Ford Profitability Analysis

F Stock  USD 13.80  0.33  2.45%   
Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Ford's financial statements, Ford's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Ford's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
-36 M
Current Value
2.4 B
Quarterly Volatility
2.6 B
 
Black Monday
 
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Covid
The Ford's current Operating Cash Flow Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.12, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.17. At this time, Ford's Income Tax Expense is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Ford's current Net Interest Income is estimated to increase to about 381.8 M, while Income Before Tax is projected to decrease to roughly 3.4 B. At this time, Ford's Gross Profit Margin is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.180.0964
Way Up
Slightly volatile
For Ford profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Ford to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Ford Motor utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Ford's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Ford Motor over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Ford's Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

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The next projected EPS of Ford is estimated to be 0.1155 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.235 to a high of 0.3125. Ford's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.17. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Ford Motor is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Ford is projected to generate 0.1155 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. Ford earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Ford Motor EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Ford's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Ford, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Ford Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Ford's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Ford's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ford. If investors know Ford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ford listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.727
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
1.17
Revenue Per Share
47.686
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.094
The market value of Ford Motor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ford's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ford's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ford's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ford's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ford's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ford is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ford's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ford Motor Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Ford's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Ford value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Ford Motor is one of the top stocks in return on equity category among its peers. It is rated below average in return on asset category among its peers reporting about  0.08  of Return On Asset per Return On Equity. The ratio of Return On Equity to Return On Asset for Ford Motor is roughly  12.41 . At this time, Ford's Return On Equity is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Ford by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

Ford Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity

Return on Equity or ROE tells company stockholders how effectually their money is being utilized or reinvested. It is a useful ratio when analyzing company profitability or the management effectiveness given the capital invested by the shareholders. ROE shows how efficiently a company utilizes investments to generate income.

Ford

Return On Equity

 = 

Net Income

Total Equity

 = 
0.1
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
Return on Asset or ROA shows how effective is the management of the company in generating income from utilizing all of the assets at their disposal. It is a useful ratio to evaluate the performance of different departments of a company as well as to understand management performance over time.

Ford

Return On Asset

 = 

Net Income

Total Assets

 = 
0.0083
Return on Asset measures overall efficiency of a company in generating profits from its total assets. It is expressed as the percentage of profits earned per dollar of Asset. A low ROA typically means that a company is asset-intensive and therefore will needs more money to continue generating revenue in the future.

Ford Return On Asset Comparison

Ford is currently under evaluation in return on asset category among its peers.

Ford Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Ford, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Ford will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Ford's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Ford, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-8.7 B-9.1 B
Operating Income4.7 BB
Income Before Tax6.5 B3.4 B
Total Other Income Expense Net2.3 B2.4 B
Net Income6.8 B3.9 B
Income Tax Expense1.2 B1.3 B
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares6.8 B5.5 B
Net Income From Continuing Ops5.3 B4.8 B
Non Operating Income Net Other-9.2 B-8.8 B
Interest Income1.8 B1.3 B
Net Interest Income363.6 M381.8 M
Change To Netincome8.9 B9.4 B
Net Income Per Share 1.70  1.74 
Income Quality 2.36  2.24 
Net Income Per E B T 0.93  0.89 

Ford Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Ford. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Ford position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Ford's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Ford Profitability Trends

Ford profitability trend refers to the progression of profit or loss within a business. An upward trend means that Ford's profit has generally increased over time, and a downward profitability trend means profits are declining. Recognizing problems early in profitability trends allows investors to address revenue and cost issues in advance. Investors and analysts usually monitor three types of profitability trends: gross, operating, and net. Gross profit is the difference between revenue and costs of goods sold. Operating profit is Ford's gross profit minus its overhead. After you account for other unusual revenue, expenses, and costs, you get net profit. Gross profit trends are often a good indicator of future profitability. If you have high gross profit margins, you have a better chance to cover overhead and make money.

