KeyCorp Stock Analysis

KEY Stock

USD 20.00 0.18 0.91%

KeyCorp has a beta of 1.09 relative to the broader market. The historical pricing series for KeyCorp extends back to November 5, 1984. Macroeconomic contraction periods are shown alongside price behavior.

200 Day MA

19.0906

50 Day MA

21.0262

Beta

1.086

Macro event markers

Black Monday

Oil Shock

Dot-com Bubble

Housing Crash

Credit Downgrade

Yuan Drop

Covid

Interest Hikes

KeyCorp is currently estimated as fairly valued with a Real Value of $20.47 and a Target Price of $24.45. A key objective of stock analysis is establishing intrinsic value context. The framework estimates KeyCorp's value using fundamental inputs rather than market price alone. This approach pairs balance-sheet fundamentals with chart-based technical analysis.

KeyCorp has over USD11 Billion in debt, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing. Short and Long Term Debt Total is currently at 16.9 Billion, reflecting a change of 34.91%. A year ago, KeyCorp reported Short and Long Term Debt Total at 11 Billion. As of March 25, 2026, Net Debt is estimated to increase to approximately 14.8 B, while Short Term Debt is moving lower toward about 1 B. Debt expansion can increase KeyCorp's financial risk profile. Interest obligations are one factor that can influence earnings metrics.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Compared to last year, PTB Ratio is expected to move by about 26.06%. A year ago, KeyCorp reported PTB Ratio at 1.11. As of March 25, 2026, Days Sales Outstanding is estimated to increase to 3,601, while Market Cap is moving lower toward about 7.3 B.

Price Book

1.2078

Price Sales

3.1102

Shares Float

1.1 B

Dividend Share

0.82

Wall Street Target Price

24.4524

KeyCorp posted an improvement of $10.1 billion in Net Income, $1.8 billion in Net Income, and $1.2 billion in Net Income Applicable To Common Shares for the reported period.

You may consult Gross Profit as well as Total Revenue.

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Stock Analysis Notes

About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.21. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. KeyCorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.89. The company had its last dividend issued on the 3rd of March 2026. The firm completed a 2:1 stock split on 9th of March 1998. KeyCorp posted $0.01 in Intangibles To Total Assets, $184.4 billion in Total Assets, and a Return On Assets of 1.0% for the reported period.

Total Assets

108.76 Billion

Comparative financial data indicate that Total Assets are shifting by roughly 69.53%. Previously, Total Assets were valued at 184.38 Billion.

Investor Insights and Alerts

Investor notes and alerts for KeyCorp are most useful when volatility is rising and the market is forcing investors to validate the position quickly. Used correctly, this section functions as a challenge mechanism: it asks whether the thesis is still intact under the latest information set.

	KeyCorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
	Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
	On 13th of March 2026 KeyCorp paid $ 0.205 per share dividend to its current shareholders
	Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: KWB Wealth Sells 214,933 Shares of i Shares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF IVLU

Largest EPS Surprises

EPS surprise history helps explain abrupt moves in KeyCorp's price behavior. A negative gap to consensus tends to pressure valuation, while a positive gap can support re-rating. For this stock, read EPS surprises with profitability quality and forward revisions.

Reported	Fiscal Date	Estimated EPS	Reported EPS	Surprise
2001-07-17	2001-06-30	0.06	0.07	0.01	16
2013-07-18	2013-06-30	0.2	0.22	0.02	10
2013-04-18	2013-03-31	0.2	0.22	0.02	10

View All Earnings Estimates

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

ESG metrics for KeyCorp matter because governance, regulation, and reputation risks can still hit the bottom line. For long-term investors, ESG trends add context on durability and the odds of avoidable setbacks.

Thematic Classifications

Thematic classifications around KeyCorp help investors move from one security idea to a broader portfolio idea with a clearer economic narrative. The practical benefit is that investors can optimize around a trend, not just around one name that may or may not remain the best expression of that trend.

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Top Institutional Investors Holding KeyCorp Stock

Institutions hold about 89.96% of shares while insiders own roughly 0.29%. Annual revenue is about 11.19 Billion. How the institutional base reacts to earnings changes can move KeyCorp in the short term. The business currently sits in the Financial Services sector and the Banks - Regional industry. Watching turnover and volume trends alongside ownership data adds depth to the picture.

