ProShares Ultra Basic Etf Price Patterns

UYM Etf  USD 28.55  0.00  0.00%   
As of today, the RSI momentum reading for ProShares Ultra stands at 50, indicating neutral momentum. Values near 50 generally reflect equilibrium between upward and downward pressure.
Momentum
 Impartial
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ProShares Ultra's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ProShares Ultra Basic, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
This section frames ProShares Ultra Basic response to recent headlines in a peer context. Options and short interest metrics are combined here to describe sentiment for ProShares Ultra.
ProShares Ultra Implied Volatility
    
  0.66  
Implied volatility for ProShares Ultra summarizes expected price variability from options markets. The reading is provided as context for near-term price variability.
This section maps attention patterns around ProShares Ultra and relates them to recent price behavior.
ProShares Ultra after-hype prediction price
    
  $ 28.55  
Hype metrics are shown as one component among forecasting, technical, analyst, and earnings context.

Rule 16 for the current ProShares contract

Rule 16 applies implied volatility to estimate a daily move of roughly 0.0413% across the 2026-05-15 option cycle. This context is informational: with ProShares Ultra near $ 28.55, the daily move estimate is $ 0.01.
ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models provides a cross-check on projections for ProShares Ultra. This adds a model-based reference for the projection set.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares Ultra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.9626.2131.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.9227.1729.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.4531.2034.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ProShares Ultra. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ProShares Ultra's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ProShares Ultra at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ProShares Ultra's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ProShares Ultra's historical news coverage.
Current Value
28.55
28.55
After-hype Price
30.80
Upside
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of ProShares Ultra Basic across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. The objective is to separate event-driven enthusiasm from a more stable price path once the market absorbs the catalyst.

Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ProShares Ultra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ProShares Ultra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ProShares Ultra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
2.25
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events
3 Events
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.55
28.55
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Hype Timeline

On the 17th of March 2026 ProShares Ultra Basic is traded for 28.55. The ETF stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. ProShares is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on ProShares Ultra is about 5000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.56. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models provides a cross-check on projections for ProShares Ultra. This adds a model-based reference for the projection set.

Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ProShares Ultra's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ProShares Ultra's future price movements. Getting to know how ProShares Ultra's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UXIProShares Ultra Industrials-0.98 2 per month 2.27 0.1 3.26 -4.01 10.41
UMDDProShares UltraPro MidCap400-0.05 1 per month 2.78 0.02 4.58 -5.28 17.38
SAAProShares Ultra SmallCap600 0.50 4 per month 2.03 0.03 3.31 -3.71 11.19
CBSEElevation Series Trust-0.02 4 per month 0.00 -0.0028 1.84 -2.44 7.32
JFLIJP Morgan Exchange Traded 0.32 1 per month 0.55 0.07 0.69 -0.91 2.99
EETProShares Ultra MSCI 0.67 1 per month 2.82 0.06 4.26 -4.31 15.61
RETLDirexion Daily Retail-0.19 5 per month 0.00 -0.11 5.24 -5.74 14.03
WBIFWBI BullBear Value-0.13 2 per month 0.58 0.09 1.22 -0.99 4.19
ASHSXtrackers Harvest CSI 0.09 4 per month 1.34 0.19 2.26 -2.08 8.77
FDRVFidelity Covington Trust 0.24 2 per month 0.00 -0.02 2.39 -2.40 9.54

ProShares Ultra Additional Predictive Modules

Predictive models for ProShares Ultra combine technical indicators with statistical methods to estimate probable price trajectories. Predictive accuracy varies by market regime - trending markets and range-bound markets favor different model types.

Sentiment Indicators & Methodology

Sentiment context for ProShares Ultra evaluates flows, category positioning, and narrative momentum around underlying exposures. Certain defensive traits may reduce sensitivity to broader macroeconomic fluctuations.

Unless otherwise specified, data for ProShares Ultra Basic is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on February 24th, 2026

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More Resources for ProShares Etf Analysis

A comprehensive view of ProShares Ultra Basic starts with financial statements and ratio context. Ratio analysis helps investors evaluate ProShares Ultra Basic Etf operating efficiency and financial trajectory. Highlighted below are reports that provide context for ProShares Ultra Basic Etf:
ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models provides a cross-check on projections for ProShares Ultra. This adds a model-based reference for the projection set.
ProShares Ultra currently shows P/E of 19.83. Investors get more value from ProShares Ultra analysis when it is combined with the construction and diversification tools listed below. ProShares Ultra peer comparison and risk tools below help frame relative strengths and weaknesses. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
The market value of ProShares Ultra Basic is measured differently than book value, which reflects ProShares accounting equity. The 3.38 P/B ratio shows ProShares Ultra carries a substantial premium over its balance-sheet equity. The intrinsic value concept focuses on underlying worth, which can diverge from market price and book value. Valuation work aligns these measures into a single context.
It is useful to distinguish ProShares Ultra's value from its trading price, which are computed with different methods. For ProShares Ultra, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 19.83, and a P/B ratio of 3.38. The actual ProShares Ultra transaction price is determined by real-time order flow on the exchange.