Ams AG Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| AMS Stock | CHF 8.15 0.04 0.49% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.746 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.03 | EPS Estimate Current Year -0.31 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0557 | Wall Street Target Price 8.1682 |
The hype-based summary links Ams AG attention patterns with price response and peers.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ams AG on the next trading day is expected to be 7.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.93.Ams AG after-hype prediction price | ₣ 8.14 |
Attention metrics here are presented with forecasting, technical, analyst, and earnings context.
Ams |
Ams AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ams price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ams using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ams charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ams AG 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ams AG on the next trading day is expected to be 7.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.08 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.93 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ams Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ams AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ams AG Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ams AG | Ams AG Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Ams AG Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Ams AG uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ams AG stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ams AG stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.2249 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0221 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2092 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0254 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.925 |
Mean reversion in Ams AG is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
Ams AG After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Investors who rely solely on expected value estimates for Ams AG miss the full picture. Ams AG's probability distribution reveals that expected value can be achieved through very different combinations of outcomes, each with different risk implications.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ams AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-news price analysis for Ams AG is built on the observation that Ams AG's market reactions to news are not random but follow recognizable patterns. Ams AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.97 and 11.31, respectively. Identifying and quantifying these patterns for Ams AG is the core purpose of this model.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Ams AG assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Ams AG Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ams AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ams AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ams AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 3.14 | 0.04 | 0.24 | 7 Events | 2 Events | In 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.15 | 8.14 | 0.37 |
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Ams AG Hype Timeline
Ams AG is presently traded for 8.15on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.24. Ams is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 0.37%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Ams AG is about 212.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.91. The company reported revenue of 3.32 B. Net Loss for the year was -129 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 923 M. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 7 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ams AG provides a cross-check on projections for Ams AG. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Ams AG Related Hype Analysis
The information ratio and semi-deviation metrics in the peer comparison table for Ams AG provide a risk-adjusted view of how efficiently Ams AG's competitors convert news exposure into returns relative to downside risk.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UBXN | U Blox Holding | 0.14 | 15 per month | 0.00 | 0.0036 | 0.74 | -1.03 | 7.62 | |
| CICN | Cicor Technologies | -4.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 4.92 | -5.84 | 30.15 | |
| SENS | Sensirion Holding AG | -2.40 | 5 per month | 2.47 | 0.04 | 3.61 | -4.98 | 13.03 | |
| WIHN | Wisekey International Holding | -1.04 | 4 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 6.48 | -6.69 | 21.90 | |
| COTN | Comet Holding AG | 5.60 | 4 per month | 3.24 | 0.09 | 5.38 | -3.25 | 27.23 | |
| SWON | SoftwareONE Holding AG | 0.14 | 2 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 4.51 | -3.79 | 13.83 | |
| KUD | Kudelski | 0.04 | 3 per month | 2.36 | 0.03 | 4.07 | -4.10 | 11.04 | |
| ELMN | Elma Electronic AG | -10.00 | 2 per month | 0.22 | 0.25 | 1.63 | -0.83 | 3.27 | |
| IFCN | Inficon Holding | -1.80 | 2 per month | 1.72 | 0.1 | 4.48 | -2.84 | 12.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ams AG
For investors considering Ams, Ams AG's price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in Ams Stock price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.Ams AG Related Equities
The following equities are related to Ams AG within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Ams AG against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ams AG Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Ams AG provide investors with a view of how the stock performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in Ams AG.
Ams AG Risk Indicators
A structured analysis of Ams AG's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in Ams AG's allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Variance | 9.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.29 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ams AG
Coverage intensity for Ams AG matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Story coverage on Macroaxis is built for readers who approach markets from different levels of experience but share the same need for disciplined investment context. Used well, these stories become part of a broader workflow built around idea generation, validation, and risk-adjusted portfolio design.
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Ams AG Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Ams AG matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
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