Ams AG Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| AMS Stock | CHF 8.01 -0.22 -2.67% |
This page provides reference data for Ams AG using Polynomial Regression forecasting. The projected value and error metrics are calculated from available daily price observations.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ams AG on the next trading day is expected to be 8.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.53.A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Ams AG historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm This Polynomial Regression reference page for Ams AG presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ams AG on the next trading day is expected to be 8.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.08 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.53 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ams Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ams AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Ams AG's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ams AG stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ams AG stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.445 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2344 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0285 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.5323 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ams AG
For investors considering Ams, Ams AG's price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in Ams Stock price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.Ams AG Related Equities
The following equities are related to Ams AG within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Ams AG against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ams AG Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Ams AG provide investors with a view of how the stock performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in Ams AG.
Ams AG Risk Indicators
A structured analysis of Ams AG's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in Ams AG's allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.02 | |||
| Variance | 9.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.59 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.20 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ams AG
Story coverage around Ams AG often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Ams AG Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Ams AG can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
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