		Shares
Franklin Resources Inc	2025-09-30	15.8 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts	2025-09-30	13.6 M
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc	2025-09-30	12.8 M
Norges Bank	2025-12-31	12.7 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co	2025-09-30	11.8 M
Diamond Hill Capital Management Inc	2025-12-31	10.7 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.	2025-12-31	10.7 M
Northern Trust Corp	2025-09-30	10.2 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc	2025-12-31	9 M
Bank Of Nova Scotia	2025-09-30	163 M
Vanguard Group Inc	2025-12-31	124.8 M

At 21.79 Billion market cap, KeyCorp mid-cap scale means institutional moves shape liquidity but do not guarantee above-market returns. Annual revenue is about 11.19 Billion. At this size, institutional rebalancing is usually orderly but can tighten spreads around earnings.

Market Capitalization

At roughly 21.79 B, KeyCorp belongs to the large-cap segment of regional banks. Complementary market value signals include a workforce of about 17,883 people, about 1.09 B shares outstanding, and enterprise value near 33.91 B.

Profitability

Profitability metrics test whether KeyCorp is building real earning power or just reporting one-time accounting gains. This helps separate genuinely strong businesses from names that look cheap only because the market expects weak results. The company has Net Profit Margin of 26.0 %, which suggests that the company maintains healthy pricing power relative to costs. This is above what is typical for the sector. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 34.0 %, which indicates that for every 100 dollars of sales, the company generates an operating income of $34.0.

	Last Reported	End Of Year Estimate
Return On Tangible Assets	0.01	0.01
Return On Capital Employed	0.08	0.07
Return On Assets	0.01	0.01
Return On Equity	0.09	0.11

Management Efficiency

The company has Return on Asset of 0.98 % which suggests that it is generating $0.98 of profit per $100 of assets. This is below typical for similar companies. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 9.48 %, which suggests that it generated $9.48 in profit per $100 of stockholder equity.

	Last Reported	End Of Year Estimate
Book Value Per Share	18.61	11.59
Tangible Book Value Per Share	16.09	9.82
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA	13.92	10.34
Price Book Value Ratio	1.11	1.50
Enterprise Value Multiple	13.92	10.34
Price Fair Value	1.11	1.50

A leadership review of KeyCorp should test whether management is creating repeatable operating progress instead of relying on one-time gains or favorable cycle conditions. Used correctly, management analysis provides context for determining whether recent results reflect skill, favorable timing, or a mix of both.

Operating Margin

0.3362

Long Term Debt Total

13.7 B

Three Month Return

-5.62

Short Long Term Debt Total

16.9 B

Ten Year Return

78.89088

Technical Drivers

Market data as of the 25th of March shows KeyCorp priced at 20.00 per share. Measured indicators report Risk Adjusted Performance of -0.02, standard deviation of 1.58, and Mean Deviation of 1.2. The model examines historical data series to identify measurable trend characteristics. Technical levels are measured against peer distributions.

KeyCorp Price Movement Analysis - Bollinger Bands

java.lang.NullPointerException: Cannot invoke "java.lang.Number.intValue()" because the return value of "sun.invoke.util.ValueConversions.primitiveConversion(sun.invoke.util.Wrapper, Object, boolean)" is null. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. KeyCorp middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for KeyCorp. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Insider Trading Activities

Insider activity around KeyCorp matters because officers and directors often act on business changes before the market catches up. The goal is to tell routine pay-related sales apart from trades that reflect genuine conviction.

		Bank Of Nova Scotia over two weeks ago Disposition of 408070 shares by Bank Of Nova Scotia of Key Corp at 21.14 subject to Rule 16 b-3
		Robin Hayes over a year ago Acquisition by Robin Hayes of 704 shares of Key Corp subject to Rule 16 b-3
		Ramani Mohit over a year ago Insider Trading
		Amy Brady over a year ago Disposition of 13856 shares by Amy Brady of Key Corp at 14.11 subject to Rule 16 b-3
		Douglas Schosser over a year ago Acquisition by Douglas Schosser of 11661 shares of Key Corp at 15.48 subject to Rule 16 b-3
		James Waters over a year ago Disposition of 23337 shares by James Waters of Key Corp subject to Rule 16 b-3
		Clark Khayat over a year ago Disposition of 26089 shares by Clark Khayat of Key Corp subject to Rule 16 b-3
		Todd Vasos over a year ago Acquisition by Todd Vasos of 1581 shares of Key Corp subject to Rule 16 b-3
		Angela Mago over a year ago Disposition of 6615 shares by Angela Mago of Key Corp at 14.07 subject to Rule 16 b-3
		David Wilson over a year ago Acquisition by David Wilson of 15401 shares of Key Corp subject to Rule 16 b-3
		David Wilson over a year ago Key Corp exotic insider transaction detected
		Weeden Jeffrey B over a year ago Acquisition by Weeden Jeffrey B of tradable shares of Key Corp subject to Rule 16 b-3

