Shopify Valuation

SHOP Stock  USD 136.37  1.52  1.10%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Shopify has a current Real Value of $145.56 per share. The regular price of the company is $136.37. Our model measures the value of Shopify from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.16, shares outstanding of 1.22 B, and Operating Margin of 0.17 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Shopify's valuation include:
Price Book
14.3483
Enterprise Value
174.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
101.738
Price Sales
16.783
Forward PE
73.5294
Undervalued
Today
136.37
Please note that Shopify's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Shopify is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Shopify's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Shopify's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 136.37, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  136.37 Real  145.56 Target  179.49 Hype  134.02 Naive  125.68
The intrinsic value of Shopify's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Shopify's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
122.53
Downside
145.56
Real Value
148.46
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Shopify helps investors to forecast how Shopify stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Shopify more accurately as focusing exclusively on Shopify's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.320.500.41
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
131.12134.02136.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
122.78125.68128.59
Details
50 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
163.33179.49199.23
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Shopify's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Shopify's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Shopify's closest peers.

Shopify Cash

1.03 Billion

Shopify Revenue by Product

Shopify Total Value Analysis

Shopify is at this time estimated to have valuation of 174.28 B with market capitalization of 179.51 B, debt of 1.13 B, and cash on hands of 1.5 B. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Shopify fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
174.28 B
179.51 B
1.13 B
1.5 B

Shopify Investor Information

About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.12. Shopify had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 10:1 split on the 29th of June 2022. Based on the key measurements obtained from Shopify's financial statements, Shopify is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great chance to report excellent financial results in February.

Shopify Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Shopify has an asset utilization ratio of 63.77 percent. This connotes that the Company is making $0.64 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Shopify is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Shopify Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Shopify's financial statements, Shopify is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great chance to showcase excellent profitability results in February. Profitability indicators assess Shopify's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2013-03-31
Previous Quarter
906 M
Current Value
264 M
Quarterly Volatility
535 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Shopify's Gross Profit is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/26/2026, Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.24, while Operating Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.11.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.630.58
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
For Shopify profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Shopify to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Shopify utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Shopify's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Shopify over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Shopify Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Shopify is estimated to be 0.5009 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.32 to a high of 0.408525. Shopify's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.37. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Shopify is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Shopify is projected to generate 0.5009 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. Shopify earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Shopify EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Shopify's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Shopify, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Shopify Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Shopify's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Shopify is estimated to be 0.5009 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.32 to a high of 0.408525. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Shopify is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.35
0.32
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.5009
0.41
Highest

Shopify Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Shopify's value are higher than the current market price of the Shopify stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Shopify is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Shopify's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
5251.58%
0.35
0.5009
1.37

Shopify Ownership Allocation

Shopify shows a total of 1.22 Billion outstanding shares. The majority of Shopify outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Shopify to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Shopify. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Shopify as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On January 9, 2026, Representative Jonathan Jackson of US Congress acquired $50k to $100k worth of Shopify's common stock.

Shopify Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.88 B. Net Income was 2.02 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.21 B.

About Shopify Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Shopify's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Shopify based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Shopify. We calculate exposure to Shopify's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Shopify's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit5.1 B5.4 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.23  0.24 
Operating Profit Margin 0.12  0.11 
Net Profit Margin 0.20  0.21 
Gross Profit Margin 0.58  0.63 

Shopify Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Shopify does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.688
Forward Price Earnings73.5294

Shopify Current Valuation Indicators

Shopify's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Shopify's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Shopify, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Shopify's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Shopify's worth.

Additional Tools for Shopify Stock Analysis

When running Shopify's price analysis, check to measure Shopify's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shopify is operating at the current time. Most of Shopify's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shopify's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shopify's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shopify to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.