Timothy Servative Growth Fund Price Patterns

TCVCX Fund  USD 10.00  0.02  0.20%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Timothy Conservative's mutual fund price is slightly above 63. This usually implies that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Timothy, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 63

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Timothy Conservative's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Timothy Servative Growth, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Timothy Conservative hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Timothy Servative Growth from the perspective of Timothy Conservative response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Timothy Conservative to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Timothy because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Timothy Conservative after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Timothy Conservative Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Timothy Conservative's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.9810.4810.89
Details

Timothy Conservative After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Timothy Conservative at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Timothy Conservative or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Timothy Conservative, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Timothy Conservative Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Timothy Conservative's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Timothy Conservative's historical news coverage. Timothy Conservative's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.98 and 13.43, respectively. We have considered Timothy Conservative's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.00
13.02
After-hype Price
13.43
Upside
Timothy Conservative is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Timothy Servative Growth is based on 3 months time horizon.

Timothy Conservative Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Timothy Conservative is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Timothy Conservative backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Timothy Conservative, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
0.41
 0.00  
  0.04 
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.00
13.02
30.46 
1,367  
Notes

Timothy Conservative Hype Timeline

Timothy Servative Growth is at this time traded for 10.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. Timothy is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 30.46%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Timothy Conservative is about 92.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.04. Debt can assist Timothy Conservative until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Timothy Conservative's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Timothy Servative Growth sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Timothy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Timothy Conservative's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Timothy Conservative Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Timothy Conservative Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Timothy Conservative's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Timothy Conservative's future price movements. Getting to know how Timothy Conservative's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Timothy Conservative may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TFICXTimothy Fixed Income 0.00 0 per month 0.15 (0.45) 0.23 (0.34) 0.91 
TFIAXTimothy Fixed Income 0.00 0 per month 0.12 (0.46) 0.32 (0.32) 0.76 
TGCIXTimothy Plan Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.03  0  0.76 (0.57) 1.70 
TGIAXTimothy Plan Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0) 0.82 (0.63) 1.81 
TIAGXTimothy Aggressive Growth 4.76 4 per month 1.24  0.08  2.81 (2.75) 7.30 
TICIXTimothy Israel Mon(0.33)1 per month 0.97  0.18  1.98 (2.13) 5.31 
TIICXTimothy Plan Conservative 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.04  0.92 (0.47) 1.94 
TIGIXTimothy Plan Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.01  0.81 (0.54) 1.71 
TLGCXTimothy Largemip Cap Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.94  0.09  1.65 (2.13) 27.19 
TLGAXTimothy Plan Large 0.00 0 per month 1.26 (0.04) 1.54 (2.16) 5.37 

Timothy Conservative Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Timothy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Timothy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Timothy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Timothy Conservative Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Timothy Conservative stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Timothy Servative Growth, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Timothy Conservative based on analysis of Timothy Conservative hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Timothy Conservative's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Timothy Conservative's related companies.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund

Timothy Conservative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Conservative security.
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