Arcadis NV Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| ARCAD Stock | EUR 26.34 -0.68 -2.52% |
This reference page presents Double Exponential Smoothing forecast data for Arcadis NV. The model output shown here is derived from Arcadis NV's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Arcadis NV on the next trading day is expected to be 26.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.98.When Arcadis NV prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Arcadis NV trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Arcadis NV observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. This Double Exponential Smoothing forecast data for Arcadis NV is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Arcadis NV on the next trading day is expected to be 26.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.81 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.98 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Arcadis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Arcadis NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Arcadis NV | Arcadis NV Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Arcadis NV uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The current forecast range spans downside near 23.45 and upside near 28.55.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Arcadis NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Arcadis NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1326 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6606 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0199 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 38.9764 |
Other Forecasting Options for Arcadis NV
For every potential investor in Arcadis, whether a beginner or expert, Arcadis NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Arcadis NV Related Equities
The following equities are related to Arcadis NV within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Arcadis NV against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Arcadis NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Arcadis NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Arcadis NV shares will generate the highest return on.
Arcadis NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Arcadis NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Arcadis NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Variance | 6.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Arcadis NV
Story coverage around Arcadis NV often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Arcadis NV Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Arcadis NV can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 323.5 M |
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Other Information on Investing in Arcadis Stock
Financial ratios represent how different financial values are linked for Arcadis NV. They reflect how financial results tie into valuation measures. The format ensures financial data remains comparable across time periods.