Timothy Servative Growth Fund Technical Analysis
| TCVCX Fund | USD 9.63 -0.02 -0.21% |
As of the 15th of March 2026, the last recorded price for TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE is 9.63 per share. Primary technical drivers reflect Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0342, semi deviation of 0.43, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1862.65. Quantitative analysis incorporates volatility metrics and price behavior to assess directional bias. Metrics are compared to industry averages to assess relative positioning.
TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as TIMOTHY, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TIMOTHYTIMOTHY |
What if' Analysis
Running a what-if backtest on Timothy Servative Growth gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. Used properly, this review helps investors decide whether TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE's historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
| 12/15/2025 |
| 03/15/2026 |
If you invested 0.00 in TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE on December 15, 2025 and closed the position today, you would earn 0.00 in aggregate gains. The change equals a 0.0% return on investment in TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE on balance over a 90 day window. TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE is related to or competes with STRATEGIC ALLOCATION:, BUFFALO LARGE, Rational Strategic, Morgan Stanley, Dodge Cox, VANGUARD EQUITY, and LEGG MASON. Peer context can support comparative analysis. The fund normally will invest at least 75 percent of its total assets in the traditional funds More
TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE Upside and Downside Indicators Signals
Upside and downside indicators for TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE summarize momentum balance and potential range context for the fund. The signals are presented as informational context for recent price movement.
| Downside Deviation | 0.4908 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1346 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | -0.92 | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.603 |
TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE Market Risk Indicators Signals
Market risk indicators summarize volatility and return dispersion for TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE. This view provides neutral context for risk and variability.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0342 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0334 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0374 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.118 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0289 |
The concept of mean reversion suggests that TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0342 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0389 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.3303 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.43 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.4908 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1862.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4303 | |||
| Variance | 0.1852 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1346 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0334 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0374 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.118 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0289 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | -0.92 | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.603 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2409 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1849 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.33 | |||
| Skewness | -0.36 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8113 |
Timothy Servative Growth Backtested Returns
Over the selected 3 months, TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE demonstrates a very low volatility profile. It maintains a Sharpe Ratio (Efficiency) of 0.0337, representing adjusted performance consistency. We identified twenty-six technical indicators influencing the company's volatility profile. Please analyze metrics such as Semi Deviation of 0.43, coefficient of variation of 1862.65, and risk-adjusted performance of 0.0342 to assess dispersion and downside exposure. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.45, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. With a sub-1 beta, TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE participates in market rallies at a reduced pace while also limiting downside exposure.
Auto-correlation | -0.21 |
Weak reverse predictability
Serial correlation analysis for Timothy Servative Growth reveals weak reverse predictability across the intervals from 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026 and from 29th of January 2026 to 15th of March 2026. The degree of alignment between past and current intervals shapes expectations about Timothy Servative Growth's price persistence. At -0.21, over 21.0% of current TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE price movement aligns with historical price trajectory. Given that Timothy Servative Growth has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.21 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.09 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE technical mutual fund analysis uses price and volume transformations to study behavior. The model references moving averages, relative strength, and price correlation signals.
Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was thirty-six with a total number of output elements of twenty-five. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Timothy Servative Growth volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators
Technical analysis of TIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE focuses on NAV trend behavior and volatility patterns where pricing frequency permits. Volume and liquidity conditions influence signal reliability. Reduced trading volume may increase short-term pricing variability.
For Timothy Servative Growth, this section uses fund disclosures and market reference feeds with Macroaxis normalization rules applied to keep cross-asset comparisons consistent. Intraday timing differences may exist.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardTIMOTHY CONSERVATIVE Technical Indicators
A technical review of Timothy Servative Growth can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0342 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0389 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.3303 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.43 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.4908 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1862.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4303 | |||
| Variance | 0.1852 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1346 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0334 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0374 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.118 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0289 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | -0.92 | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.603 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2409 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1849 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.33 | |||
| Skewness | -0.36 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8113 |
March 15, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
A technical review of Timothy Servative Growth can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -Huge | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 9.63 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 9.63 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.01 |