest return on.
Arcadis NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Arcadis NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Arcadis NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Variance | 6.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Arcadis NV
Story coverage around Arcadis NV often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Arcadis NV Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Arcadis NV can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 323.5 M |
More Resources for Arcadis Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in Arcadis Stock
Financial ratios for Arcadis NV provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Arcadis across valuation measures in a consistent way.