CSX Valuation

CSX Stock  USD 36.60  0.61  1.69%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. CSX Corporation shows a prevailing Real Value of $29.79 per share. The current price of the firm is $36.6. Our model approximates the value of CSX Corporation from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 0.21 %, and Return On Equity of 0.23 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
36.60
Please note that CSX's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of CSX Corporation is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing CSX's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since CSX is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of CSX Stock. However, CSX's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  36.6 Real  29.79 Hype  36.6 Naive  35.19
The intrinsic value of CSX's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence CSX's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
29.79
Real Value
40.26
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of CSX Corporation helps investors to forecast how CSX stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of CSX more accurately as focusing exclusively on CSX's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.6935.1237.55
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.1036.6038.10
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.440.450.46
Details

CSX Total Value Analysis

CSX Corporation is currently projected to have company total value of 85.57 B with market capitalization of 68.23 B, debt of 18.99 B, and cash on hands of 2.4 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the CSX fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
85.57 B
68.23 B
18.99 B
2.4 B

CSX Investor Information

About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.51. CSX Corporation last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The entity had 3:1 split on the 29th of June 2021. Based on the key measurements obtained from CSX's financial statements, CSX Corporation is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in November.

CSX Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. CSX has an asset utilization ratio of 34.0 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.34 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that CSX Corporation is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

CSX Ownership Allocation

CSX holds a total of 1.86 Billion outstanding shares. The majority of CSX Corporation outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in CSX Corporation to benefit from reduced commissions. Therefore, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in CSX. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of CSX Corporation as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on October 10, 2025, Representative Val Hoyle of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of CSX Corporation's common stock.

CSX Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 14.54 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.47 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 6.52 B.

CSX Past Distributions to stockholders

About CSX Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of CSX. We calculate exposure to CSX's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of CSX's related companies.
CSX Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides rail-based freight transportation services. CSX Corporation was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida. CSX Corp operates under Railroads classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 21946 people.
CSX's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether CSX's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of CSX can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of CSX represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of CSX, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

CSX Dividends Analysis For Valuation

There are various types of dividends CSX can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of CSX shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from CSX Corporation directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When CSX pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of CSX by the value of the dividends paid out.

CSX Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.196
Forward Price Earnings18.5874

Additional Tools for CSX Stock Analysis

When running CSX's price analysis, check to measure CSX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CSX is operating at the current time. Most of CSX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CSX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CSX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CSX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.