Arcadis NV Stock Forward View

ARCAD Stock  EUR 28.98  0.26  0.91%   
As of today, the momentum index for Arcadis NV is 0, signaling extreme oversold conditions. Readings below 20 are commonly associated with potential stabilization zones.
Momentum
Sell Peaked
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Arcadis NV's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Arcadis NV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Key fundamental drivers for Arcadis NV's price forecast:
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
-0.22
 EPS Estimate Current Year
3.1528
 EPS Estimate Next Year
3.6574
 Wall Street Target Price
42.2143
 Quarterly Revenue Growth
-0.03
This view frames how Arcadis NV responds to recent headlines and peer activity within its market context.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Arcadis NV on the next trading day is expected to be 31.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.06.
Arcadis NV after-hype prediction price
    
  € 28.51  
Sentiment indicators are one input among forecasting models, technical signals, analyst estimates, earnings data, and momentum measures.
  
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Arcadis NV to cross-verify projections for Arcadis NV. The view provides historical context for the projection set.

Arcadis NV Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Arcadis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Arcadis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Arcadis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Arcadis NV is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Arcadis NV value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of March 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Arcadis NV on the next trading day is expected to be 31.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 , mean absolute percentage error of 1.58 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.06 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Arcadis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Arcadis NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Arcadis NV  Arcadis NV Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

This next-day forecast for Arcadis NV uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Market Value
28.98
31.68
Expected Value
34.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Arcadis NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Arcadis NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5648
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.919
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0278
SAESum of the absolute errors56.0613
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Arcadis NV. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Arcadis NV. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arcadis NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.9428.5131.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.5126.0831.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.3633.5141.66
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.660.790.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arcadis NV. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arcadis NV's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Arcadis NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Arcadis NV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Arcadis NV's historical news coverage.
Current Value
28.98
28.51
After-hype Price
31.08
Upside
The after-hype framework applied to Arcadis NV assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.

Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Arcadis NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arcadis NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Arcadis NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
2.57
  0.47 
  0.04 
2 Events
2 Events
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.98
28.51
1.62 
180.99  
Notes

Hype Timeline

Arcadis NV is presently traded for 28.98on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.47, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Arcadis is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.51. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 180.99%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.62%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Arcadis NV is about 2177.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.02. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Arcadis NV was presently reported as 12.03. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.94. Arcadis NV last dividend was issued on the 22nd of May 2026. The company completed a 61.23:60.23 stock split on 3rd of May 2021. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Arcadis NV to cross-verify projections for Arcadis NV. The view provides historical context for the projection set.

Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Arcadis NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Arcadis NV's future price movements. Getting to know how Arcadis NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BAMNBKoninklijke BAM Groep 0.29 2 per month 0.00  0.01 3.97 -3.28 9.07
AALBAalberts Industries NV-0.80 2 per month 1.56 0.10 4.04 -2.50 12.78
HEIJMKoninklijke Heijmans NV 7.45 1 per month 1.55 0.16 4.65 -3.37 20.29
LIGHTSignify NV 0.68 3 per month 0.00 -0.01 3.24 -2.85 20.73
THEONTheon International Plc-1.40 3 per month 2.86 0.03 5.83 -5.14 17.04
INPSTInpost SA 0.28 8 per month 1.01 0.17 2.72 -1.78 34.38
FERGRFerrari Group PLC-0.30 4 per month 0.00 -0.03 3.86 -4.28 11.14
BRNLBrunel International NV-0.08 3 per month 0.00 -0.09 2.26 -2.92 9.93
HYDRAHydratec Industries NV-3.00 2 per month 0.83 0.18 3.00 -1.83 9.76
RANDRandstad NV-1.94 3 per month 0.00 -0.1 3.09 -3.50 16.40

Other Forecasting Options for Arcadis NV

For every potential investor in Arcadis, whether a beginner or expert, Arcadis NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.

Arcadis NV Related Equities

The following equities are related to Arcadis NV within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Arcadis NV against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Arcadis NV Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Arcadis NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Arcadis NV shares will generate the highest return on.

Arcadis NV Risk Indicators

The analysis of Arcadis NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Arcadis NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Arcadis NV

Coverage intensity for Arcadis NV matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Story coverage on Macroaxis is built for readers who approach markets from different levels of experience but share the same need for disciplined investment context. Used well, these stories become part of a broader workflow built around idea generation, validation, and risk-adjusted portfolio design.

Arcadis NV Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to Arcadis NV matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding89.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments323.5 M

More Resources for Arcadis Stock Analysis

Other Information on Investing in Arcadis Stock

Arcadis NV financial ratios help frame valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Arcadis to other measures in a consistent way.