Nextdecade Corp Valuation

NEXT Stock  USD 7.35  0.12  1.66%   
At current prices, Nextdecade Corp appears fairly valued. Our estimate of the Real Value of Nextdecade Corp is $7.35 per share, which is in line with the current market price of $7.35. For Nextdecade Corp, the valuation baseline starts with shares owned by insiders of 45.48% and is then cross-checked against technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key valuation drivers for Nextdecade Corp include:
 Price Book
20.3412
 Enterprise Value
10.5 B
 Enterprise Value Ebitda
196.4929
Fairly Valued
Today
7.35
From a risk standpoint, Nextdecade Corp's price movement is currently Slightly Elevated. Macroaxis calculates the real value of Nextdecade Corp using a 3 months time horizon. A longer horizon usually makes the valuation estimate more stable and improves the predictive value of the methodology.
The current market price of 7.35 does not necessarily match Nextdecade Corp's intrinsic value. If market price moves back toward intrinsic value, that disconnect may become actionable.
Historical Market  7.35 Real  7.35 Target  8.0 Hype  7.3 Naive  7.98
The real value of Nextdecade Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Nextdecade Corp Company. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by investor sentiment and market trends.
7.35
Real Value
11.43
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Nextdecade Corp supports forecasting how Nextdecade stock impacts portfolios. Adding Nextdecade stock to a portfolio requires understanding both its growth ceiling and downside exposure.
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.49-0.49-0.49
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.227.3011.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
3.907.9812.07
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
7.288.008.88
Details
Analysts and institutional participants traditionally use multiple methods for valuing Nextdecade Corp. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, using all methods arrives at a better estimate.

Main Profitability Drivers

 Price Book
20.3412
 Gross Profit
-1.6 M
 Wall Street Target Price
8
Annualized trend data shows Cash increasing by roughly 4.76%. The most recent reading for Cash was 143.78 Million. As of now, The current year's Accounts Payable is projected to rise to approximately 466.1 M.

Nextdecade Corp Cash

150.97 Million

Total Value Analysis

The market-value snapshot for Nextdecade Corp currently reflects enterprise value of 10.45 B, market capitalization of 1.92 B, debt of 8.66 B, and cash of 40.5 M. That snapshot should be treated as one valuation lens rather than as final proof of fair value because the interpretation can shift quickly when financing assumptions change.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
10.45 B
1.92 B
8.66 B
40.5 M

Asset Utilization

One of the ways to look at asset utilization of Nextdecade is to check how much profit was generated for every dollar of assets it reports. Nextdecade Corp has a negative utilization of assets of -0.015%, losing $1.5E-4 for each dollar of assets held by the company. Discouraging asset utilization means the company is being less efficient with each dollar of assets it has. In other words, asset utilization of Nextdecade Corp shows how discouraging it operates for each dollar spent on its assets.
Macro event markers
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Profitability Analysis

Considering Nextdecade Corp's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Nextdecade Corp may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high risk of underperforming in April. Profitability indicators assess Nextdecade Corp's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
 First Reported
2015-03-31
 Previous Quarter
-109.5 M
 Current Value
-47.3 M
 Quarterly Volatility
43.8 M
Macro event markers
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
As of now, The current year's Gross Profit is projected to rise to approximately -11.5 M.
For Nextdecade Corp profitability analysis, investors typically examine the ratios and operating drivers that show how well the company turns sales, assets, and shareholder capital into profit. The stronger read comes from understanding both the ratios themselves and the business drivers working behind those ratios. Nextdecade Corp currently reports return on equity near -21.24%, which helps anchor profitability expectations.

Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Analyst consensus on Nextdecade Corp's EPS captures the range of professional forecasts and their trajectory over time. Operating margin trends add depth to the EPS reading by revealing cost discipline. When reviewing projected earnings per share for Nextdecade Corp, investors should keep in mind that consensus EPS estimates can include assumptions that smooth non-recurring items and stock-compensation effects. Nextdecade Corp is projected to generate -0.49 in earnings per share on 31st of March 2026. Earnings forecast analysis also matters because changes in EPS expectations can influence both valuation work and near-term price reaction.
Macro event markers
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Nextdecade Corp's earnings per share is based on data from the past 12 consecutive months used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Nextdecade Corp is estimated to be -0.49 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.49 to a high of -0.49. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Nextdecade Corp is based on EPS before non-recurring items.
Last Reported EPS
-0.42
-0.49
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.49
-0.49
Highest

Earnings Projection Consensus

A consensus EPS-based estimate above Nextdecade Corp's current price may suggest the market is pricing in excessive pessimism or overlooking near-term catalysts. Conversely, an estimate below market price could reflect a premium valuation that requires sustained earnings growth to justify. Both interpretations demand risk assessment and should not be acted upon in isolation.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
446.16%
-0.42
-0.49
-1.17

Ownership Allocation

Nextdecade Corp has a large amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Nextdecade Corp has approximately 43% of its outstanding shares held by institutional investors, 45% by insiders, and 11% in public hands.

Revenue and Profit Overview

Net Loss for the year was -429.64 M with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of -1.61 M.

Valuation Framework, Methodology & Assumptions

Nextdecade Corp is a small-cap equity in Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation, Oil & Gas Equipment & Services, Energy categories. Valuation integrates earnings durability and capital efficiency. Certain defensive traits may reduce sensitivity to broader macroeconomic fluctuations. For Nextdecade Corp, P/B of 20.34, enterprise value of 10.45 B anchors the current valuation read.

The analytics block for Nextdecade Corp relies on periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied before rendering. Analyst inputs may be included when coverage is available. Timing can vary by data vendor. Valuation outputs are model-derived and depend on published assumptions and reference inputs.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on February 28th, 2026

Nextdecade Corp Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation of Nextdecade Corp is strongest when several lenses are used together: market cap, enterprise value. revenue, and cash-flow durability. The key question is comparative: what does the market charge per dollar of revenue, profit, and assets, and is that justified?

Additional Tools for Nextdecade Stock Analysis

Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash position to determine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter investment opportunities
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges