ProShares Ultra Basic Etf Performance

UYM Etf  USD 26.75  -0.72  -2.62%   
The etf has a beta of 1.9, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the ETF is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ProShares Ultra will likely underperform.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Contained
 
Weak
 
Strong
ProShares Ultra Basic currently ranks below 6% of comparable global equities and portfolios when recent risk-adjusted returns are measured across a 90-day horizon. The current category mapping is Trading--Leveraged Equity. In spite of very abnormal basic indicators, ProShares Ultra may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2026. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 2,432 in ProShares Ultra Basic on December 19, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 243.00 from holding ProShares Ultra Basic or generated 9.99% return on investment over 90 days. ProShares Ultra Basic is generating a 0.1834% daily return assuming volatility of 2.3432% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of etfs are less volatile than ProShares, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Ultra is expected to generate 2.86 times more return on investment than the market. However, the ETF is 2.86 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.09 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ProShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of organized markets for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded ETFs are consistently mispriced before demand and supply correct the spread. One possible explanation is that these ETFs carry additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
26.75 90 days 26.75
about 81.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ProShares Ultra moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 81.71 (This ProShares Ultra Basic probability density function shows the probability of ProShares Etf falling within a particular range of prices over 90 days).
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.9 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the ETF is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ProShares Ultra will likely underperform. Additionally, ProShares Ultra Basic has an alpha of 0.3349, implying that it can generate a 0.3349 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   ProShares Ultra Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ProShares Ultra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the ETF market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual instruments such as ProShares Ultra Basic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the ETF market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares Ultra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4126.7529.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.0829.5731.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.3926.7329.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
112.18118.98125.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ProShares Ultra. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ProShares Ultra's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the etf market. ProShares Ultra is no exception. The market experienced several large corrections towards ProShares Ultra's value, including sharp drops and substantial rallies. An investor can limit portfolio swings by implementing a hedging strategy designed to reduce downside losses. If you hold ProShares Ultra Basic, one way to protect your portfolio is to watch for changing volatility and market elasticity of ProShares Ultra within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.90
σ
Overall volatility
2.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to ProShares Ultra help investors stay ahead of material changes in ETF conditions. Monitoring ongoing notifications for ProShares Ultra Basic is a practical way to spot shifts in technical or fundamental signals that may affect investment timing.
The fund keeps 199.64% of its net assets in stocks

ProShares Ultra Fundamentals Growth

ProShares Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ProShares Ultra, and ProShares Ultra fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ProShares Etf performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

ProShares Ultra performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes.

Unless otherwise specified, data for ProShares Ultra Basic is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on February 26th, 2026