Xcel Energy Stock Price Prediction
| XEL Stock | USD 73.17 0.05 0.07% |
Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Xcel Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xcel Energy from the perspective of Xcel Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xcel Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xcel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xcel Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 73.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Xcel Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xcel Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Xcel Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xcel Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xcel Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xcel Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xcel Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xcel Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xcel Energy's historical news coverage. Xcel Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.21 and 74.13, respectively. We have considered Xcel Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xcel Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xcel Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xcel Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xcel Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xcel Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xcel Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
73.17 | 73.17 | 0.00 |
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Xcel Energy Hype Timeline
On the 20th of August Xcel Energy is traded for 73.17. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Xcel is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Xcel Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.17. About 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Xcel Energy was at this time reported as 35.46. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.88. Xcel Energy last dividend was issued on the 15th of September 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of June 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Xcel Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xcel Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xcel Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xcel Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Xcel Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xcel Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.84 | 0.07 | 1.47 | (1.42) | 3.53 | |
| ETR | Entergy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | 0.09 | 1.90 | (1.46) | 4.00 | |
| PNW | Pinnacle West Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | (0.02) | 1.54 | (1.43) | 4.11 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.75 | 0.02 | 1.39 | (1.50) | 3.82 | |
| AEE | Ameren Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.05 | 1.46 | (1.32) | 3.40 | |
| MGEE | MGE Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.77 | (1.95) | 3.88 | |
| EVRG | Evergy, | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | 0.1 | 1.91 | (1.18) | 5.25 | |
| DTE | DTE Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | 0.01 | 1.70 | (1.49) | 3.37 | |
| CNP | CenterPoint Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | (0.02) | 1.48 | (1.46) | 4.79 | |
| AEP | American Electric Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.60 | 0.12 | 1.50 | (1.20) | 5.22 | |
| FE | FirstEnergy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | (0) | 1.29 | (1.47) | 3.67 | |
| SO | Southern Company | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.69 | 0.05 | 1.41 | (1.45) | 3.20 |
Xcel Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xcel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xcel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xcel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Xcel Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xcel Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xcel Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xcel Energy based on analysis of Xcel Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xcel Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xcel Energy's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Xcel Energy
The number of cover stories for Xcel Energy depends on current market conditions and Xcel Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xcel Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xcel Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xcel Energy Short Properties
Xcel Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xcel Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xcel Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xcel Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xcel Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 563 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 179 M |
Check out Xcel Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Xcel Stock please use our How to buy in Xcel Stock guide.You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xcel Energy. If investors know Xcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xcel Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Xcel Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xcel Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xcel Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xcel Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xcel Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xcel Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xcel Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xcel Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.