Ford Profitability Drivers Correlations

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize and read into endless financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties. Understanding the correlation between Ford different financial indicators related to revenue and profit generation helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Ford in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between profit drivers that are directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to break down Ford's future profitability.

Ford Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Ford's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Ford is estimated to be 0.1155 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.235 to a high of 0.3125. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Ford Motor is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.45
0.23
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.1155
0.31
Highest

Ford Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Ford's value are higher than the current market price of the Ford stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Ford is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Ford's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
2172.4%
0.45
0.1155
1.17

Ford Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Ford refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Ford Motor predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Ford, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Ford Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Ford, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Ford should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Ford Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ford's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-10-23
2025-09-300.350.450.128 
2025-07-30
2025-06-300.320.370.0515 
2025-05-05
2025-03-310.030.140.11366 
2025-02-05
2024-12-310.320.390.0721 
2024-10-28
2024-09-300.470.490.02
2024-07-24
2024-06-300.680.47-0.2130 
2024-04-24
2024-03-310.420.490.0716 
2024-02-06
2023-12-310.140.290.15107 
2023-10-26
2023-09-300.450.39-0.0613 
2023-07-27
2023-06-300.550.720.1730 
2023-05-02
2023-03-310.410.630.2253 
2023-02-02
2022-12-310.620.51-0.1117 
2022-10-26
2022-09-300.270.30.0311 
2022-07-27
2022-06-300.450.680.2351 
2022-04-27
2022-03-310.370.380.01
2022-02-03
2021-12-310.450.26-0.1942 
2021-10-27
2021-09-300.270.510.2488 
2021-07-28
2021-06-30-0.030.130.16533 
2021-04-28
2021-03-310.210.890.68323 
2021-02-04
2020-12-31-0.070.340.41585 
2020-10-28
2020-09-300.190.650.46242 
2020-07-30
2020-06-30-1.17-0.350.8270 
2020-04-28
2020-03-31-0.12-0.23-0.1191 
2020-02-04
2019-12-310.150.12-0.0320 
2019-10-23
2019-09-300.260.340.0830 
2019-07-24
2019-06-300.310.28-0.03
2019-04-25
2019-03-310.270.440.1762 
2019-01-23
2018-12-310.320.3-0.02
2018-10-24
2018-09-300.280.290.01
2018-07-25
2018-06-300.310.27-0.0412 
2018-04-25
2018-03-310.410.430.02
2018-01-24
2017-12-310.420.39-0.03
2017-10-26
2017-09-300.320.430.1134 
2017-07-26
2017-06-300.430.560.1330 
2017-04-27
2017-03-310.350.390.0411 
2017-01-26
2016-12-310.310.3-0.01
2016-10-27
2016-09-300.20.260.0630 
2016-07-28
2016-06-300.60.52-0.0813 
2016-04-28
2016-03-310.480.680.241 
2016-01-28
2015-12-310.510.580.0713 
2015-10-27
2015-09-300.460.45-0.01
2015-07-28
2015-06-300.370.470.127 
2015-04-28
2015-03-310.260.23-0.0311 
2015-01-29
2014-12-310.230.260.0313 
2014-10-24
2014-09-300.190.240.0526 
2014-07-24
2014-06-300.360.40.0411 
2014-04-25
2014-03-310.310.25-0.0619 
2014-01-28
2013-12-310.280.310.0310 
2013-10-24
2013-09-300.380.450.0718 
2013-07-24
2013-06-300.370.450.0821 
2013-04-24
2013-03-310.370.410.0410 
2013-01-29
2012-12-310.250.310.0624 
2012-10-30
2012-09-300.30.40.133 
2012-07-25
2012-06-300.280.30.02
2012-04-27
2012-03-310.350.390.0411 
