Geo Group Stock Technical Analysis
| GEO Stock | USD 16.17 0.12 0.75% |
As of the 29th of January, Geo retains the Standard Deviation of 2.59, market risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02). Geo technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Geo Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Geo, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to GeoGeo's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Geo Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 32.25 | Strong Buy | 4 | Odds |
Most Geo analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Geo stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Geo Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Geo conference calls.
Will Commercial Services & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Geo diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geo. Market participants price Geo higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Geo data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.526 | Earnings Share 1.69 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.131 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Geo Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Geo's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Geo's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Geo's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Geo 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Geo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Geo.
| 10/31/2025 |
| 01/29/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Geo on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Geo Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Geo over 90 days. Geo is related to or competes with NL Industries, Mistras, Resideo Technologies, Brady, Brinks, Allegion PLC, and CompX International. is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support servic... More
Geo Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Geo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Geo Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.08 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.14 |
Geo Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Geo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Geo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Geo historical prices to predict the future Geo's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.10) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Geo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Geo January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (3,098) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Variance | 6.7 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.10) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.08 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.14 | |||
| Skewness | (0.86) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.59 |
Geo Group Backtested Returns
Geo Group holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0214, which attests that the entity had a -0.0214 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Geo Group exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Geo's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Standard Deviation of 2.59 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.9, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Geo returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Geo is expected to follow. At this point, Geo Group has a negative expected return of -0.0572%. Please make sure to check out Geo's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and market facilitation index , to decide if Geo Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.50 |
Modest predictability
Geo Group has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Geo time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Geo Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Geo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.5 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.19 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.51 |
Geo technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Geo Group Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Geo Group across different markets.
About Geo Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Geo Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Geo Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Geo Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Geo Group. By analyzing Geo's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Geo's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Geo specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0294 | 0.0279 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.74 | 1.19 |
Geo January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Geo help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Geo from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Geo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (3,098) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Variance | 6.7 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.10) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.08 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.14 | |||
| Skewness | (0.86) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.59 |
Geo January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Geo stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.01 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 16.11 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 16.13 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.12 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.12 |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geo Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Will Commercial Services & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Geo diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geo. Market participants price Geo higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Geo data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.526 | Earnings Share 1.69 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.131 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Geo Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Geo's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Geo's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Geo's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.