Orion Energy Systems Stock Price Prediction
| OESX Stock | USD 12.68 2.50 24.56% |
Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.10) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.24) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.03) | Wall Street Target Price 18 |
Using Orion Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orion Energy Systems from the perspective of Orion Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Orion Energy using Orion Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Orion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Orion Energy's stock price.
Orion Energy Short Interest
An investor who is long Orion Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Orion Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Orion Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.4546 | Short Percent 0.005 | Short Ratio 0.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.3 K | 50 Day MA 8.812 |
Orion Energy Systems Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Orion Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Orion. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Orion can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Orion Energy Systems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Orion Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Orion Energy.
Orion Energy Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Orion Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Orion Energy Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Orion Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Orion Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Orion Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Orion Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Orion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Orion Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 12.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Orion Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orion Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Orion Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Orion Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Orion Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Orion Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Orion Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Orion Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Orion Energy's historical news coverage. Orion Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.09 and 17.51, respectively. We have considered Orion Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Orion Energy is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Orion Energy Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Orion Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Orion Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orion Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Orion Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.14 | 5.95 | 0.17 | 0.08 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.68 | 12.30 | 0.99 |
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Orion Energy Hype Timeline
Orion Energy Systems is now traded for 12.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Orion is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.3 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.99%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.14%. The volatility of related hype on Orion Energy is about 8040.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.60. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 79.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.11 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Orion Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Orion Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Orion Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Orion Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Orion Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Orion Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRZO | ParaZero Technologies Ltd | (0.13) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.03 | (7.55) | 17.62 | |
| EDRY | EuroDry | (0.33) | 7 per month | 2.32 | 0.06 | 4.99 | (3.99) | 11.34 | |
| EPOW | Sunrise New Energy | 0.11 | 9 per month | 5.66 | 0.07 | 10.78 | (8.14) | 65.63 | |
| QRHC | Quest Resource Holding | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.02 | (7.05) | 23.35 | |
| IPWR | Ideal Power | 0.09 | 8 per month | 3.34 | 0.06 | 6.99 | (5.89) | 44.92 | |
| APWC | Asia Pacific Wire | 0.01 | 4 per month | 2.77 | (0.01) | 6.47 | (4.37) | 20.67 | |
| SIDU | Sidus Space | (0.14) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.26 | (6.50) | 36.05 | |
| BTOC | Armlogi Holding Corp | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.36) | 5.52 | (8.33) | 22.45 | |
| MSW | Ming Shing Group | (0.31) | 8 per month | 5.66 | 0.08 | 12.37 | (6.92) | 48.81 | |
| FLYY | Spirit Aviation Holdings, | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 14.29 | (23.40) | 90.07 |
Orion Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Orion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Orion Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Orion Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Orion Energy Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Orion Energy based on analysis of Orion Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Orion Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Orion Energy's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.065 | 0.0578 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.3 | 0.28 |
Story Coverage note for Orion Energy
The number of cover stories for Orion Energy depends on current market conditions and Orion Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Orion Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Orion Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Orion Energy Short Properties
Orion Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Orion Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Orion Energy Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Orion Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orion Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6 M |
Additional Tools for Orion Stock Analysis
When running Orion Energy's price analysis, check to measure Orion Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orion Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Orion Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orion Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orion Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orion Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.