2012-01-27
2011-12-310.250.2-0.0520 
2011-10-26
2011-09-300.440.460.02
2011-07-26
2011-06-300.60.650.05
2011-04-26
2011-03-310.50.620.1224 
2011-01-28
2010-12-310.480.3-0.1837 
2010-10-26
2010-09-300.380.480.126 
2010-07-23
2010-06-300.40.680.2870 
2010-04-27
2010-03-310.310.460.1548 
2010-01-28
2009-12-310.260.430.1765 
2009-11-02
2009-09-30-0.120.260.38316 
2009-07-23
2009-06-30-0.48-0.210.2756 
2009-04-24
2009-03-31-1.23-0.750.4839 
2009-01-29
2008-12-31-1.3-1.37-0.07
2008-11-07
2008-09-30-0.94-1.31-0.3739 
2008-07-24
2008-06-30-0.27-0.62-0.35129 
2008-04-24
2008-03-31-0.160.20.36225 
2008-01-24
2007-12-31-0.19-0.2-0.01
2007-11-08
2007-09-30-0.46-0.010.4597 
2007-07-26
2007-06-30-0.350.130.48137 
2007-04-26
2007-03-31-0.6-0.090.5185 
2007-01-25
2006-12-31-1.01-1.1-0.09
2006-10-23
2006-09-30-0.61-0.62-0.01
2006-07-20
2006-06-300.12-0.03-0.15125 
2006-04-21
2006-03-310.250.24-0.01
2006-01-23
2005-12-310.010.260.252500 
2005-10-20
2005-09-30-0.1-0.10.0
2005-07-19
2005-06-300.330.470.1442 
2005-04-20
2005-03-310.390.620.2358 
2005-01-20
2004-12-310.270.280.01
2004-10-19
2004-09-300.140.280.14100 
2004-07-20
2004-06-300.50.610.1122 
2004-04-21
2004-03-310.440.960.52118 
2004-01-22
2003-12-310.280.310.0310 
2003-10-16
2003-09-30-0.110.150.26236 
2003-07-16
2003-06-300.180.220.0422 
2003-04-16
2003-03-310.220.450.23104 
2003-01-21
2002-12-310.060.080.0233 
2002-10-16
2002-09-300.040.120.08200 
2002-07-17
2002-06-300.260.310.0519 
2002-04-17
2002-03-31-0.15-0.060.0960 
2002-01-17
2001-12-31-0.5-0.480.02
2001-10-17
2001-09-30-0.27-0.28-0.01
2001-07-18
2001-06-30-0.34-0.30.0411 
2001-04-19
2001-03-310.530.60.0713 
2001-01-18
2000-12-310.640.640.0
2000-10-18
2000-09-300.490.50.01
2000-07-19
2000-06-3022.070.07
2000-04-17
2000-03-311.571.70.13
2000-01-26
1999-12-311.451.470.02
1999-10-18
1999-09-300.840.90.06
1999-07-14
1999-06-301.952.00.05
1999-04-15
1999-03-311.411.460.05
1999-01-21
1998-12-311.261.350.09
1998-10-14
1998-09-300.790.80.01
1998-07-15
1998-06-301.81.910.11
1998-04-16
1998-03-311.341.22-0.12
1998-01-27
1997-12-311.211.450.2419 
1997-10-15
1997-09-300.840.90.06
1997-07-16
1997-06-301.831.980.15
1997-04-16
1997-03-310.861.20.3439 
1997-01-29
1996-12-310.981.10.1212 
1996-10-16
1996-09-300.520.530.01
1996-07-17
1996-06-301.211.380.1714 
1996-04-17
1996-03-310.340.530.1955 

Use Ford in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ford position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ford will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Ford Pair Trading

Ford Motor Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ford could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ford when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ford - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ford Motor to buy it.
The correlation of Ford is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ford moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ford Motor moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ford can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Ford position

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Funds or Etfs that invest in consumer products such as packaged goods, clothing, food, beverages and retail services. The Consumer Funds theme has 37 constituents at this time.
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To fully project Ford's future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of Ford Motor at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Ford's income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential Ford investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although Ford investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Ford's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Ford's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.