Outstanding Bonds

Reviewing KeyCorp bond obligations provides context for understanding how much of the business is financed with fixed-income capital rather than purely with equity. Used together with earnings and cash-flow analysis, the bond stack can reveal whether leverage is a manageable tool or a developing constraint.

	KEY 5 Corp Bond US493267AK43	View
	KEY 49 08 AUG 32 Corp Bond US49327V2C76	View
	US49327V2B93 Corp Bond US49327V2B93	View
	KEYBANK NATL ASSN Corp Bond US49327V2A11	View
	MPLX LP 4125 Corp Bond US55336VAK61	View
	KEY 5 26 JAN 33 Corp Bond US49327M3H53	View
	KEY 585 15 NOV 27 Corp Bond US49327M3F97	View
	US49326MAA36 Corp Bond US49326MAA36	View

View All KeyCorp Corporate Bonds

Predictive Daily Indicators

Short-horizon indicators in KeyCorp turn fast-changing price action into clearer risk and execution cues. For most traders, the benefit is faster feedback on momentum, which sharpens both entries and exits.

	Accumulation Distribution	230535.0
	Daily Balance Of Power	0.4
	Rate Of Daily Change	1.01
	Day Median Price	19.95
	Day Typical Price	19.96
	Price Action Indicator	0.14
	Period Momentum Indicator	0.18

Corporate Filings

F4	18th of March 2026 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities	View Verify
F4	3rd of March 2026 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities	View Verify
8K	2nd of March 2026 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about	View Verify
10K	23rd of February 2026 Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance	View Verify
F4	18th of February 2026 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities	View Verify
13A	17th of February 2026 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G	View Verify
F4	10th of February 2026 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities	View Verify
8K	9th of February 2026 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about	View Verify

Forecast Models

Quantitative tools for KeyCorp focus on observed patterns, which helps when markets move faster than research can update. Financial data rarely stays stable for long, so the model is best used as a probability tool, not a price promise.

Debt to Cash Allocation

The debt-to-cash mix for KeyCorp helps explain how management balances flexibility and funding cost through a business cycle.

KeyCorp has $11 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.85, demonstrating that KeyCorp may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as one mechanism for KeyCorp to finance growth, though outcomes depend on borrowing costs and business execution.

Common Stock Shares Outstanding Over Time

Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which KeyCorp uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

KeyCorp Debt Ratio

5.67

It appears most of the KeyCorp's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the KeyCorp's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of KeyCorp, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Corporate Bonds Issued

Bond maturity for KeyCorp is a core risk dimension. Longer duration can offer higher yield, but price sensitivity and credit uncertainty also increase.

KeyCorp Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

16.9 Billion

Short and Long Term Debt Total is currently at 16.9 Billion, reflecting a change of 34.91%. A year ago, KeyCorp reported Short and Long Term Debt Total at 11 Billion.

Stock Analysis Methodology

As a large-cap equity, KeyCorp is scored on valuation, solvency, and operating efficiency. KeyCorp operates in Regional Banks within Banks - Regional in Financial Services. Financial distress probability is estimated at 4%, indicating low near-term solvency risk. KeyCorp trades at P/E of 10.76, P/B of 1.21.

Data shown for KeyCorp is aggregated from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized across reporting formats. Source publication timing can introduce delays.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Vlad Skutelnik - Macroaxis Contributor

Last reviewed on March 1st, 2026

Current KeyCorp Analyst Rating Consensus

Target Price	Consensus	# of Analysts
24.45	Buy	24	Odds

The summary for KeyCorp includes current and past analyst recommendations. Consensus averages are included alongside the recommendation view. Wall Street analysts covering KeyCorp typically update price targets and ratings quarterly. A rising consensus or cluster of upgrades for KeyCorp often signals improving fundamental momentum.

KeyCorp Analyst Advice Details