CSX Corporation Stock Technical Analysis
| CSX Stock | USD 38.17 -0.32 -0.83% |
As of the 21st of March, CSX indicates a price level of 38.17 per share. Price-based signals reflect risk adjusted performance of 0.0356, and Mean Deviation of 1.07. The model quantifies price stability and directional movement. Relative volatility positioning is benchmarked against peers.
CSX Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as CSX, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CSXCSX's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 40.85 | Buy | 27 | Odds |
The recommendation profile for CSX Corporation reflects inputs from several research sources. The consensus average reflects the central tendency of analyst ratings for CSX. The recommendation profile is most useful when viewed alongside other fundamental measures. The timing of analyst rating changes for CSX Corporation matters as much as the direction. Rating upgrades issued after a large decline in CSX stock may reflect backward-looking analysis, while pre-emptive upgrades ahead of a catalyst tend to have stronger price impact.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.004 | Dividend Share 0.52 | Earnings Share 1.53 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.01 |
The gap between CSX's market value and book value reflects how the market perceives future potential versus historical cost. CSX's market capitalization is 70.98 B. The 5.44 P/B ratio shows CSX carries a substantial premium over its balance-sheet equity. Enterprise value stands at 90.25 B. The relationship between CSX's intrinsic value, market price, and book value adds depth to the analysis.
Note that CSX's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For CSX, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 17.03, a P/B ratio of 5.44, a profit margin of 20.5%, and ROE of 22.51%. CSX's trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.
What if' Analysis
Historical what-if analysis for CSX Corporation is useful because it converts abstract timing questions into a structured review of past performance under changing entry and holding periods. The stronger interpretation comes from comparing realized return, risk, and path dependency instead of focusing only on the best historical outcome.
| 12/21/2025 |
| 03/21/2026 |
Opening a 0.00 position in CSX on December 21, 2025 and holding to today would produce 0.00 in aggregate gains. The net result is a 0.0% net return in CSX overall over the 90 day window. Comparable stock peers for CSX include Norfolk Southern, Canadian Pacific, Canadian National, Illinois Tool, Republic Services, Cummins, and Quanta Services. The comparison helps frame competitive context. Peer classification reflects similarities in sector, size, or operational focus. CSX Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides rail-based freight transportation services More
Upside and Downside Indicators for CSX Summary
CSX upside and downside signals reflect how the stock price has behaved relative to recent trading ranges. The signals capture how recent price action aligns with observed directional ranges. Trading data across multiple sessions provides the basis for all values shown.
| Downside Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1025 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.84 | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.99 |
CSX Volatility and Risk Indicators Signals
Historical risk measures for CSX describe how the price has varied across observation periods. The measures describe how returns have dispersed relative to historical norms. The information is sourced from historical market data.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0356 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1412 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2148 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0833 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.045 |
Mean reversion in CSX is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0356 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.055 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2562.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1025 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1412 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2148 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0833 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.045 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.84 | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.93 | |||
| Skewness | -0.60 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.314 |
CSX Corporation Backtested Returns
CSX posts a very low volatility profile during the defined timeframe. It records a risk-adjusted return measure of 0.0607, measuring return stability during 3 months. We identified twenty-eight technical indicators influencing the company's volatility profile. Please review metrics such as risk-adjusted performance of 0.0356, and mean deviation of 1.07 to examine volatility dispersion. CSX has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.99, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Returns on CSX closely shadow the overall market, offering near-index exposure without significant amplification or dampening. CSX Corporation presently maintains a risk of 1.44%. Please verify CSX Corporation the relationship between the Downside Variance and daily balance of power.
Auto-correlation | -0.64 |
Very good reverse predictability
Comparing CSX's price behavior from 21st of December 2025 to 4th of February 2026 with the period from 4th of February 2026 to 21st of March 2026 produces very good reverse predictability. The stronger the relationship between the current interval and its lagged values, the more accurately future price behavior of CSX Corporation may be projected. The coefficient of -0.64 links roughly 64.0% of CSX's present price action to its own historical movements. Given that CSX Corporation has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.64 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.04 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.22 |
Technical signals for CSX are derived from price and volume activity. The analysis uses tools that capture trend and momentum behavior.
Technical Analysis
This analysis covers twenty-five data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of CSX Corporation volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators
Technical analysis of CSX evaluates price structure, momentum, and volatility clustering. Technical signals complement fundamental exposure context. CSX has a market cap of 70.98 B, P/E of 17.03, ROE of 22.51%.
The analytics block for CSX Corporation relies on periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied before rendering. Professional analyst research is incorporated when coverage is available. Timing can vary by data vendor.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardCSX Technical Indicators
Technical indicators tied to CSX Corporation help investors translate chart behavior into a more structured framework for entry, exit, and risk control. This is most useful when investors want to compare trend quality, momentum, and mean-reversion risk before acting.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0356 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.055 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2562.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1025 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1412 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2148 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0833 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.045 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | -2.84 | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.93 | |||
| Skewness | -0.60 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.314 |
March 21, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Technical indicators tied to CSX Corporation help investors translate chart behavior into a more structured framework for entry, exit, and risk control. This is most useful when investors want to compare trend quality, momentum, and mean-reversion risk before acting.
| Accumulation Distribution | 373,708 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.42 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 38.26 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 38.23 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.25 |
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