Howmet Aerospace Stock Technical Analysis
| HWM Stock | USD 208.93 1.91 0.91% |
As of the 30th of January, Howmet Aerospace retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0954, downside deviation of 1.51, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0474. Howmet Aerospace technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Howmet Aerospace jensen alpha and downside variance to decide if Howmet Aerospace is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 208.93 per share. Given that Howmet Aerospace has jensen alpha of 0.0321, we strongly advise you to confirm Howmet Aerospace's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Howmet Aerospace Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Howmet, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to HowmetHowmet Aerospace's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Howmet Aerospace Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 246.75 | Strong Buy | 25 | Odds |
Most Howmet analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Howmet stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Howmet Aerospace, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Howmet conference calls.
Will Aerospace & Defense sector continue expanding? Could Howmet diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Howmet Aerospace. Market participants price Howmet higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Howmet Aerospace data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.173 | Dividend Share 0.52 | Earnings Share 3.55 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.138 |
Investors evaluate Howmet Aerospace using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Howmet Aerospace's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Howmet Aerospace's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Howmet Aerospace's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Howmet Aerospace is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Howmet Aerospace's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Howmet Aerospace 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Howmet Aerospace's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Howmet Aerospace.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Howmet Aerospace on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Howmet Aerospace or generate 0.0% return on investment in Howmet Aerospace over 90 days. Howmet Aerospace is related to or competes with Emerson Electric, Illinois Tool, Parker Hannifin, Northrop Grumman, 3M, Cummins, and Waste Management. Howmet Aerospace Inc. provides advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries in the Unit... More
Howmet Aerospace Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Howmet Aerospace's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Howmet Aerospace upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0187 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.18) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.77 |
Howmet Aerospace Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Howmet Aerospace's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Howmet Aerospace's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Howmet Aerospace historical prices to predict the future Howmet Aerospace's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0474 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0321 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0193 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0854 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Howmet Aerospace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Howmet Aerospace January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0474 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0954 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1724.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0187 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0321 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0193 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0854 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.18) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.30) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1819 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.19) |
Howmet Aerospace Backtested Returns
As of now, Howmet Stock is very steady. Howmet Aerospace holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0193, which attests that the entity had a 0.0193 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Howmet Aerospace, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Howmet Aerospace's Downside Deviation of 1.51, market risk adjusted performance of 0.0954, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0474 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0304%. Howmet Aerospace has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.94, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Howmet Aerospace returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Howmet Aerospace is expected to follow. Howmet Aerospace right now retains a risk of 1.57%. Please check out Howmet Aerospace downside variance, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to decide if Howmet Aerospace will be following its current trending patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.53 |
Good reverse predictability
Howmet Aerospace has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Howmet Aerospace time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Howmet Aerospace price movement. The serial correlation of -0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Howmet Aerospace price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.53 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.34 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 63.33 |
Howmet Aerospace technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Howmet Aerospace Technical Analysis
Indicator |
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The True Range is a measure of Howmet Aerospace volatility developed by Welles Wilder.
About Howmet Aerospace Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Howmet Aerospace on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Howmet Aerospace based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Howmet Aerospace price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Howmet Aerospace. By analyzing Howmet Aerospace's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Howmet Aerospace's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Howmet Aerospace specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003273 | 0.002443 | 0.002809 | 0.002669 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.36 | 6.01 | 5.41 | 5.68 |
Howmet Aerospace January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Howmet help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Howmet from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Howmet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0474 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0954 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1724.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0187 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0321 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0193 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0854 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.18) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.30) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1819 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.19) |
Howmet Aerospace January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Howmet stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 208.93 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 208.93 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.95) |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Howmet Aerospace. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private. To learn how to invest in Howmet Stock, please use our How to Invest in Howmet Aerospace guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Will Aerospace & Defense sector continue expanding? Could Howmet diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Howmet Aerospace. Market participants price Howmet higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Howmet Aerospace data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.173 | Dividend Share 0.52 | Earnings Share 3.55 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.138 |
Investors evaluate Howmet Aerospace using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Howmet Aerospace's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Howmet Aerospace's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Howmet Aerospace's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Howmet Aerospace is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Howmet Aerospace's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.