Arcadis NV Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| ARCAD Stock | EUR 26.34 -0.68 -2.52% |
This reference page presents Simple Regression forecast data for Arcadis NV. The projected values and error metrics are presented below as reference information.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Arcadis NV on the next trading day is expected to be 28.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.18.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Arcadis NV historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. This Simple Regression forecast data for Arcadis NV is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Arcadis NV on the next trading day is expected to be 28.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95 , mean absolute percentage error of 5.75 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.18 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Arcadis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Arcadis NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Arcadis NV | Arcadis NV Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Arcadis NV uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. No forecasting approach has been shown to beat all others over time. Investors should treat any model output as a guide, not a guarantee.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Arcadis NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Arcadis NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.859 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.9538 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0573 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 119.1841 |
Other Forecasting Options for Arcadis NV
Arcadis NV's daily price returns can be decomposed into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in Arcadis often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration.Arcadis NV Related Equities
These related stocks within the Industrials space give benchmarks for judging Arcadis NV's results, margins, and growth trend. Market cap and total value checks frame Arcadis NV's size within the competitive field.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Arcadis NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors evaluate how Arcadis NV stock reacts to evolving market conditions. These indicators help determine optimal entry and exit points for trading Arcadis NV.
Arcadis NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Arcadis NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. Understanding the risk involved in holding Arcadis NV's allows investors to make informed decisions about their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.55 | |||
| Variance | 6.48 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Arcadis NV
Story coverage around Arcadis NV often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Arcadis NV Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Arcadis NV is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 323.5 M |
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Other Information on Investing in Arcadis Stock
Financial ratios represent how different financial values are linked for Arcadis NV. The format ensures financial data remains comparable across time periods.