First Trust Low ETF Technical Analysis

LDSF ETF  USD 18.78  -0.03  -0.16%   
As of the 27th of March, First Trust indicates a price level of 18.78 per share. Price-based signals reflect Mean Deviation of 0.1137, variance of 0.0265, and Standard Deviation of 0.1628. The model quantifies price stability and directional movement. Relative volatility positioning is benchmarked against peers.

First Trust Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Trust's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help identify potential trend changes using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Investors evaluate First Trust Low using market price and NAV, each describing a different view of the fund. Analytical frameworks help reconcile these views into a coherent picture.
Note that First Trust's market price and net asset value (NAV) are different measures derived from different inputs. First Trust's trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.

What-If Analysis

Running a what-if backtest on First Trust Low gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. The real value is perspective: it shows whether the thesis would have remained investable across different historical windows or depended too heavily on one favorable stretch.
0.00
12/27/2025
 
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
 
03/27/2026
0.00
Starting with  0.00  in First Trust on December 27, 2025 and exiting today would realize 0.00 in overall gains. Overall, this is a 0.0% net return in First Trust in total over 90 days. Values are derived from observed market activity and price data. First Trust is grouped with peers such as Fm 2, US Vegan, Innovator Equity, Innovator SAMPP, EA Series, WisdomTree Emerging, and BlackRock ETF based on business similarity. Under normal market conditions, the fund seeks to achieve its investment objectives by investing at least 80 percent of ... More

Upside and Downside Indicators for First Trust Dashboard

Momentum range indicators for First Trust reflect the balance between upside and downside price pressure. All values are based on available data and provided as reference information.

First Trust Volatility and Risk Indicators Summary

This section presents risk metrics that describe First Trust's historical price variability. All metrics are computed from historical trading data across available periods.
The mean reversion principle applied to First Trust's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Identifying the root cause of First Trust's price dislocation is essential before acting on a mean reversion signal.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.6118.7818.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.6618.8319.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.6418.8118.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.8119.0319.26
Details
No single-company analysis of First Trust Low is complete without peer benchmarking. A company that looks attractive in isolation may be significantly outperformed by competitors.

Technical Indicators

First Trust Low Backtested Returns

First Trust posts a very low volatility profile during the defined timeframe. It records an Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.13, marking performance variability over 3 months. We identified twenty-one technical indicators influencing the company's volatility profile. Please review metrics such as mean deviation of 0.1137, variance of 0.0265, and standard deviation of 0.1628 to examine volatility dispersion. The ETF owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0883, which attests to very low measured sensitivity to broad market movements. Returns on First Trust tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative.
Auto-correlation
    
  -0.64  

Very good reverse predictability

Serial correlation analysis for First Trust Low reveals very good reverse predictability across the intervals from 27th of December 2025 to 10th of February 2026 and from 10th of February 2026 to 27th of March 2026. The degree of alignment between past and current intervals shapes expectations about First Trust Low's price persistence. At -0.64, roughly 64.0% of current First Trust price movement aligns with historical price trajectory. Given that First Trust Low has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.
Correlation Coefficient-0.64
Spearman Rank Test-0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01
This analysis reflects how First Trust behaves based on price and volume data. All values are based on available data and provided as reference information.
Market behavior for First Trust is evaluated using price-based signals. The analysis centers on recurring patterns within price data. More Info...

Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
This analysis covers thirty-seven data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Trust Low volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators

Technical analysis of First Trust evaluates traded price structure, volume, and spread stability relative to NAV behavior. Technical signals complement fundamental exposure context.

First Trust Low metrics are compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and normalized before display. Not all fields update in real time.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 11th, 2026

First Trust Technical Indicators

Technical analysis of First Trust Low is useful because it frames whether the current trend still looks durable or is beginning to weaken. The practical goal is to improve execution quality rather than to suggest that charts alone can predict every move.

First Trust Low One Year Return

Based on the recorded statements, First Trust Low has an One Year Return of 4.5%. Relative to the First Trust family, this is 50.66% below, while the Short-Term Bond category average sits notably below. Across all United States etfs, the average one year return is notably below First Trust's level.
Although One Year Fund Return indicator can give a sense of overall fund short-term potential, it is recommended to look at mid and long term return measure before selecting a particular fund or ETF. The great way to validate fund short-term performance is to compare it with other similar funds or ETFs for the same 12 months interval.

March 27, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Technical analysis of First Trust Low is useful because it frames whether the current trend still looks durable or is beginning to weaken. The practical goal is to improve execution quality rather than to suggest that charts alone can predict every move.

More Resources for First ETF Analysis

Analysis of First Trust Low often begins with its portfolio holdings and historical return patterns. Selected reports below provide context for First ETF:
Portfolio design and allocation context appear in Correlation Analysis. All metrics are derived from available inputs and shown for reference. Adding First Trust Low to a portfolio enables side-by-side comparison with other holdings. This enables performance tracking across the full position set. Broader economic conditions can influence First Trust Low's ETF valuation — related indicators include signals in main economic indicators.
First Trust analysis should be read alongside other ETF comparison and risk tools before adjusting allocations. For First Trust, the analytical tools below add portfolio-level context that single-fund review alone cannot provide. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Investors evaluate First Trust Low using market price and NAV, each describing a different view of the fund. Analytical frameworks help reconcile these views into a coherent picture.
Note that First Trust's market price and net asset value (NAV) are different measures derived from different inputs. First Trust's trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.